23.07.2008 21:40:00
|
Allstate Reports 2008 Second Quarter Results
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) today reported results for the
second quarter of 2008:
Consolidated Highlights
Three Months Ended June 30,
Change (in millions, except per share amounts and ratios) Est. 2008
2007
$ Amt
% Consolidated revenues $7,418 $9,455 $(2,037) (21.5) Net income 25 1,403 (1,378) (98.2) Net income per diluted share 0.05 2.30 (2.25) (97.8) Operating income(a) 683 1,072 (389) (36.3) Operating income per diluted share(a) 1.24 1.76 (0.52) (29.5) Return on equity 10.2 25.0 -- (14.8) pts. Operating income return on equity(a) 15.1 23.1 -- (8.0) pts. Book value per share 35.93 36.39 (0.46) (1.3) Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities(a)
36.93
35.70
1.23
3.4 Catastrophe losses 698 433 265 61.2 Property-Liability combined ratio 94.4 87.6 -- 6.8 pts. Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of
catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates ("underlying
combined ratio”)(a)
84.1
84.1
--
-- pts.
(a) Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting
principles generally accepted in the United States ("non-GAAP”)
are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure
and operating measures are defined in the "Definitions
of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures” section
of this document.
"Our continued focus on profitability in our
insurance operations served us well during the quarter," said Thomas J.
Wilson, chairman, president and chief executive officer of The Allstate
Corporation. "This strategy generated solid operating profit despite
record catastrophe losses. This performance offset lower earnings in our
financial services operations and a shift in the accounting of
unrealized investment losses to realized losses for change in intent
write-downs largely resulting from expanded investment risk mitigation
programs."
Allstate’s second quarter operating income of
$683 million was affected by $698 million in pre-tax catastrophe losses,
the highest level of second quarter catastrophe losses the Corporation
has recorded in its 77-year history. Operating income for the quarter
was $389 million lower than the prior year quarter due to higher
catastrophe losses and the absence of favorable reserve re-estimates.
Allstate’s net income for the quarter was $25
million, reflecting the impact of realized after-tax capital losses of
$788 million and lower operating income.
"Solid insurance operation results enabled us
to maintain our strength for customers and continue to return capital to
shareholders,” Wilson added. During the
quarter, Allstate repurchased 8.8 million shares for $434 million; $1.4
billion remains of the $2 billion share repurchase program which the
Corporation expects to complete in the first quarter of 2009. Earlier
this week, Allstate announced a quarterly dividend of forty-one cents
($0.41) on each outstanding share of the Corporation’s
common stock.
Protection
During the quarter, Allstate’s
Property-Liability operations benefitted from reduced claim frequency
and moderate severity, resulting in profitability levels better than
expected for the full year. For the quarter, the Property-Liability
underlying combined ratio, which excludes the effects of catastrophes
and prior year reserve re-estimates, was 84.1, significantly below the
full-year outlook of 87.0 to 89.0 provided in January.
Financial Services
Allstate Financial posted operating income of $118 million for the
quarter, a decline from $154 million in the prior year quarter due in
part to lower investment spreads and increased costs related to the
effort to reinvent retirement for consumers. "Our
life insurance products continued to perform well and our asset
accumulation retirement products had a good quarter with increased new
business returns,” Wilson said. "Our
challenge and opportunity in financial services is increasing
consistency in achieving desired results quarter to quarter, especially
in light of continued pressures on the economy and investment markets.” Investments
Commenting on Allstate’s investment
portfolio, which generated $1.4 billion in net investment income for the
quarter, Wilson said: "Our investment
philosophy emphasizes diversified exposure, high quality assets and
continual attention to risk mitigation and return optimization. This
approach has helped us to minimize impairments in the face of
unprecedented market volatility. As market conditions change, we will
continue to adapt our risk and return strategies.”
Reflecting its view that pressures on the economy and investment markets
will be prolonged, Allstate augmented risk mitigation and return
optimization programs in its investment portfolios. "We’re
positioning our portfolio to further reduce our risk in certain market
segments and hedge against significant adverse developments,”
said Allstate Chief Investment Officer Ric Simonson. The expanded
programs are strategically reducing exposure to certain real estate and
financial services-related asset classes and guarding against
significant adverse moves in equity valuations, interest rates and
credit spreads through macro-hedging. Two-thirds of the after-tax
realized losses ($557 million) Allstate incurred in the quarter are
related to change in intent write-downs resulting from this strategic
review of investments in certain sectors. "These
strategic actions largely affect assets that are current and continue to
pay interest, but we believe these steps better insulate our portfolio
and provide greater flexibility to take advantage of new opportunities
in the investment markets,” Outlook
In light of positive first half 2008 performance, Allstate is adjusting
the outlook for its Property-Liability underlying combined ratio,
excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve
re-estimates. The Corporation now expects its underlying combined ratio
will be within 86.0 – 88.0 for the full year
of 2008, an improvement from the full-year outlook of 87.0 –
89.0 provided in January.
PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS Consolidated
Consolidated revenues were $7.4 billion in the quarter, a decline from
$9.5 billion from the second quarter of 2007, reflecting net realized
capital losses in the current year quarter compared to net realized
capital gains in the second quarter of 2007.
Operating income per diluted share was $1.24 in the quarter, a decline
of $0.52 from $1.76 in the second quarter of 2007, reflecting higher
catastrophe losses ($0.36 of the decline) and the effects of lower
favorable prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates ($0.20 of the
decline).
Net income per diluted share was $0.05 in the quarter, a decline from
$2.30 in the second quarter of 2007, reflecting after-tax net realized
capital losses in the current year quarter compared to after-tax net
realized capital gains in the second quarter of 2007 ($1.78 decline,
net of DAC) and lower operating income ($0.52 decline).
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS (in millions, except ratios)
Three months ended June 30,
Six months ended June 30, Est. 2008
2007
% Change Est. 2008
2007
% Change Property-Liability
Premiums written
$6,803
$6,939
(2.0)
$13,317
$13,548
(1.7)
Underwriting income(a)
378
845
(55.3)
786
1,891
(58.4)
Net income
439
1,230
(64.3)
942
2,579
(63.5)
Combined Ratio
94.4
87.6
6.8 pts
94.2
86.1
8.1 pts
Allstate Financial
Premiums and deposits(a)
$4,453
$2,887
54.2
$7,499
$5,515
36.0
Operating income
118
154
(23.4)
261
310
(15.8)
Net (loss) income
(379)
200
--
(490)
364
--
Investments
Net investment income
$1,412
$1,634
(13.6)
$2,938
$3,205
(8.3)
Realized capital gains and losses
(1,215)
545
--
(1,870)
1,016
--
Property-Liability
Property-Liability premiums written declined 2.0% in the second
quarter of 2008 from the second quarter of 2007. The cost of the
catastrophe reinsurance program was $223 million in the second quarter
of 2008 compared to $231 million in the second quarter of 2007.
Allstate brand standard auto premiums written in the second quarter of
2008 were comparable to the prior year quarter. Contributing to this
result were the following:
--
0.8% decrease in policies in force ("PIF")
--
0.8 point decline in the six month renewal ratio to 89.1%
--
1.4% increase in six month average premium before reinsurance to $427
--
6.7% decrease in new issued applications
Allstate brand homeowners premiums written declined 0.8% in the second
quarter of 2008, compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to
our catastrophe risk management actions. Contributing to the overall
change were the following:
--
4.0% decrease in PIF
--
1.0 point decline in the twelve month renewal ratio to 86.3%
--
1.9% increase in twelve month average premium before reinsurance to
$867
--
26.1% decrease in new issued applications
We completed our 2008 catastrophe reinsurance program during the
second quarter with the acquisition of additional coverage for
hurricane catastrophe losses in Texas and four new agreements for our
exposure in Florida. Our program allows us to continue to broadly
offer protection products. As previously announced, we expect the
annualized cost of these programs for the year beginning June 1, 2008
to be approximately $660 million per year or $165 million per quarter.
For detailed information on our Allstate Protection catastrophe
reinsurance program, see: http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/93/93125/report
s2/all2q08reinsurance.pdf (Due to its length, this URL may need to
be copied/pasted into your Internet browser's address field. Remove
the extra space if one exists.)
Standard auto property damage frequencies decreased 4.2% and bodily
injury frequencies decreased 7.6% compared to the second quarter of
2007, which may be in part due to a reduction in the number of miles
driven. Auto property damage and bodily injury paid severities
increased 2.6% and 7.1%, respectively. The Allstate brand standard
auto loss ratio increased 3.6 points compared to the second quarter of
2007 to 67.1 in the second quarter of 2008, due to increased
catastrophe losses and the absence of favorable prior year reserve
reestimates.
Homeowners gross claim frequency, excluding catastrophes, increased
13.7% compared to the second quarter of 2007 fueled by non-catastrophe
weather-related claim trends. Homeowners paid severity, excluding
catastrophes, increased 0.3% compared to the second quarter of 2007.
The Allstate brand homeowners loss ratio increased 18.8 points
compared to the second quarter of 2007 to 86.5 in the second quarter
of 2008, largely attributable to higher catastrophes. The effect of
catastrophe losses on the Allstate brand homeowners loss ratio totaled
38.0 in the second quarter of 2008 compared to 21.6 in the second
quarter of 2007.
Catastrophe losses for the quarter totaled $698 million, compared to
$433 million in the second quarter of 2007, impacting the combined
ratio by 10.3 points in the quarter and 6.3 points in the second
quarter of 2007. This increase was primarily related to severe weather
experienced across the country, including tornado activity, resulting
in 43 catastrophe events in the second quarter of 2008 compared to 34
in the second quarter of 2007. Catastrophe losses, excluding prior
year reserve reestimates, were $687 million in the quarter compared to
$383 million in the second quarter of 2007. Unfavorable reserve
reestimates related to catastrophes from prior years totaled $11
million in the quarter, impacting the combined ratio by 0.1 point,
compared to unfavorable reserve reestimates related to catastrophes
from prior years of $50 million in the second quarter of 2007. The
following table presents the type and number of catastrophe losses.
Three months ended June 30,
Six months ended June 30, ($ in millions) Est. 2008
#Events
2007
#Events Est. 2008
#Events
2007
#Events
Tornadoes
$
302
13
$
93
5
$
478
17
$
140
10
Wind/Hail
382
27
248
28
597
45
294
36
Other, including prior year reserve reestimates
14 3 92 1 191 9 160 6
Total Catastrophe losses
$
698 43
$
433 34
$
1,266 71
$
594 52
Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates for the second
quarter of 2008 were an unfavorable $9 million, compared to favorable
prior year reserve reestimates of $143 million in the second quarter
of 2007.
Underwriting income was $378 million during the second quarter of 2008
compared to $845 million in the same period of 2007. The decrease was
primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and the absence of
favorable prior year reserve reestimates.
Allstate expects the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio will
be within the range of 86.0 and 88.0 for the full year 2008. The
calculation of the underlying combined ratio for the three months and
six months ended June 30 is shown in the table below. Favorable
reserve reestimates are shown in parenthesis.
Three months ended June 30,
Six months ended June 30, Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007 Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior
year reserve reestimates
84.1
84.1
84.9
84.1
Effect of catastrophe losses
10.3
6.3
9.4
4.4
Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates
--
(2.8)
(0.1)
(2.4)
Combined ratio (GAAP)
94.4
87.6
94.2
86.1
Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates
0.1
0.7
0.9
0.4
Allstate Financial
Premiums and deposits in the second quarter of 2008 were $4.5 billion,
an increase of 54.2% from the prior year quarter. This increase is
primarily due to issuances of institutional products of $2.5 billion
and a $380 million or 57.8% increase in deposits on fixed deferred
annuities during the second quarter of 2008.
Operating income for the second quarter of 2008 was $118 million, $36
million lower than the prior year quarter. The decline was primarily
due to lower investment spread and increased operating expenses
partially offset by lower amortization of deferred acquisition costs ("DAC”)
and higher benefit spread. The decline in investment spreads was
driven by lower net investment income resulting primarily from lower
investment yields on floating rate assets, increased short-term
investment balances held to offset reduced liquidity in some asset
classes and lower investment balances reflecting dividends paid by
Allstate Life Insurance Company in 2007.
Net loss for the second quarter of 2008 was $379 million compared to
net income of $200 million in the prior year quarter. The decline was
due to pre-tax net realized capital losses of $965 million compared to
pre-tax net realized capital gains of $104 million in the prior year
quarter and lower operating income. Net realized capital losses were
driven by $776 million in losses on investment dispositions, including
change in intent write-downs and $199 million in impairment
write-downs, partially offset by an $8 million gain in the valuation
of derivative instruments and $2 million gain in derivative
settlements. For further information on write-downs and the valuation
of derivative instruments, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses
Analysis section.
During the second quarter of 2008, we acquired in the secondary market
and retired a total of $1.14 billion of institutional market deposits,
that investors had elected to non-extend their maturity date. In
addition, $986 million have been called and will be retired in July
2008. Total non-extended institutional market deposits were $3.1
billion as of June 30, 2008, all of which become due no later than the
end of the first quarter of 2009. We have accumulated, and expect to
maintain, short-term investments to retire these obligations.
Investments
We developed additional risk mitigation and return optimization
programs in the second quarter in response to an altered outlook for
continued weakness in the U.S. financial markets and economy. These
programs comprise overall portfolio protection ("macro-hedging”)
and potential future reductions in certain real estate and
financial-related market sectors. These anticipated reductions
resulted in our change in intent to hold certain securities until
their value recovers to amortized cost or cost, resulting in the
accounting recognition of realized capital losses for the difference
between fair value and amortized cost or cost on these securities ("change
in intent write-downs”). A comprehensive
review identified specific investments that could be significantly
impacted by continued deterioration in the economy. For further
information on our risk mitigation and return optimization programs,
see the Investment Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization Programs
section.
Net investment income decreased 13.6% to $1.4 billion compared to the
prior year quarter. Property-Liability net investment income decreased
16.6% to $431 million, compared to the prior year quarter, due to
decreased income on limited partnership interests, lower average asset
balances reflecting dividends to the parent company and reduced
portfolio yields. Allstate Financial net investment income declined
12.4% to $943 million, compared to the prior year quarter, due to
lower yields on higher short-term securities balances, lower yields on
floating rate securities and lower average asset balances.
Net realized capital losses were $1.2 billion on a pre-tax basis for
the quarter, due to $1.1 billion of net losses related to
dispositions, including change in intent write-downs, and $250 million
of impairment write-downs, partly offset by net gains totaling $123
million on the settlement and valuation of derivative instruments.
Impairment write-downs totaled $250 million, comprised $205 million on
fixed income securities, primarily related to residential mortgages
and other structured securities, and $37 million on equity securities.
Over 95% of the fixed income write-downs relate to impaired securities
that were performing in line with anticipated or contractual cash
flows, but which were written down primarily because of expected
deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral. For
further information on the types of securities experiencing
write-downs, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis
section.
Dispositions totaling $1.1 billion are comprised almost entirely of
losses related to our change in intent as a result of our risk
mitigation and return optimization programs, strategic asset
allocation and ongoing comprehensive reviews of our portfolios. In the
second quarter of the prior year, dispositions resulted in net
realized capital gains of $307 million, comprised $378 million of
gains on sales and $71 million of losses related to change in intent
write-downs. For further information on the types of securities
included in dispositions, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses
Analysis section.
Net realized capital gains on the valuation and settlement of
derivative instruments totaled $123 million for the quarter, primarily
comprised $114 million for the valuation of previously established
risk reduction programs. For further information on the impact from
the valuation and settlement of derivatives, see the Realized Capital
Gains and Losses Analysis section.
Allstate’s investment portfolios totaled
$113.6 billion as of June 30, 2008, a decline of $1.9 billion from the
end of the first quarter of 2008, due to unrealized net capital losses
and net realized capital losses.
The increase in unrealized net capital losses during the second
quarter of 2008 totaling $219 million was primarily related to
investment grade fixed income securities as the yields supporting fair
values increased, resulting from higher risk free interest rates,
partly offset by narrowing credit spreads. This net increase in fixed
income net unrealized capital losses more than offset the realization
of capital losses on impairments and dispositions, including change in
intent write-downs, during the quarter. Total unrealized gains and
losses are shown in the table below.
(in millions)
Est. June 30, 2008
March 31, 2008
December 31, 2007
U.S. government and agencies
$
854
$
1,026
$
918
Municipal
32
342
720
Corporate
(530
)
(204
)
90
Foreign government
354
457
394
Mortgage-backed securities (1)
(183
)
(210
)
(43
)
Commercial mortgage-backed securities(1)
(388
)
(868
)
(308
)
Asset-backed securities (1)
(1,351
)
(1,463
)
(816
)
Redeemable preferred stock
(2
)
(3
)
1
Fixed income securities
(1,214
)
(923
)
956
Equity securities
467
392
990
Derivatives
(42
)
(39
)
(33
)
Unrealized gains and losses
$
(789
)
$
(570
)
$
1,913
(1) For further information on our
residential and commercial mortgage loan portfolio, see the
Securities Experiencing Illiquid Markets section.
Unrealized net capital losses on fixed income securities totaled $1.2
billion as of June 30, 2008, comprised $3.6 billion in gross
unrealized losses and $2.4 billion in gross unrealized gains. Included
in gross unrealized losses were $1.1 billion of securities with a fair
value below 70% of amortized cost, or 1.4% of our fixed income
portfolio at June 30, 2008. The percentage of fair value to amortized
cost for the remaining fixed income gross unrealized losses at June
30, 2008 are shown in the following table.
(in millions)
Unrealized(loss) gain
Fairvalue
% to totalfixed incomeinvestments > 80% of amortized cost
$
(1,950
)
$
38,964
46.8
%
70% to 80% of amortized cost
(648
)
1,986
2.4
< 70% of amortized cost
(1,000
)
1,150
1.4
Gross unrealized losses on fixed income securities
$
(3,598
)
$
42,100
50.6
Gross unrealized gains on fixed income securities
2,384
41,124
49.4
Net unrealized gains and losses on fixed income securities
$
(1,214
)
$
83,224
100.0
%
Included in the fixed income securities with a fair value less than 70%
of amortized cost were ABS RMBS, Alt-A and other CDOs with a fair value
totaling $910 million or 79.1% of the total securities with a fair value
less than 70% of amortized cost. We continue to believe that the
unrealized losses on these securities are not necessarily predictive of
the ultimate performance. The unrealized losses should reverse over the
remaining lives of the securities, including in the absence of further
deterioration in the collateral relative to our positions in the
securities' respective capital structures. For further information on
these securities, see the Securities Experiencing Illiquid and Disrupted
Markets and Other CDO sections.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONCONSOLIDATED AND SEGMENT
HIGHLIGHTS
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions, except per share amounts, return data and ratios)
Est.2008
2007
Change
PercentChange
Est.2008
2007
Change
PercentChange
Consolidated Highlights
Revenues
$
7,418
$
9,455
$
(2,037
)
(21.5
)
$
15,505
$
18,786
$
(3,281
)
(17.5
)
Net income
25
1,403
(1,378
)
(98.2
)
373
2,898
(2,525
)
(87.1
)
Operating income
683
1,072
(389
)
(36.3
)
1,430
2,269
(839
)
(37.0
)
Income per diluted share
Net
0.05
2.30
(2.25
)
(97.8
)
0.67
4.71
(4.04
)
(85.8
)
Operating
1.24
1.76
(0.52
)
(29.5
)
2.57
3.69
(1.12
)
(30.4
)
Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted)
552.9
608.8
(55.9
)
(9.2
)
557.2
615.2
(58.0
)
(9.4
)
Net shares outstanding
545.6
587.7
(42.1
)
(7.2
)
Return on equity
Net income
10.2
25.0
-
(14.8
)
pts.
Operating income
15.1
23.1
-
(8.0
)
pts.
Book value per diluted share
35.93
36.39
(0.46
)
(1.3
)
Book value per diluted share, excluding the impact of unrealized
net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities
36.93
35.70
1.23
3.4
Property-Liability Highlights
Property-Liability premiums written
$
6,803
$
6,939
$
(136
)
(2.0
)
$
13,317
$
13,548
$
(231
)
(1.7
)
Property-Liability revenues
6,943
7,776
(833
)
(10.7
)
13,983
15,517
(1,534
)
(9.9
)
Net income
439
1,230
(791
)
(64.3
)
942
2,579
(1,637
)
(63.5
)
Underwriting income
378
845
(467
)
(55.3
)
786
1,891
(1,105
)
(58.4
)
Net investment income
431
517
(86
)
(16.6
)
901
1,008
(107
)
(10.6
)
Operating income
592
947
(355
)
(37.5
)
1,221
2,009
(788
)
(39.2
)
Catastrophe losses
698
433
265
61.2
1,266
594
672
113.1
Ratios:
Allstate Protection loss ratio
70.7
63.2
-
7.5
pts.
69.9
62.2
-
7.7
pts.
Allstate Protection expense ratio
23.7
24.3
-
(0.6
)
pts.
24.2
24.2
-
-
pts.
Allstate Protection combined ratio
94.4
87.5
-
6.9
pts.
94.1
86.4
-
7.7
pts.
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio
-
0.1
-
(0.1
)
pts.
0.1
(0.3
)
-
0.4
pts.
Property-Liability combined ratio
94.4
87.6
-
6.8
pts.
94.2
86.1
-
8.1
pts.
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio
10.3
6.3
-
4.0
pts.
9.4
4.4
-
5.0
pts.
Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes
84.1
81.3
-
2.8
pts.
84.8
81.7
-
3.1
pts.
Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
0.1
(2.1
)
-
2.2
pts.
0.8
(2.0
)
-
2.8
pts.
Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve
reestimates on combined ratio
(0.1
)
(0.7
)
-
0.6
pts.
(0.9
)
(0.4
)
-
(0.5
)
pts.
Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes
and prior year reserve reestimates
84.1
84.1
-
-
pts.
84.9
84.1
-
0.8
pts.
Allstate Financial Highlights
Premiums and deposits
$
4,453
$
2,887
$
1,566
54.2
$
7,499
$
5,515
$
1,984
36.0
Allstate Financial revenues
449
1,634
(1,185
)
(72.5
)
1,484
3,190
(1,706
)
(53.5
)
Realized capital gains and losses (pre-tax)
(965
)
104
(1,069
)
-
(1,397
)
127
(1,524
)
-
Net (loss) income
(379
)
200
(579
)
-
(490
)
364
(854
)
-
Operating income
118
154
(36
)
(23.4
)
261
310
(49
)
(15.8
)
Net income analysis
Benefit spread
127
122
5
4.1
238
232
6
2.6
Investment spread
242
264
(22
)
(8.3
)
495
528
(33
)
(6.3
)
Investment Highlights
Net investment income
$
1,412
$
1,634
$
(222
)
(13.6
)
$
2,938
$
3,205
$
(267
)
(8.3
)
Realized capital gains and losses (pre-tax)
(1,215
)
545
(1,760
)
-
(1,870
)
1,016
(2,886
)
-
Total investments
113,603
122,267
(8,664
)
(7.1
)
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions, except per share data)
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Revenues
Property-liability insurance premiums
$
6,750
$
6,822
(1.1
)
$
13,514
$
13,628
(0.8
)
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges
471
454
3.7
923
937
(1.5
)
Net investment income
1,412
1,634
(13.6
)
2,938
3,205
(8.3
)
Realized capital gains and losses
(1,215
)
545
-
(1,870
)
1,016
-
Total revenues
7,418
9,455
(21.5
)
15,505
18,786
(17.5
)
Costs and expenses
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense
4,776
4,317
10.6
9,452
8,434
12.1
Life and annuity contract benefits
395
386
2.3
792
814
(2.7
)
Interest credited to contractholder funds
563
673
(16.3
)
1,187
1,322
(10.2
)
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
959
1,216
(21.1
)
2,034
2,369
(14.1
)
Operating costs and expenses
728
734
(0.8
)
1,520
1,461
4.0
Restructuring and related charges
(5
)
4
-
(6
)
3
-
Interest expense
88
83
6.0
176
155
13.5
Total costs and expenses
7,504
7,413
1.2
15,155
14,558
4.1
Gain (loss) on disposition of operations
-
2
(100.0
)
(9
)
2
-
(Loss) income from operations before income tax (benefit) expense
(86
)
2,044
(104.2
)
341
4,230
(91.9
)
Income tax (benefit) expense
(111
)
641
(117.3
)
(32
)
1,332
(102.4
)
Net income
$
25
$
1,403
(98.2
)
$
373
$
2,898
(87.1
)
Net income per share - Basic
$
0.05
$
2.33
$
0.67
$
4.75
Weighted average shares - Basic
549.6
604.1
554.2
610.4
Net income per share - Diluted
$
0.05
$
2.30
$
0.67
$
4.71
Weighted average shares - Diluted
552.9
608.8
557.2
615.2
Cash dividends declared per share
$
0.41
$
0.38
$
0.82
$
0.76
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONCONTRIBUTION TO INCOME
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions, except per share data)
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Contribution to income
Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related
charges
$
680
$
1,075
(36.7
)
$
1,426
$
2,271
(37.2
)
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax
(3
)
3
-
(4
)
2
-
Operating income
683
1,072
(36.3
)
1,430
2,269
(37.0
)
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(788
)
352
-
(1,213
)
657
-
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax
134
(15
)
-
173
(15
)
-
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
(4
)
(7
)
42.9
(11
)
(15
)
26.7
Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax
-
1
(100.0
)
(6
)
2
-
Net income
$
25
$
1,403
(98.2
)
$
373
$
2,898
(87.1
)
Income per share - Diluted
Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related
charges
$
1.23
$
1.76
(30.1
)
$
2.56
$
3.69
(30.6
)
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax
(0.01
)
-
-
(0.01
)
-
-
Operating income
1.24
1.76
(29.5
)
2.57
3.69
(30.4
)
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(1.42
)
0.58
-
(2.18
)
1.07
-
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax
0.24
(0.02
)
-
0.31
(0.02
)
-
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
(0.01
)
(0.02
)
50.0
(0.02
)
(0.03
)
33.3
Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax
-
-
-
(0.01
)
-
-
Net income
$
0.05
$
2.30
(97.8
)
$
0.67
$
4.71
(85.8
)
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONSEGMENT RESULTS
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions, except ratios)
Est.2008
2007
Est.2008
2007
Property-Liability
Premiums written
$
6,803
$
6,939
$
13,317
$
13,548
Premiums earned
$
6,750
$
6,822
$
13,514
$
13,628
Claims and claims expense
4,776
4,317
9,452
8,434
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
1,000
1,032
2,011
2,056
Operating costs and expenses
601
623
1,271
1,243
Restructuring and related charges
(5
)
5
(6
)
4
Underwriting income
378
845
786
1,891
Net investment income
431
517
901
1,008
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments
-
-
1
-
Income tax expense on operations
217
415
467
890
Operating income
592
947
1,221
2,009
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(153
)
283
(278
)
570
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
-
-
(1
)
-
Net income
$
439
$
1,230
$
942
$
2,579
Catastrophe losses
$
698
$
433
$
1,266
$
594
Operating ratios:
Claims and claims expense ratio
70.8
63.3
70.0
61.9
Expense ratio
23.6
24.3
24.2
24.2
Combined ratio
94.4
87.6
94.2
86.1
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio
10.3
6.3
9.4
4.4
Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
0.1
(2.1
)
0.8
(2.0
)
Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve
reestimate on combined ratio
0.1
0.7
0.9
0.4
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio
-
0.1
0.1
(0.3
)
Allstate Financial
Premiums and deposits
$
4,453
$
2,887
$
7,499
$
5,515
Investments
$
72,504
$
77,113
$
72,504
$
77,113
Premiums and contract charges
$
471
$
454
$
923
$
937
Net investment income
943
1,076
1,958
2,126
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments
7
12
16
24
Contract benefits
395
386
792
814
Interest credited to contractholder funds
599
670
1,229
1,319
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
130
164
247
293
Operating costs and expenses
125
95
243
200
Restructuring and related charges
-
(1
)
-
(1
)
Income tax expense on operations
54
74
125
152
Operating income
118
154
261
310
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(627
)
67
(908
)
82
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax
134
(15
)
173
(15
)
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
(4
)
(7
)
(10
)
(15
)
Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax
-
1
(6
)
2
Net (loss) income
$
(379
)
$
200
$
(490
)
$
364
Corporate and Other
Net investment income
$
38
$
41
$
79
$
71
Operating costs and expenses
90
99
182
173
Income tax benefit on operations
(25
)
(29
)
(51
)
(52
)
Operating loss
(27
)
(29
)
(52
)
(50
)
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(8
)
2
(27
)
5
Net loss
$
(35
)
$
(27
)
$
(79
)
$
(45
)
Consolidated net income
$
25
$
1,403
$
373
$
2,898
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONUNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA
OF BUSINESS
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions, except ratios)
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Property-Liability Underwriting Summary
Allstate Protection
$
381
$
850
(55.2)
$
796
$
1,856
(57.1)
Discontinued Lines and Coverages
(3)
(5)
40.0
(10)
35
(128.6)
Underwriting income
$
378
$
845
(55.3)
$
786
$
1,891
(58.4)
Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary
Premiums written
$
6,803
$
6,939
(2.0)
$
13,317
$
13,548
(1.7)
Premiums earned
$
6,750
$
6,822
(1.1)
$
13,514
$
13,628
(0.8)
Claims and claims expense
4,774
4,314
10.7
9,445
8,473
11.5
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
1,000
1,032
(3.1)
2,011
2,056
(2.2)
Operating costs and expenses
600
621
(3.4)
1,268
1,239
2.3
Restructuring and related charges
(5)
5
-
(6)
4
-
Underwriting income
$
381
$
850
(55.2)
$
796
$
1,856
(57.1)
Catastrophe losses
$
698
$
433
61.2
$
1,266
$
594
113.1
Operating ratios:
Claims and claims expense ratio
70.7
63.2
69.9
62.2
Expense ratio
23.7
24.3
24.2
24.2
Combined ratio
94.4
87.5
94.1
86.4
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio
10.3
6.3
9.4
4.4
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
(0.1)
0.1
-
-
Discontinued Lines and Coverages Underwriting Summary
Premiums written
$
-
$
-
-
$
-
$
-
-
Premiums earned
$
-
$
-
-
$
-
$
-
-
Claims and claims expense
2
3
(33.3)
7
(39)
117.9
Operating costs and expenses
1
2
(50.0)
3
4
(25.0)
Underwriting (loss) income
$
(3)
$
(5)
40.0
$
(10)
$
35
(128.6)
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the
Property-Liability combined ratio
-
0.1
0.1
(0.3)
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONPROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS
WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT
Three Months EndedJune 30,
Six Months EndedJune 30,
($ in millions)
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Est.2008
2007
PercentChange
Allstate brand
Standard auto
$
3,957
$
3,956
-
$
8,034
$
8,007
0.3
Non-standard auto
261
300
(13.0)
535
621
(13.8)
Involuntary auto
17
22
(22.7)
33
44
(25.0)
Commercial lines
173
199
(13.1)
340
393
(13.5)
Homeowners
1,531
1,543
(0.8)
2,716
2,756
(1.5)
Other personal lines
423
422
0.2
794
787
0.9
6,362
6,442
(1.2)
12,452
12,608
(1.2)
Encompass brand
Standard auto
272
297
(8.4)
542
563
(3.7)
Non-standard auto
11
18
(38.9)
23
39
(41.0)
Involuntary auto
3
5
(40.0)
6
11
(45.5)
Homeowners
129
147
(12.2)
242
270
(10.4)
Other personal lines
26
30
(13.3)
52
57
(8.8)
441
497
(11.3)
865
940
(8.0)
Allstate Protection
6,803
6,939
(2.0)
13,317
13,548
(1.7)
Discontinued Lines and Coverages
-
-
-
-
-
-
Property-Liability
$
6,803
$
6,939
(2.0)
$
13,317
$
13,548
(1.7)
Allstate Protection
Standard auto
$
4,229
$
4,253
(0.6)
$
8,576
$
8,570
0.1
Non-standard auto
272
318
(14.5)
558
660
(15.5)
Involuntary auto
20
27
(25.9)
39
55
(29.1)
Commercial lines
173
199
(13.1)
340
393
(13.5)
Homeowners
1,660
1,690
(1.8)
2,958
3,026
(2.2)
Other personal lines
449
452
(0.7)
846
844
0.2
$
6,803
$
6,939
(2.0)
$
13,317
$
13,548
(1.7)
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONPROPERTY-LIABILITYANNUAL
IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1) (6)
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2008 (Est.)
Number ofStates
Countrywide (%) (2)
State Specific (%) (3) Allstate brand
Standard auto (4)
15
(0.4
)
(1.2
)
Non-standard auto (7)
5
(0.2
)
(7.7
)
Homeowners (5)
16
0.7
2.3
Encompass brand
Standard auto
9
0.8
3.4
Non-standard auto
-
-
-
Homeowners (7)
13
0.9
4.5
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2008 (Est.)
Number ofStates
Countrywide (%) (2)
State Specific (%) (3) Allstate brand
Standard auto (4)
23
0.4
0.9
Non-standard auto (7)
7
-
0.4
Homeowners (5)
23
2.0
4.9
Encompass brand
Standard auto
24
1.1
2.5
Non-standard auto
-
-
-
Homeowners (7)
17
1.4
6.6
(1)
Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to
achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all
locations and for all products. Rate changes include changes
approved based on our net cost of reinsurance. These rate changes do
not reflect initial rates filed for insurance subsidiaries initially
writing new business. Based on historical premiums written in those
states, rate changes approved for the three month and six month
periods ending June 30, 2008, are estimated to total $(10) million
and $212 million, respectively.
(2)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved
during 2008 as a percentage of total countrywide prior year-end
premiums written.
(3)
Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved
during 2008 as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written
in those states.
(4)
Excluding the impact of a 15.9% rate reduction in California related
to an order effective in April 2008, the Allstate brand standard
auto rate change is 5.5% on a state specific basis and 1.3% on a
countrywide basis for the three months ended June 30, 2008 and 5.4%
on a state specific basis and 2.2% on a countrywide basis for the
six months ended June 30, 2008. We estimate that this rate decrease
will have an impact of $135 million on premiums written and $85
million on underwriting income during the remainder of 2008.
(5)
Excluding the impact of a 3.0% rate reduction in Texas related to a
resolution reached in the second quarter of 2008, the Allstate brand
homeowners rate change is 3.3% on a state specific basis and 1.0% on
a countrywide basis for the three months ended June 30, 2008 and
5.7% on a state specific basis and 2.3% on a countrywide basis for
the six months ended June 30, 2008. We estimate that this rate
decrease will have an impact of $7 million on premiums written and
$1 million on underwriting income during the remainder of 2008.
(6)
During July 2008, we received an order to reduce Allstate brand
homeowners rates in the state of California by 28.5%. We estimate
that this rate decrease will have an impact of $88 million on
premiums written and $15 million on underwriting income during the
remainder of 2008.
(7)
Includes Washington, D.C.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATIONALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET
SEGMENT ANALYSIS
Three Months Ended June 30,
($ in millions, except ratios)
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Premiums Earned
Loss Ratio (2)
Effect ofCatastrophe Losseson the Loss Ratio
Expense Ratio
Allstate brand
Standard auto
$
4,014
$
3,986
67.1
63.5
2.1
1.3
23.5
24.2
Non-standard auto
270
316
60.0
59.2
1.1
0.6
22.6
23.7
Homeowners
1,420
1,437
86.5
67.7
38.0
21.6
21.2
23.3
Other (1)
593
606
63.1
57.4
5.9
6.6
26.8
25.1
Total Allstate brand
6,297
6,345
70.8
63.6
10.5
6.4
23.2
24.1
Encompass brand
Standard auto
278
283
65.8
57.2
1.8
0.7
27.7
26.9
Non-standard auto
12
20
83.3
80.0
-
-
25.0
25.0
Homeowners
129
139
72.9
55.4
23.3
16.5
31.8
30.2
Other (1)
34
35
88.2
62.9
5.9
5.7
26.5
25.7
Total Encompass brand
453
477
70.0
58.0
8.2
5.7
28.7
27.7
Allstate Protection
$
6,750
$
6,822
70.7
63.2
10.3
6.3
23.7
24.3
Six Months Ended June 30,
($ in millions, except ratios)
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Premiums Earned
Loss Ratio (2)
Effect ofCatastrophe Losseson the Loss Ratio
Expense Ratio
Allstate brand
Standard auto
$
8,025
$
7,937
66.3
63.6
1.7
0.8
23.8
23.8
Non-standard auto
548
638
62.6
59.7
0.9
0.3
23.2
22.7
Homeowners
2,846
2,875
83.3
61.4
33.8
15.0
22.9
24.1
Other (1)
1,185
1,217
66.4
58.7
7.9
5.1
27.4
25.6
Total Allstate brand
12,604
12,667
70.0
62.4
9.5
4.4
23.9
24.0
Encompass brand
Standard auto
558
567
58.4
61.0
1.1
0.5
27.1
26.7
Non-standard auto
26
42
76.9
78.6
-
-
30.8
23.8
Homeowners
262
281
69.1
52.3
21.0
10.7
31.3
29.6
Other (1)
64
71
150.0
57.7
6.3
4.2
28.1
25.4
Total Encompass brand
910
961
68.4
59.0
7.1
3.7
28.5
27.3
Allstate Protection
$
13,514
$
13,628
69.9
62.2
9.4
4.4
24.2
24.2
(1)
Other includes commercial lines, condominium, renters, involuntary
auto and other personal lines.
(2)
Loss Ratio comparisons are impacted by the relative level of prior
year reserve reestimates. Please refer to the "Effect of Pre-tax
Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio" table for
detailed reserve reestimate information.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION PROPERTY-LIABILITY EFFECT OF PRE-TAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED
RATIO
Three Months Ended June 30,
Pre-tax Reserve Reestimates (1)
Effect of Pre-tax ReserveReestimates on theCombined Ratio
Est.
Est.
($ in millions, except ratios)
2008
2007
2008
2007
Auto
$
(13
)
$
(146
)
(0.2
)
(2.2
)
Homeowners
18
25
0.3
0.4
Other
2
(26
)
-
(0.4
)
Allstate Protection (2)
7
(147
)
0.1
(2.2
)
Discontinued Lines and Coverages
2
4
-
0.1
Property-Liability
$
9
$
(143
)
0.1
(2.1
)
Allstate brand
$
(2
)
$
(113
)
-
(1.7
)
Encompass brand
9
(34
)
0.1
(0.5
)
Allstate Protection (2)
$
7
$
(147
)
0.1
(2.2
)
Six Months Ended June 30,
Pre-tax Reserve Reestimates (1)
Effect of Pre-tax ReserveReestimates on theCombined Ratio
Est.
Est.
($ in millions, except ratios)
2008
2007
2008
2007
Auto
$
(67
)
$
(212
)
(0.5
)
(1.6
)
Homeowners
96
22
0.7
0.2
Other
74
(44
)
0.5
(0.3
)
Allstate Protection (2)
103
(234
)
0.7
(1.7
)
Discontinued Lines and Coverages
7
(38
)
0.1
(0.3
)
Property-Liability
$
110
$
(272
)
0.8
(2.0
)
Allstate brand
$
94
$
(192
)
0.7
(1.4
)
Encompass brand
9
(42
)
-
(0.3
)
Allstate Protection (2)
$
103
$
(234
)
0.7
(1.7
)
(1)
Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)
Unfavorable reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses
totaled $11 million and $50 million in the three months ended June
30, 2008 and June 30, 2007, respectively, and $128 million and $44
million in the six months ended June 30, 2007 and 2008, respectively.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30,
June 30,
Est.
Percent
Est.
Percent
($ in millions)
2008
2007
Change
2008
2007
Change
Life Products
Interest-sensitive life
$
356
$
356
-
$
720
$
718
0.3
Traditional
99
90
10.0
188
182
3.3
Other
99
92
7.6
200
181
10.5
554
538
3.0
1,108
1,081
2.5
Annuities
Indexed annuities
151
171
(11.7
)
284
312
(9.0
)
Fixed deferred annuities
1,037
657
57.8
1,553
1,137
36.6
Sub-total
1,188
828
43.5
1,837
1,449
26.8
Fixed immediate annuities
85
101
(15.8
)
152
253
(39.9
)
1,273
929
37.0
1,989
1,702
16.9
Institutional Products
Funding agreements backing medium-term notes (1)
2,498
1,300
92.2
4,158
2,500
66.3
Bank Deposits
128
120
6.7
244
232
5.2
Total
$
4,453
$
2,887
54.2
$
7,499
$
5,515
36.0
(1)
During the second quarter of 2008, Allstate Financial acquired in
the secondary market and retired $1.14 billion of its outstanding
extendible securities that had elected to non-extend.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION ALLSTATE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF NET INCOME
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30,
June 30,
Est.
Percent
Est.
Percent
($ in millions)
2008
2007
Change
2008
2007
Change
Benefit spread
Premiums
$
211
$
210
0.5
$
409
$
452
(9.5
)
Cost of insurance contract charges (1)
173
159
8.8
345
318
8.5
Contract benefits excluding the implied interest on immediate
annuities with life contingencies (2)
(257
)
(247
)
(4.0
)
(516
)
(538
)
4.1
Benefit spread
127
122
4.1
238
232
2.6
Investment spread
Net investment income
943
1,076
(12.4
)
1,958
2,126
(7.9
)
Implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies
(2)
(138
)
(139
)
0.7
(276
)
(276
)
-
Interest credited to contractholder funds
(563
)
(673
)
16.3
(1,187
)
(1,322
)
10.2
Investment spread
242
264
(8.3
)
495
528
(6.3
)
Surrender charges and contract maintenance expense fees (1)
87
85
2.4
169
167
1.2
Realized capital gains and losses
(965
)
104
-
(1,397
)
127
-
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
41
(184
)
122.3
(23
)
(313
)
92.7
Operating costs and expenses
(125
)
(95
)
(31.6
)
(243
)
(200
)
(21.5
)
Restructuring and related charges
-
1
(100.0
)
-
1
(100.0
)
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations
-
2
(100.0
)
(9
)
2
-
Income tax benefit (expense) on operations
214
(99
)
-
280
(180
)
-
Net (loss) income
$
(379
)
$
200
-
$
(490
)
$
364
-
Benefit spread by product group
Life insurance
$
134
$
128
4.7
$
263
$
246
6.9
Annuities
(7
)
(6
)
(16.7
)
(25
)
(14
)
(78.6
)
Benefit spread
$
127
$
122
4.1
$
238
$
232
2.6
Investment spread by product group
Annuities
$
132
$
129
2.3
$
247
$
258
(4.3
)
Life insurance
15
14
7.1
34
33
3.0
Institutional products
16
20
(20.0
)
43
45
(4.4
)
Bank
4
4
-
9
8
12.5
Net investment income on investments supporting capital
75
97
(22.7
)
162
184
(12.0
)
Investment spread
$
242
$
264
(8.3
)
$
495
$
528
(6.3
)
(1) Reconciliation of contract charges
Cost of insurance contract charges
$
173
$
159
8.8
$
345
$
318
8.5
Surrender charges and contract maintenance expense fees
87
85
2.4
169
167
1.2
Total contract charges
$
260
$
244
6.6
$
514
$
485
6.0
(2) Reconciliation of contract benefits
Contract benefits excluding the implied interest on immediate
annuities with life contingencies
$
(257
)
$
(247
)
(4.0
)
$
(516
)
$
(538
)
4.1
Implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies
(138
)
(139
)
0.7
(276
)
(276
)
-
Total contract benefits
$
(395
)
$
(386
)
(2.3
)
$
(792
)
$
(814
)
2.7
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION INVESTMENT RESULTS
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30,
June 30,
Est.
Est.
($ in millions)
2008
2007
2008
2007
NET INVESTMENT INCOME
Fixed income securities:
Tax-exempt
$
242
$
244
$
482
$
488
Taxable
955
1,130
1,994
2,232
Equity securities
31
34
63
61
Mortgage loans
156
146
316
289
Limited partnership interests
30
86
90
156
Short-term
54
61
94
110
Other
2
46
28
91
Investment income
1,470
1,747
3,067
3,427
Less: Investment expense
58
113
129
222
Net investment income
$
1,412
$
1,634
$
2,938
$
3,205
REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRE-TAX)
Investment write-downs
$
(250
)
$
(8
)
$
(665
)
$
(13
)
Dispositions
(1,088
)
307
(1,028
)
757
Valuation of derivative instruments
40
199
(285
)
187
Settlements of derivative instruments
83
47
108
85
Realized capital gains and losses (pre-tax)
$
(1,215
)
$
545
$
(1,870
)
$
1,016
June 30,
Dec. 31,
INVESTMENTS
2008 (Est.)
2007
Fixed income securities
Available for sale, at fair value
Tax-exempt
$
18,935
$
19,038
Taxable
64,289
75,413
Total fixed income securities
83,224
94,451
Equity securities, at fair value
4,664
5,257
Mortgage loans
10,629
10,830
Limited partnership interests (1)
2,890
2,501
Short-term
9,639
3,058
Other
2,557
2,883
Total Investments
$
113,603
$
118,980
FIXED INCOME SECURITIES BY TYPE
U.S. government and agencies
$
4,131
$
4,421
Municipal
24,418
25,307
Corporate
33,691
38,467
Asset-backed securities
6,126
8,679
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
6,036
7,617
Mortgage-backed securities
6,089
6,959
Foreign government
2,676
2,936
Redeemable preferred stock
57
65
Total fixed income securities
$
83,224
$
94,451
FIXED INCOME SECURITIES BY CREDIT QUALITY NAIC Rating Moody's Equivalent
1
Aaa/Aa/A
$
61,501
$
71,458
2
Baa
17,559
18,361
3
Ba
2,690
2,904
4
B
1,001
1,296
5
Caa or lower
419
378
6
In or near default
54
54
Total
$
83,224
$
94,451
AMORTIZED COST
Fixed income securities
Available for sale, at amortized cost
Tax-exempt
$
18,752
$
18,393
Taxable
65,686
75,102
Total fixed income securities
84,438
93,495
Equity securities, at cost
$
4,197
$
4,267
(1)
We have commitments to invest in additional limited partnerships
totaling $2.0 billion at June 30, 2008.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRE-TAX)
Three Months Ended June 30, 2008 (Est.)
($ in millions)
Property-
Allstate
Corporate
Liability
Financial
and Other
Total
Investment write-downs
$
(51
)
$
(199
)
$
-
$
(250
)
Dispositions (1)
(300
)
(776
)
(12
)
(1,088
)
Valuation of derivative instruments
32
8
-
40
Settlements of derivative instruments
81
2
-
83
Total
$
(238
)
$
(965
)
$
(12
)
$
(1,215
)
Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 (Est.)
Property-
Allstate
Corporate
Liability
Financial
and Other
Total
Investment write-downs
$
(226
)
$
(408
)
$
(31
)
$
(665
)
Dispositions
(176
)
(842
)
(10
)
(1,028
)
Valuation of derivative instruments
(91
)
(194
)
-
(285
)
Settlements of derivative instruments
61
47
-
108
Total
$
(432
)
$
(1,397
)
$
(41
)
$
(1,870
)
Three Months Ended June 30, 2007
Property-
Allstate
Corporate
Liability
Financial
and Other
Total
Investment write-downs
$
(4
)
$
(4
)
$
-
$
(8
)
Dispositions
352
(49
)
4
307
Valuation of derivative instruments
64
135
-
199
Settlements of derivative instruments
25
22
-
47
Total
$
437
$
104
$
4
$
545
Six Months Ended June 30, 2007
Property-
Allstate
Corporate
Liability
Financial
and Other
Total
Investment write-downs
$
(8
)
$
(5
)
$
-
$
(13
)
Dispositions
763
(14
)
8
757
Valuation of derivative instruments
72
115
-
187
Settlements of derivative instruments
54
31
-
85
Total
$
881
$
127
$
8
$
1,016
(1)
In the second quarter of 2008, the Company recognized $1.1 billion
of losses related to a change in our intent to hold certain
securities with unrealized losses until they recover in value. The
change in our intent was due to risk mitigation and ongoing
comprehensive reviews of the Property-Liability and Allstate
Financial portfolios and enterprise asset allocation of the
Property-Liability portfolio. The Company identified $8.2 billion
of securities, which we did not have the intent to hold until
recovery to achieve these objectives; this includes $3.3 billion
related to our risk mitigation and return optimization programs.
For further information on the types of securities included in
dispositions, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis
section.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
June 30,
December 31,
($ in millions, except par value data)
2008 (Est.)
2007
Assets
Investments
Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $84,438 and
$93,495)
$
83,224
$
94,451
Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,197 and $4,267)
4,664
5,257
Mortgage loans
10,629
10,830
Limited partnership interests
2,890
2,501
Short-term (1)
9,639
3,058
Other
2,557
2,883
Total investments (2) (3)
113,603
118,980
Cash
748
422
Premium installment receivables, net
4,906
4,879
Deferred policy acquisition costs
6,630
5,768
Reinsurance recoverables, net
5,798
5,817
Accrued investment income
968
1,050
Deferred income taxes
1,333
467
Property and equipment, net
1,017
1,062
Goodwill
875
825
Other assets
2,517
2,209
Separate Accounts
12,438
14,929
Total assets
$
150,833
$
156,408
Liabilities
Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense
$
18,863
$
18,865
Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits
12,965
13,212
Contractholder funds
62,419
61,975
Unearned premiums
10,266
10,409
Claim payments outstanding
833
748
Other liabilities and accrued expenses
7,682
8,779
Short-term debt
18
-
Long-term debt
5,640
5,640
Separate Accounts
12,438
14,929
Total liabilities
131,124
134,557
Shareholders' equity
Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none
issued
-
-
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and
900 million issued, 546 million and 563 million shares outstanding
9
9
Additional capital paid-in
3,096
3,052
Retained income
32,701
32,796
Deferred ESOP expense
(49
)
(55
)
Treasury stock, at cost (354 million and 337 million shares)
(15,420
)
(14,574
)
Accumulated other comprehensive income:
Unrealized net capital gains and losses (4)
(274
)
888
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments
65
79
Net funded status of pension and other postretirement benefit
obligation
(419
)
(344
)
Total accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income
(628
)
623
Total shareholders' equity
19,709
21,851
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
$
150,833
$
156,408
(1)
Increases in the short term balance reflect actions taken to offset
reduced liquidity in some asset classes and the maturity of
institutional market deposits.
(2)
Total investments include $36,877 for Property-Liability, $72,504
for Allstate Financial and $4,222 for Corporate and Other
investments at June 30, 2008. Total investments include $40,905 for
Property-Liability, $74,256 for Allstate Financial and $3,819 for
Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2007.
(3)
Pre-tax unrealized net capital gains and losses at June 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007 include net gains and losses on fixed income
securities of $(1,214) million and $956 million, respectively; net
gains and losses on equity securities of $467 million and $990
million, respectively; and net gains and losses on derivative
instruments of $(42) million and $(33) million, respectively.
(4)
After-tax unrealized net capital gains and losses at June 30, 2008
and December 31, 2007 include net gains and losses on fixed income
securities $(550) million and $266 million, respectively; net gains
and losses on equity securities of $304 million and $644 million,
respectively; and net gains and losses on derivative instruments of
$28 million and $(22) million, respectively.
Investments Investment Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization Programs
We developed additional risk mitigation and return optimization programs
in the second quarter of 2008 in response to an altered outlook for
continued weakness in the U.S. financial markets and economy including
continued volatility in the financial markets, continued reduced
liquidity in certain asset classes and further unfavorable economic
trends. In addition, the potential for systemic investment supply and
demand imbalances has remained above normal due to the deteriorating
credit strength of financial institutions. The risk mitigation and
return optimization programs are designed to protect certain portions of
our investment portfolio from significant decreases in value resulting
from extreme adverse movements in risk-free interest rates, credit
spreads, and equity market valuations. They consist of overall portfolio
protection (macro-hedging) and potential future reductions in certain
real estate and financial-related market sectors. These actions will
position us to take advantage of market opportunities and also will help
protect our investment portfolio from the continued turmoil in the
financial markets. These programs augment earlier actions to reduce
investments in real estate and other market sectors as well as to
mitigate exposures to risk free interest rate spikes. We will monitor
the progress of these programs as market and economic conditions
continue to develop and will adapt our decisions as appropriate.
We have begun to implement the macro-hedging program using derivatives
to partially mitigate the potential adverse impacts from potential
future increases in risk free interest rates, increases in credit
spreads, and negative equity market valuations. The interest rate
component is being integrated with the current program, to protect a
certain portion of fixed income securities if interest rates increase
above a targeted maximum level, for example in excess of 150 basis
points. The equity hedge will be designed to protect the equity
portfolio from significant equity market valuation declines below a
targeted level using a collar whereby we give up returns above a certain
level. For example, if equity market valuation declines fall below 25%
the equity hedge protects valuations, and with a collar we give up
returns in excess of 20%. Another component of the macro-hedging program
is less comprehensive since these derivatives are less effective and
efficient and partially mitigates municipal bond interest rate risk and
some general market credit spread risk. The cost of the macro-hedging
program for one year is currently estimated to be approximately $85
million. The provisions of the macro-hedging program and its estimated
cost will be dependent upon market conditions at the time of entering
into the applicable contracts.
A comprehensive review identified specific investments that could be
significantly impacted by continued deterioration in the economy
including certain real estate and financial-related market sectors that
may be sold. This includes a portion of our residential and commercial
real estate securities including securities collateralized by
residential and commercial mortgage loans, mortgage loans and securities
issued by financial institutions. As a result, we have change in intent
write-downs on securities with a fair value of approximately $3.2
billion at June 30, 2008. Accordingly, approximately $857 million of
realized capital losses were recognized in the second quarter net income
related to our change in intent write-downs, with minimal net impact on
shareholders’ equity as these investments
were carried at fair value with unrealized losses reflected within
accumulated other comprehensive income at March 31, 2008.
At June 30, 2008, our exposure to residential and commercial real estate
is approximately $28.1 billion, comprised primarily of mortgage-backed
securities ("MBS"), commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS"),
asset-backed residential mortgage-backed securities ("ABS RMBS"),
asset-backed collateralized debt obligations ("ABS CDO") and mortgage
loans. Our exposure to financial-related market sectors totaled
approximately $11 billion at June 30, 2008, and includes fixed income
and equity holdings in banks, brokerages, finance companies and
insurance.
Any funds raised from the eventual disposition of these securities will
be invested in accordance with our asset-liability management strategies
and the initial stage of our enhanced enterprise-wide asset allocation ("EAA”)
strategy. These strategies identify risks and return needs across the
Corporation and consider cross-correlation impacts in determining an
efficient mix of assets for the enterprise as a whole. The work
associated with these strategies is ongoing, and implementation will
occur as market opportunities arise. Under conditions we find favorable,
an increase in municipal bond and foreign equity exposures comprise the
initial state of our EAA strategy. To the extent markets remain
unstable, we will invest in high quality, lower risk investments over
the short-term. Net investment income from potential reinvested funds
may be lower as proceeds invested at current yields could be lower than
the yields on the investments written-down.
Securities Experiencing Illiquid and Disrupted Markets
During the second quarter of 2008, certain financial markets continued
to experience price declines due to market and liquidity disruptions. We
experienced this illiquidity and disruption particularly in our prime
residential mortgage-backed securities ("Prime”),
Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities ("Alt-A”),
commercial real estate collateralized debt obligations ("CRE
CDO”), ABS RMBS and ABS CDO portfolios.
These portfolios totaled $5.3 billion, or less than 5% of our total
investments at June 30, 2008. Certain other asset-backed and real
estate-backed securities markets experienced illiquidity, but to a
lesser degree.
We determine the fair values of securities comprising these illiquid
portfolios by obtaining information from an independent third-party
valuation service provider and brokers. We confirmed the reasonableness
of the fair value of these portfolios as of June 30, 2008 by analyzing
available market information including, but not limited to, collateral
quality, anticipated cash flows, credit enhancements, default rates,
loss severities, securities’ relative
position within their respective capital structures, and credit ratings
from statistical rating agencies.
Impairments for the second quarter of 2008 included write-downs on our
Alt-A totaling $2 million, CRE CDO totaling $39 million, ABS RMBS
totaling $137 million and ABS CDO totaling $3 million. Dispositions,
including change in intent write-downs, included losses on our Alt-A
totaling $96 million, CRE CDO totaling $248 million and ABS RMBS
totaling $185 million.
Unrealized net capital losses as of June 30, 2008 included $61 million
on the Prime, $134 million on the Alt-A and $680 million on the ABS
RMBS. Unrealized net capital gains as of June 30, 2008 included $4
million on the CRE CDO and $2 million of ABS CDO. We continue to believe
that the unrealized losses on these securities are not necessarily
predictive of the ultimate performance of the underlying collateral. In
the absence of further deterioration in the collateral relative to our
positions in the securities’ respective
capital structures, which could be other-than-temporary, the unrealized
losses should reverse over the remaining lives of the securities.
Information about certain of our collateralized securities and their
financial ratings is presented in the table below.
(in millions)
Est. Fair value at June 30, 2008
% to Total Investments
Aaa
Aa
A
Baa
Ba or lower Mortgage-backed securities
U.S. Agency
$4,160
3.7
%
100.0
%
--
--
--
--
Prime
976
0.9
84.8
15.2
%
--
--
--
Alt-A
948
0.8
95.3
3.7
0.4
%
--
0.6
Other
5 --
--
100.0
--
--
--
Total Mortgage-backed securities
$6,089 5.4 %
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
$5,660
5.0
%
81.2
13.2
4.0
1.4
%
0.2
CRE CDO
376 0.3
38.3
28.4
24.5
8.8
--
Total Commercial mortgage-backed securities
$6,036 5.3 %
Asset-backed securities
ABS RMBS
$2,974
2.6
%
52.1
27.6
10.3
6.4
3.6
%
ABS CDO
14 --
--
--
--
--
100.0
Total asset-backed securities collateralized by sub-prime
residential mortgage loans
2,988
2.6
Other collateralized debt obligations
1,652
1.5
35.2
26.4
27.4
8.3
2.7
Other asset-backed securities
1,486 1.3
47.3
16.7
23.5
8.9
3.6
Total Asset-backed securities
$6,126 5.4 %
The cash flows of the underlying mortgages or collateral for MBS, CRE
CDO and ABS are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are
designed so that each security issued qualifies for a specific original
rating. The security issue is typically referred to as the "class”.
For example, the "senior”
portion or "top”
of the capital structure which would originally qualify for a rating of
AAA is referred to as the "AAA class”
and typically has priority in receiving the principal repayments on the
underlying mortgages. In addition, the portion of the capital structure
originally rated AAA may be further divided into multiple sub-classes, "super
senior”, "senior”,
”senior support”
for Prime and Alt-A MBS issues, and "first”,
"second”, "third”
for ABS RMBS issues where the principal repayments are typically paid
sequentially (i.e., all of the underlying mortgage principal repayments
are received by the first originally rated AAA class in the structure
until it is paid in full, then all of the underlying mortgage principal
repayments are received by the second originally rated AAA class in the
structure until it is paid in full). Although securities within the
various AAA classes are paid sequentially, they typically share any
losses on a pro-rata basis after losses are absorbed by classes with
lower original ratings or what may be referred to as more "junior”
or "subordinate”
securities in the capital structure. The underlying mortgages have fixed
interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable rate
mortgages ("ARM”))
or are hybrid meaning that they contain features of both fixed and
variable rate mortgages.
Prime are collateralized by residential mortgage loans issued to prime
borrowers. Prime primarily comprise fixed rate, seasoned mortgages,
originally in the AAA class of the capital structure. Changes during the
second quarter of 2008 in Prime and characteristics of the portfolio:
$564 million or 58.0% were issued during 2005, 2006 and 2007.
We collected $33 million of principal repayments consistent with the
expected cash flows.
We sold $154 million upon which we recognized a loss of $3 million.
$15 million of change in intent write-downs were recorded.
Fair value represents 94.1% of the amortized cost of these securities.
Fixed rate mortgages comprise 73% of our Prime holdings and 85% of our
Prime holdings are in the AAA class.
The following table shows our portfolio by vintage, based upon our
participation in the capital structure.
($ in millions)
Vintage Year
Capital structure classification
2007
2006
2005
Pre-2005
Fair Value Amortized Cost (1) Unrealized Gain/Loss
AAA – Fixed rate
Super Senior
$
--
$
58
$
--
$
48
$
106
$
109
$
(3
)
Senior
37
60
121
240
458
487
(29 )
37
118
121
288
564
596
(32 ) AAA – Hybrid
Super Senior
17
5
76
12
110
122 (12 )
Senior
20
--
17
105
142
149 (7 )
Senior Support
--
--
12
--
12
16
(4 )
37
5
105
117
264
287
(23 ) AA – Fixed rate
Super Senior
-- -- -- 7 7 8 (1 )
Senior
141
--
--
--
141
146
(5 )
141
--
--
7
148
154
(6 )
Total
$ 215 $ 123 $ 226 $ 412 $ 976 $ 1,037 $ (61 )
(1) Amortized cost includes other-than
temporary impairment charges, as applicable.
Alt-A can be issued by trusts backed by pools of residential mortgages
with either fixed or variable interest rates. The mortgage pools can
include residential mortgage loans issued to borrowers with stronger
credit profiles than sub-prime borrowers, but who do not qualify for
prime financing terms due to high loan-to-value ratios or limited
supporting documentation. Changes during the second quarter of 2008 in
our Alt-A holdings and characteristics of the portfolio:
$733 million or 77.3% of the Alt-A holdings were issued during 2005,
2006 and 2007.
We collected $42 million of principal repayments consistent with the
expected cash flows.
We sold $43 million upon which we recognized a loss of $15 million.
$2 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to further
expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying
collateral. In addition, $96 million of change in intent write-downs
were recorded.
Fair value represents 87.6% of the amortized cost of these securities.
Alt-A securities with a fair value less than 70% of amortized cost
totaled $69 million, with unrealized losses of $69 million.
The following table shows our portfolio by vintage, based upon our
participation in the capital structure.
($ in millions)
Vintage Year
Capital structure classification
2007
2006
2005
Pre-2005
Fair Value Amortized Cost (1) Unrealized Gain/Loss
AAA – Fixed rate
Super Senior
$
--
$
48
$
46
$
--
$
94
$
104
$
(10
)
Senior
34
136
103
159
432
469
(37
)
Senior Support
49
7
--
--
56
55
1
83
191
149
159
582
628
(46 ) AAA – Hybrid
Super Senior
--
28
3
--
31
39
(8
)
Senior
--
--
12
12
24
28
(4
)
Senior Support
9
4
19
9
41
54
(13 )
9
32
34
21
96
121
(25 ) AAA – Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage
Super Senior
21
--
33
--
54
54
--
Senior
--
--
10
--
10
10
--
Senior Support
47
29
3
9
88
142
(54
)
Super Senior - Mid
32
27
6
8
73
79
(6 )
100
56
52
17
225
285
(60 ) AA – Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage
Senior Support
--
8
5
--
13
13
--
Subordinate
--
--
4
18
22
20
2
--
8
9
18
35
33
2
A and lower
Other
--
9
1
--
10
15
(5 )
--
9
1
--
10
15
(5 )
Total
$ 192 $ 296 $ 245 $ 215 $ 948 $ 1,082 $ (134 )
(1) Amortized cost includes other-than
temporary impairment charges, as applicable.
CRE CDO are investments secured primarily by commercial mortgage-backed
securities and other commercial mortgage debt obligations. These
securities are generally less liquid and have a higher risk profile than
other commercial mortgage-backed securities. Changes during the second
quarter of 2008 in our CRE CDO holdings and characteristics of the
portfolio:
$268 million or 71.3% of the CRE CDO holdings were issued during 2005,
2006 and 2007.
We collected $2 million of principal repayments consistent with the
expected cash flows.
We sold $27 million recognizing a loss of $22 million.
$39 million of impairment write-downs were recorded during the second
quarter of 2008. In addition, $248 million of change in intent
write-downs were recorded.
As of June 30, 2008, net unrealized gain on CRE CDO totaled $4 million.
Fair value represents 101.1% of the amortized cost of these securities.
The following table shows our portfolio by vintage, based upon our
participation in the capital structure.
($ in millions)
Vintage Year
Capital structure/ Current rating
2007
2006
2005
Pre-2005
Fair Value Amortized Cost (1) Unrealized Gain/Loss
AAA
$
18
$
34
$
42
$
50
$
144
$
143
$
1
AA
3
69
10
25
107
104
3
A
18
27
14
33
92
92
--
BBB
6
19
8
--
33
33
--
Total
$ 45 $ 149 $ 74 $ 108 $ 376 $ 372 $ 4
ABS RMBS includes securities that are collateralized by mortgage loans
issued to borrowers that cannot qualify for Prime or Alt-A financing
terms due in part to weak or limited credit history. Changes during the
second quarter of 2008 in our ABS RMBS holdings and characteristics of
the portfolio:
$2.4 billion or 81.9% were issued during 2005, 2006 and 2007, with
59.8% of these securities rated Aaa, 21.0% rated Aa, 7.6% rated A and
11.6% rated Baa or lower.
We collected $185 million of principal repayments consistent with the
expected cash flows.
We sold $40 million upon which we recognized a loss of $3 million.
$137 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to expected
deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral. In
addition, $185 million of change in intent write-downs were recorded.
As of June 30, 2008, net unrealized losses on ABS RMBS totaled $680
million.
Fair value represents 81.4% of the amortized cost of these securities.
ABS RMBS securities with a fair value less than 70% of amortized cost
totaled $451 million, with unrealized losses of $460 million.
The following table presents our non-insured and insured ABS RMBS at
June 30, 2008 by Moody’s equivalent rating.
($ in millions)
Fair Value
Amortized Cost (1)
Unrealized Gain/Loss Non-Insured
Aaa
$1,473
$1,549
$(76
)
Aa
664
843
(179
)
A
185
287
(102
)
Baa
65
90
(25
)
Ba or Lower
37
43
(6
)
Total Non-Insured ABS RMBS
$2,424
$2,812
$(388
)
Insured
Aaa
$75
$111
$(36
)
Aa
157
206
(49
)
A
122
208
(86
)
Baa
125
221
(96
)
Ba or Lower
71
96
(25
)
Total Insured ABS RMBS
550
842
(292
)
Total ABS RMBS
$2,974
$3,654
$(680
)
(1) Amortized cost includes other-than
temporary impairment charges, as applicable.
When buying ABS RMBS securities from 2006 and 2007 vintages, we
concentrated our holdings in securities that were senior or at the top
of the structure and that were generally within the first three AAA
sub-classes of the capital structure, as it was expected that, in the
unlikely event of losses in the underlying collateral, these sub-classes
within the AAA class would likely either be paid in full or receive
substantial principal repayments before underlying mortgage losses would
breach that level. However, when the underlying mortgage product was
fixed-rate in nature, which we assessed to have stronger underwriting
origination standards than variable rate collateral, we invested
somewhat lower in the capital structure, such as securities below the
first three AAA sub-classes. The vast majority of our investment in
either of these vintages was concentrated within originally rated AAA or
AA securities.
The above table includes approximately ($2.3) billion of non-insured ABS
RMBS, representing 86.6% of amortized cost, which are collateralized
primarily by first lien residential mortgage loans. The following table
includes first lien non-insured ABS RMBS by vintage, the interest rate
characteristics of the underlying mortgage product and our participation
in the capital structure, which is supplemental information to the $2.4
billion of non-insured ABS RMBS provided in the table above.
($ in millions)
2007
2006
2005
Capital structure classification Variable Rate
Fixed Rate
Total Fair Value
Total Amortized Cost (1) Variable Rate
Fixed Rate
Total Fair Value
Total Amortized Cost (1) Variable Rate
Fixed Rate
Total Fair Value
Total Amortized Cost (1)
First or Second AAA class
$
131
$
42
$
173
$
181
$
422
$
19
$
441
$
464
$
31
$
7
$
38
$
39
Third AAA class
17
--
17
17
186
65
251
280
18
43
61
62
Fourth AAA class
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Last cash flow AAA class
15
--
15
15
22
7
29
43
28
17
45
45
Other AAA (2)
25
138
163
164
4
88
92
97
56
95
151
155
Total AAA
188
180
368
377
634
179
813
884
133
162
295
301
AA
5
90
95
215
5
18
23
38
190
33
223
279
A
--
6
6
10
--
5
5
7
2
12
14
22
BBB
--
--
--
--
--
1
1
2
--
--
--
--
Total First Lien Non-Insured ABS RMBS
$ 193 $ 276 $ 469 $ 602 $ 639 $ 203 $ 842 $ 931 $ 325 $ 207 $ 532 $ 602 ($ in millions)
Pre-2005
Total
Capital structure classification Variable Rate
Fixed Rate
Total Fair Value
Total Amortized Cost (1) Variable Rate
Fixed Rate
Total Fair Value
Total Amortized Cost (1) Unrealized Gain/Loss
First or Second AAA class
$
--
$
--
$
--
$
--
$
584
$
68
$
652
$
684
$
(32)
Third AAA class
4
--
4
4
225
108
333
363
(30)
Fourth AAA class
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Last cash flow AAA class
15
12
27
27
80
36
116
130
(14)
Other AAA (2)
--
26
26
29
85
347
432
445
(13)
Total AAA
19
38
57
60
974
559
1,533
1,622
(89)
AA
259
47
306
339
459
188
647
871
(224)
A
83
10
93
122
85
33
118
161
(43)
BBB
--
--
--
--
--
1
1
2
(1)
Total First Lien Non-Insured ABS RMBS
$ 361 $ 95 $ 456 $ 521 $ 1,518 $ 781 $ 2,299 $ 2,656
$
(357)
(1) Amortized cost includes other-than
temporary impairment charges, as applicable.
(2) Includes primarily pass-through
securities and "NAS”
bonds. NAS bonds are typically locked out from receiving principal
prepayments for a specified period of time after which they
receive prepayment allocations according to a specified formula.
We also own approximately $125 million of second lien non-insured
securities, representing 85.9% of amortized cost Approximately $62
million, or 49.6%, of this portfolio are 2006 and 2007 vintage years.
The following table shows our insured ABS RMBS portfolio at June 30,
2008 by bond insurer and vintage year for first lien and second lien
collateral.
($ in millions)
Vintage Year
Total
2007
2006
2005
Pre-2005 Fair Value
Amortized Cost (1) Unrealized Gain/Loss
First Lien:
FGIC
$
21
$
10
$
14
$
12
$
57
$
80
$
(23)
AMBAC
--
6
54
4
64
84
(20)
MBIA
--
--
7
--
7
7
--
FSA
28
--
6
--
34
34
--
CIFG
--
6
--
--
6
6
--
Total First Lien
49
22
81
16
168
211
(43)
Second Lien:
FGIC
9
88
51
--
148
249
(101)
AMBAC
11
46
3
24
84
112
(28)
MBIA
99
12
--
2
113
193
(80)
FSA
19
9
--
--
28
63
(35)
XLCA
9
--
--
--
9
14
(5)
Total Second Lien
147
155
54
26
382
631
(249)
Total Insured ABS RMBS
$ 196 $ 177 $ 135 $ 42 $ 550 $ 842
$
(292)
(1) Amortized cost includes other-than
temporary impairment charges, as applicable.
ABS CDO are securities collateralized by a variety of residential
mortgage-backed securities and other securities, which may include
sub-prime RMBS. Changes during the second quarter of 2008 in our ABS CDO
holdings and characteristics of this portfolio:
$3 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to expected
deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral.
As of June 30, 2008, unrealized gains on ABS CDO totaled $2 million.
Fair value represents 116.7% of the amortized cost of these securities.
Other CDO
Other CDO totaled $1.7 billion and 97.3% are rated investment grade at
June 30, 2008. Other CDO consist primarily of obligations secured by
high yield and investment grade corporate credits including $1.0 billion
of collateralized loan obligations; $193 million of synthetic CDOs; $158
million of primarily bank trust preferred CDOs; $108 million of market
value CDOs; $44 million of CDOs that invest in other CDOs ("CDO
squared”); and $30 million of collateralized
bond obligations. As of June 30, 2008, net unrealized losses on the
other CDO was $574 million. Other CDO with a fair value less than 70% of
amortized cost totaled $390 million, or 24.2% of the total Other CDO at
June 30, 2008, with unrealized losses of $335 million.
Insured Municipal
Approximately $12.6 billion or 51.7% of our municipal bond portfolio is
insured by bond insurers. Our practices for acquiring and monitoring
municipal bonds primarily are based on the quality of the underlying
security. As of June 30, 2008, we believe the valuations already
reflected a decline in the value of the insurance, and further such
declines if any, are not expected to be material. While the valuation of
these holdings may be temporarily impacted by negative and rapidly
changing market developments, we continue to have the intent and ability
to hold the bonds and expect to receive all of the contractual cash
flows. As of June 30, 2008, 32.8% of our insured municipal bond
portfolio was insured by MBIA, Inc. ("MBIA”),
25.2% by Ambac Financial Group, Inc. ("AMBAC”),
18.7% by Financial Security Assurance Inc. ("FSA”)
and 18.1% by Financial Guarantee Insurance Company ("FGIC”).
In addition, we hold securities totaling $17 million that were directly
issued by these bond insurers.
Direct Exposure to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at June 30, 2008 ($ in millions) Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
Fixed Income Securities:
Fair Value
$
425
$
180
$
605
Net Unrealized Capital Gains (Losses)
15
(4
)
11
Equity Securities:
Fair Value
$
77
$
51
$
128
Net Unrealized Capital Gains (Losses)
(7
)
(6
)
(13
)
Auction Rate Securities
Included in our municipal bond portfolio at June 30, 2008 are $2.0
billion of auction rate securities ("ARS”)
that have long-term stated maturities, with the interest rate reset
based on auctions every 7, 28 or 35 days depending on the specific
security. This is compared to a balance of ARS at March 31, 2008 of $2.2
billion, with the decline representing primarily redemptions during the
second quarter of 2008. Our holdings primarily have a Moody’s
equivalent rating of Aaa. During the second quarter of 2008, all of our
ARS holdings experienced failed auctions and we received the failed
auction rate or, for those which contain maximum reset rate formulas, we
received the contractual maximum rate. We anticipate that failed
auctions may persist and most of our holdings will continue to pay the
failed auction rate or, for those that contain maximum rate reset
formulas, the maximum rate.
Due to a further deterioration in liquidity for the segment of the ARS
market backed by student loans, certain market observable data utilized
for valuation purposes became unavailable during the second quarter of
2008. As a result, as of June 30, 2008, $1.9 billion or 95.5% of our
total ARS holdings were valued using a discounted cash flow model; a
valuation method that is widely accepted in the financial services
industry. Certain inputs to the valuation model that are significant to
the overall valuation and not market observable included: estimates of
future coupon rates if auction failures continue, maturity assumptions,
and illiquidity premium. As a result of the reliance on certain
non-market observable inputs, the portion of the ARS portfolio backed by
student loans are classified as a Level 3 measurement under Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, "Fair
Value Measurements” for the period ended
June 30, 2008. These same securities were classified as Level 2
measurements for the period ended March 31, 2008. Our ARS holdings that
are not backed by student loans have a fair value equal to their
corresponding par value based on market observable inputs and,
therefore, continue to have a Level 2 classification.
($ in millions) Fair Value June 30, 2008 (est.)
% to total ARS
Valued at par (Level 2)
$
89
4.4%
Valued using a cash flow model (Level 3)1
1,921
95.6
Total ARS
$
2,010
100.0%
1 Level 3 ARS have an amortized cost of
$2.0 billion; fair value represents 97.0% of amortized cost.
Limited partnership interests
Limited partnership interests consists of investments in private
equity/debt funds, real estate funds and hedge funds. The overall
limited partnership interests portfolio is well diversified across a
number of metrics including fund sponsors, vintage years, strategies,
geography (including international), and company/property types.
Descriptions of holdings at June 30, 2008 follow.
Private equity/debt funds - Approximately 43% or $1.2 billion of the
limited partnership interests comprised private equity/debt funds
diversified across the following fund types: buyout, mezzanine,
distressed security, and secondary offerings. Private/equity debt
funds were spread across 75 sponsors and 106 individual funds. The
largest exposure to any single private equity/debt fund was $39
million.
Real estate funds - Approximately 30% or $878 million of the limited
partnership interests comprised real estate funds diversified across a
variety of strategies including opportunistic, value-add platforms,
distressed property, and property/market specific. Real estate funds
were spread across 34 sponsors and 79 individual funds. The largest
exposure to any single real estate fund was $44 million.
Hedge funds - Approximately 27% or $779 million of the limited
partnership interests comprised hedge funds with the majority invested
with fund of funds advisors. Hedge funds were spread across 9 sponsors
and 160 individual funds. The largest exposure to any single hedge
fund was $26 million.
The Company’s aggregate limited partnership
exposure represented 2.5% and 2.1% of total invested assets as of June
30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. Income from limited
partnership interest was $30 million for the second quarter of 2008
versus $86 million for the same quarter period in 2007. The decline
being primarily related to reduced income from both real estate funds
and hedge funds as capital market deleveraging has slowed the pace at
which portfolio holdings are being sold.
Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis
The net realized capital losses in the quarter were the result of $250
million in impairment write-downs and $1.1 billion in net realized
capital losses from dispositions, nearly all from changes in intent
write-downs, partially offset by $123 million of net realized capital
gains related to the settlement and valuation of derivatives. Income
recognition is discontinued on impairment write-downs until such time as
we recover our cost. Income recognition continues on securities with
change in intent write-downs, and any discount is accreted back to par
over the expected life of the security.
Impairment write-downs comprised $205 million from fixed income
securities, $37 million from equity securities, $7 million from limited
partnership interests and $1 million from other investments. The fixed
income securities write-downs were primarily related to residential
mortgages and other structured securities. $198 million, or 96.6%, of
the fixed income security write-downs relate to impaired securities that
were performing in line with anticipated or contractual cash flows, but
which were written down primarily because of further expected
deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral. For these
securities, there have been no defaults or defaults that have occurred
in classes lower in the capital structure. $7 million of the fixed
income security write-downs are primarily related to securities
experiencing a significant departure from anticipated residual cash
flows, however, we believe they retain economic value. Notwithstanding
our intent and ability to hold such securities indefinitely, we
concluded that we could not reasonably assert that the recovery period
would be temporary.
Impairment write-downs and cash received on these investments for the
three months ended June 30, 2008 were as follows:
($ in millions)
Impairment at June 30, 2008 (est.)
Cash received in the three months ended June 30, 3008 (est.) Performing in accordance with anticipated or contractual cash
flows Alt–A
$
(2)
$
--
ABS RMBS
(133)
6
ABS CDO
(3)
--
CMBS/CRE CDO
(39)
2
Corporate – Bond insurer
(17)
--
Other
(4)
1
Subtotal (198) 9
Departure from anticipated or contractual cash flows ABS RMBS
(4)
1
Corporate – Food manufacturer
(3)
--
Subtotal (7) 1 Total fixed income securities $ (205) $ 10 Total equity securities $ (37) $ 66 Total limited partnership interests $ (7) $ -- Total other investments $ (1) $ --
Dispositions comprised net realized losses on fixed income of $932
million, equity of $114 million, mortgage loans of $38 million and other
investments of $7 million, partly offset by net realized gains on
derivatives of $2 million and limited partnerships of $1 million.
Further details of dispositions for the three months ended June 30, 2008
(est.) were as follows:
Criteria Security Type
SFAS 157 Level
Fair Value
Net realized capital loss Risk Mitigation
Targeted reductions in commercial real estate exposure where it is
anticipated that future downside risk remains. Considerations
included position held in the capital structure, vintage year,
illiquidity and deteriorating fundamentals.
CRE CDO
CMBS
Mortgage loans
3
2
3
3
$ 376
235
32
281
$ (248)
(95)
(32)
(33)
Targeted reductions in residential real estate where management
believes there is a risk of future material declines in price in the
event of continued deterioration in the economy. Considerations
included position held in the capital structure, projected
performance of the collateral, and expected internal rates of return.
Prime
Alt-A
ABS RMBS
2
3
3
165
321
824
(15)
(96)
(185)
Targeted reductions in financial sector exposure included securities
issued by certain regional banks and certain large financial
institutions.
Financial Sector
1
2
3
2
862
12
--
(131)
--
Other
2
3
175
25
(20)
(2)
Total Risk Mitigation
$ 3,310
(857)
Individual Identification
2,449
(158)
EAA
2,387
(71)
Other
50
--
Total change in intent write-downs
$ 8,196
(1,086)
Sales
(2)
Total Dispositions, change in intent write-downs
$(1,088)
Net realized capital gains on the valuation and settlement of derivative
instruments totaled $123 million for the second quarter of 2008,
primarily comprised $114 million for risk reduction programs. Gains from
the risk reduction programs, primarily in our duration management
programs, were related to changing interest rates and credit spreads as
rates declined during the period.
The table below presents the realized capital gains and losses (pre–tax)
on the valuation and settlement of derivative instruments shown by
underlying exposure and derivative strategy for the three months ended
June 30, 2008.
($ in millions)
2008
2007
Second Quarter 2008 Explanations Valuation
Settlements
Total Total Risk reduction Property–Liability
Net short interest rate derivatives are used to offset the effects
of changing interest rates on a portion of Property–Liability
fixed income portfolio which are reported in unrealized net
capital gains in OCI. The contracts are daily cash settled and can
be exited any time for minimal additional cost. The second quarter
2008 gain resulted from increasing interest rates. Unrealized
losses on the fixed income portfolio caused by the increasing
interest rates partially offset these amounts.
Portfolio duration management
$
–
$
51
$
51
$
19
Interest rate spike exposure
8
–
8
–
Interest rate swaptions contracts acquired in the second half of
2007 with approximately one–year terms
that provide an offset to declining fixed income market values
resulting from potential rising interest rates. The contracts
protect $21.5 billion of notional principal by limiting the decline
in value to $1.5 billion for an increase in risk–free
rates greater than approximately 150 basis points above those in
effect at inception of the contracts. The second quarter 2008 gain
resulted from increasing interest rates. If interest rates do not
increase above the strike rate, the maximum remaining potential loss
in 2008 is limited to the remaining unrecognized cost of $15 million
at June 30, 2008.
Hedging unrealized gains on equity securities
(2)
25
23
7
Short S&P futures were primarily used to protect unrealized gains
on our equity securities portfolio reported in unrealized net
capital gains in accumulated OCI. The results offset the decline
in our unrealized gains on equity securities as equity markets
declined in the second quarter.
Foreign currency contracts
4
1
5
–
Allstate Financial
Interest rate caps, floors and swaps are used by Allstate
Financial to align interest-rate sensitivities of its assets and
liabilities. The contracts settle based on differences between
current market rates and a contractually specified fixed rate
through expiration. The change in valuation reflects the changing
value of expected future settlements, which may vary over the
period of the contracts. The gain should be offset in unrealized
loss in OCI. The second quarter 2008 gain resulted from increasing
interest rates.
Duration gap management
17
9
26
36
Anticipatory hedging
–
(14)
(14)
10
Futures are used to protect investment spread from interest rate
changes during mismatches in the timing of cash flows between
product sales and the related investment activity. The contracts are
cash settled daily and can be exited at any time for a minimal
additional cost. If the cash flow mismatches are such that a
positive net investment position is being hedged, there is an offset
for the related investments unrealized gain or loss in OCI. Second
quarter 2008 amounts reflect increases in risk–free
interest rates on a net long position as liability issuances
exceeded asset acquisitions.
Hedging of interest rate exposure in annuity contracts
4
3
7
13
Interest rate caps used to hedge the effect of changing crediting
rates that are indexed to changes in treasury rates on certain
annuity contracts. The change in valuation reflects the changing
value of expected future settlements including the underlying cost
to hedge the treasury-rate index feature. The offset to the product
hedging cost is reflected in the base crediting rates on the
underlying annuity policies, which is reported in credited interest.
The value of expected future settlements and the associated value of
future credited interest, which is reportable in future periods when
incurred, increased due to rising interest rates.
Hedging unrealized gains on equity indexed notes
–
2
2
–
Hedge ineffectiveness
5
–
5
10
The hedge ineffectiveness of $5 million includes $150 million in
realized capital gains on swaps that were offset by $145 million
in realized capital losses on the hedged risk.
Other
3
(2)
1
4
Total Risk reduction
$
39
$
75
$
114
$
99
Income generation
Asset replication – credit exposure
Credit default swaps are used to replicate fixed income securities
and to complement the cash market when credit exposure to certain
issuers is not available or when the derivative alternative is less
expensive than the cash market alternative. The credit default swaps
typically have five–year terms for which
we receive periodic premiums through expiration. Valuation gains and
losses will reverse if allowed to expire. The changes in valuation
are due to narrowing credit spreads, and would only be converted to
cash upon disposition or a default on an underlying credit
obligation.
Property–Liability
$
2
$
6
$
8
$
(1)
Allstate Financial
(3)
2
(1)
–
Total
(1)
8
7
(1)
Asset replication - equity exposure
Property-Liability
-
-
-
12
($ in millions) 2008
2007 Second Quarter 2008 Explanations Valua-tion
Settle-ments
Total Total
Commodity deriva-
tives – Property–Liability
– – –
2
Total Income gener-ation
$(1)
$8
$7
$13
Accounting
Equity indexed notes – Allstate
Financial
$(19)
$–
$(19)
$62
Equity indexed notes are fixed income securities that contain
embedded equity options. The changes in valuation of the embedded
equity indexed call options are reported in realized capital gains
and losses. The results generally track the performance of
underlying equity indices. Valuation gains and losses are
converted into cash upon sale or maturity. In the event the
economic value of the options is not realized, we will recover the
par value if held to maturity. Fair value exceeded par value by
$28 million at June 30, 2008. The following table compares the
June 30, 2008 holdings and March 31, 2008 holdings.
($ in mill-ions)
June 30, 2008 Change March 31, 2008
Par value
$ 800 $ – $ 800
Amor-tized cost of host con-tract
$ 507
$ 7
$ 500
Fair value of equity indexed call option
317 (19) 336
Total amor-tized cost
$ 824 $ (12) $ 836
Total Fair value
$ 828 $ (37) $ 865
Unreal-ized gain / loss
$ 4
$ (25)
$ 29
Conversion options in fixed income securities
Property–Liability
18
–
18
46
Allstate Financial
3
–
3
26
Convertible bonds are fixed income securities that contain embedded
options. Changes in valuation of the embedded option are reported in
realized capital gains and losses. The results generally track the
performance of underlying equity indices. Valuation gains and losses
are converted into cash upon our election to sell these securities.
In the event the economic value of the options is not realized, we
will recover the par value if held to maturity. Fair value exceeded
par value by $46 million at June 30, 2008. The following table
compares the June 30, 2008 holdings and March 31, 2008 holdings.
Total
21
–
21
72
($ in mill-ions)
June 30, 2008
Change in Fair Value
Change due to Net Sale Acti-vity
March 31, 2008
Par value
$ 1,162 $ – $ (69)
$ 1,231
Amor-tized cost of host con-tract
$ 818
$ 4
$ (42)
$ 856
Fair value of conver-sion option
379 21 $ (13)
371
Total amor-tized cost
$ 1,197 $ 25 $ (55)
$1,227
Total Fair value
$ 1,208 $ 5 $ (47)
$ 1,250
Unreal-ized gain / loss
$ 11
$ (20)
$ 8
$ 23
Total Accounting
$2
$–
$2
$134
Total
$40
$83
$123
$246
The breakout by operating segment for realized capital gains and losses
from derivatives for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2008
and 2007, respectively, were as follows:
Three months ended June 30,
Six months ended June 30, ($ in millions) Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007
Property–Liability
$
113
$
89
$
(30
)
$
126
Allstate Financial
10
157
(147
)
146
Corporate and Other
--
--
--
--
Total
$
123
$
246
$
(177
)
$
272
SFAS 157 Level 3
SFAS 157 Level 3 reflects financial assets and financial liabilities
whose values are based on prices or valuation techniques that require
inputs that are both unobservable and significant to the overall fair
value measurement. These inputs may reflect our estimates of the
assumptions that market participants would use in valuing the financial
assets and financial liabilities.
The balance of our SFAS Level 3 investments at June 30, 2008 are
reflected in the following table. This information on Level 3
investments and related fair values, unrealized gains (losses) and
second quarter 2008 change in intent write-downs is supplemental as
these details have been reported in previous analysis.
($ in millions)
Est. Fair value
Net unrealized gains (losses)
Second quarter change in intent write-downs
Fixed income securities:
Corporate
$
610
$
3
$
--
Corporate Privately Placed
11,413
(32
)
(3
)
Municipal
968
(12
)
--
Municipal – Auction rate securities
1,921
(59
)
--
ABS RMBS
2,974
(680
)
(185
)
Alt-A
948
(134
)
(96
)
Other CDO
1,652
(574
)
--
ABS CDO
14
2
--
CRE CDO
376
4
(248
)
CMBS
208
(36
)
(32
)
Preferred Stock
1
--
--
MBS
26
(2
)
--
Foreign Government
5
--
--
ABS – Credit card and auto loans
298
(16
)
--
Other ABS
873
(82
)
--
Total fixed income securities
22,287
(1,618
)
(564
)
Equity securities:
U.S. Equities
40
2
--
International Equities
26
--
--
Other
9
1
--
Other investments:
Free Standing Derivatives
59
--
--
Sub-total Level 3 recurring
22,421
(1,615
)
(564
)
Non-recurring basis
282
--
(34
)
Total Level 3 Investments
$
22,703
$
(1,615
)
$
(598
)
Non-recurring investments include mortgage loans, limited partnership
interests and other investments at fair value due to our change in
intent at June 30, 2008.
Transfers into and out of SFAS 157 Level 3 during the second quarter are
attributable to a change in the availability of market observable
information for individual securities within the respective categories,
including ARS. For more information on our ARS and their SFAS 157 Level
classification, see the ARS section.
Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios and Impacts of Specific Items on
the GAAP Operating Ratios Claims and claims expense ("loss”)
ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned.
Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.
Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating
costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums
earned.
Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense,
amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and
related charges to premiums earned. The combined ratio is the sum of the
loss ratio and the expense ratio. The difference between 100% and the
combined ratio represents underwriting income (loss) as a percentage of
premiums earned.
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is
the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in
the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability
premiums earned. The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and
Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined
ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage
of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums
earned. This ratio includes prior year reserve reestimates.
Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the
percentage of prior year reserve reestimates included in claims and
claims expense to premiums earned. This ratio includes prior year
reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses.
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is
the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.
Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures
We believe that investors’ understanding of
Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our
disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures. Our methods of
calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies
and therefore comparability may be limited.
Operating income is net income, excluding:
realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic
settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which
are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in
operating income,
amortization of DAC and DSI, to the extent they resulted from the
recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,
gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and
adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual
items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is
reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been
no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.
Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to
operating income.
We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our results
of operations. We believe that the measure provides investors with a
valuable measure of the Company’s ongoing
performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial
services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized
capital gains and losses, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and
adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual
items. Realized capital gains and losses and gain (loss) on disposition
of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally
driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as
capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the
insurance underwriting process. Consistent with our intent to protect
results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic
settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are
reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not
qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for
accounting purposes. These instruments are used for economic hedges and
to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating
income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance
and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments,
product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to
contractholder funds) or replicated investments. Non-recurring items are
excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our
business or economic trends. Accordingly, operating income excludes the
effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period
and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying
profitability of our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to
determine operating income is the transparency and understanding of
their significance to net income variability and profitability while
recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods.
Operating income is used by management along with the other components
of net income to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of
operating income and operating income per diluted share in incentive
compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to
evaluate net income, operating income and their components separately
and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance. We
note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media
organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income results in
their evaluation of our and our industry’s
financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations
and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and
consistent measurement of the industry and the Company and management’s
performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly
used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique
uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be
considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the
overall profitability of our business.
The following table reconciles operating income and net income (loss)
for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007.
For the three months ended June 30,
Property-Liability
Allstate Financial
Consolidated
Per diluted share ($ in millions, except per share data) Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007 Operating income
$
592
$
947
$
118
$
154
$
683
$
1,072
$
1.24
$
1.76
Realized capital gains and losses
(238)
437
(965)
104
(1,215)
545
Income tax benefit (expense)
85
(154)
338
(37)
427
(193)
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(153)
283
(627)
67
(788)
352
(1.42)
0.58
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax
--
--
134
(15)
134
(15)
0.24
(0.02)
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
--
--
(4)
(7)
(4)
(7)
(0.01)
(0.02)
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax
--
--
--
1
--
1
--
--
Net income (loss)
$
439
$
1,230
$
(379)
$
200
$
25
$
1,403
$
0.05
$
2.30
For the six months ended June 30,
Property-Liability
Allstate Financial
Consolidated
Per diluted share ($ in millions, except per share data) Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Operating income
$
1,221
$
2,009
$
261
$
310
$
1,430
$
2,269
$
2.57
$
3.69
Realized capital gains and losses
(432
)
881
(1,397
)
127
(1,870
)
1,016
Income tax benefit (expense)
154
(311
)
489
(45
)
657
(359
)
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax
(278
)
570
(908
)
82
(1,213
)
657
(2.18
)
1.07
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax
--
--
173
(15
)
173
(15
)
0.31
(0.02
)
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments, after-tax
(1
)
--
(10
)
(15
)
(11
)
(15
)
(0.02
)
(0.03
)
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax
--
--
(6
)
2
(6
)
2
(0.01
)
--
Net income (loss)
$
942
$
2,579
$
(490
)
$
364
$
373
$
2,898
$
0.67
$
4.71
Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums
earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses”),
amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and
related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure
in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the
profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately
from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive
compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of
income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net
income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income
(loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does
not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation
of Property-Liability underwriting income (loss) to net income is
provided in the Segment Results table.
Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes is a non-GAAP
ratio, which is computed as the difference between two GAAP operating
ratios: the combined ratio and the effect of catastrophes on the
combined ratio. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the
combined ratio. We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it
is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability
business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses. These catastrophe
losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a
result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and can have a
significant impact on the combined ratio. We believe it is useful for
investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate
when reviewing our underwriting performance. The combined ratio
excluding the effect of catastrophes should not be considered a
substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall
underwriting profitability of our business. A reconciliation of combined
ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes to combined ratio is provided
in the Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and
Segments Highlights table.
Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year
reserve reestimates ("underlying combined
ratio”) is a non-GAAP ratio, which is
computed as the difference between three GAAP operating ratios: the
combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio and the
effect of prior year reserve reestimates on the combined ratio. The most
directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. We believe that
this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal
the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by
catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates. These catastrophe
losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a
result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and can have a
significant impact on the combined ratio. Prior year reserve reestimates
are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves. We
believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components
separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting
performance. We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our
outlook on the 2008 combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe
losses and prior year reserve reestimates. The combined ratio excluding
the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates should not
be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect
the overall underwriting profitability of our business. A reconciliation
of the combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior
year reserve reestimates to combined ratio is provided in the
Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and Segments
Highlights table.
In this press release, we provide our outlook on the 2008 combined ratio
excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve
reestimates. A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is
not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to
provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes. Future prior year reserve
reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined
based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting
date.
Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP
measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating
income by the average of shareholders’
equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding
the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on equity
is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. We use operating income as
the numerator for the same reasons we use operating income, as discussed
above. We use average shareholders’ equity
excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the
denominator as a representation of shareholder’s
equity primarily attributable to the Company’s
earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect
of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due
to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like
changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of
which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. We use it to
supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity because it
excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period
to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that
it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with net
income return on equity because it eliminates the effect of items that
can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by
economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally
not influenced by management: the after-tax effects of realized and
unrealized net capital gains and losses, and the cumulative effect of
change in accounting principle. In addition, it eliminates non-recurring
items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic
trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine
operating income return on equity from return on equity is the
transparency and understanding of their significance to return on equity
variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items
may recur in subsequent periods. Therefore, we believe it is useful for
investors to have operating income return on equity and return on equity
when evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial
analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies
utilize operating income return on equity results in their evaluation of
our and our industry’s financial performance
and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as
it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of
the industry and the Company and management’s
utilization of capital. Operating income return on equity should not be
considered as a substitute for return on equity and does not reflect the
overall profitability of our business.
The following table shows the reconciliation.
($ in millions)
For the twelve months ended June 30, Est. 2008
2007 Return on equity
Numerator:
Net income
$
2,111
$
5,269
Denominator:
Beginning shareholders’ equity
$
21,560
$
20,605
Ending shareholders’ equity
19,709
21,560
Average shareholders’ equity
$
20,635
$
21,083
Return on equity
10.2%
25.0%
For the twelve months ended June 30, Est. 2008
2007 Operating income return on equity
Numerator:
Operating income
$
3,024
$
4,581
Denominator:
Beginning shareholders’ equity
$
21,560
$
20,605
Unrealized net capital gains
1,430
1,093
Adjusted beginning shareholders’ equity
20,130
19,512
Ending shareholders’ equity
19,709
21,560
Unrealized net capital gains and losses
(274)
1,430
Adjusted ending shareholders’ equity
19,983
20,130
Average adjusted shareholders’ equity
$
20,057
$
19,821
Operating income return on equity
15.1%
23.1%
Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital
gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a
non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing shareholders’
equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and
losses on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance
reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares
outstanding. Book value per share is the most directly comparable GAAP
measure.
We use the trend in book value per share, excluding unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with
book value per share to identify and analyze the change in net worth
attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the
non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect
of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are
generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market
conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not
influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and
comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business
activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per share,
excluding unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income
securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a
valuation technique. Book value per share, excluding unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be
considered as a substitute for book value per share, and does not
reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table
shows the reconciliation.
As of June 30, Est. 2008
2007 ($ in millions, except per share data)
Book value per share
Numerator:
Shareholders’ equity
$
19,709
$
21,560
Denominator:
Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding
548.6
592.4
Book value per share
$
35.93
$
36.39
Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities
Numerator:
Shareholders’ equity
$
19,709
$
21,560
Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities
(550)
414
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
$
20,259
$
21,146
Denominator:
Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding
548.6
592.4
Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital
gains and losses on fixed income securities
$
36.93
$
35.70
Operating Measures
We believe that investors’ understanding of
Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our
disclosure of the following operating financial measures. Our method of
calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies
and therefore comparability may be limited.
Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies
issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.
Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on
a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written
applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as
unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in
the following table.
Three Months Ended June 30,
Six Months Ended June 30, ($ in millions) Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007 Premiums written
$
6,803
$
6,939
$
13,317
$
13,548
(Increase) decrease in Property-Liability unearned premiums
(154
)
(125
)
140
78
Other1
101
8
57
2
Premiums earned
$
6,750
$
6,822
$
13,514
$
13,628
1 The three months and six months ended
June 30, 2008 includes $49 million in unearned premiums related to
the acquisition of Partnership Marketing Group.
Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to
analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales. It includes
premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other
funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net
new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as
increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.
The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are
reflected in the consolidated financial statements.
Three Months Ended June 30,
Six Months Ended June 30, ($ in millions) Est. 2008
2007
Est. 2008
2007
Total premiums and deposits
$
4,453
$
2,887
$
7,499
$
5,515
Deposits to contractholder funds
(4,211
)
(2,646
)
(7,035
)
(5,009
)
Deposits to separate accounts
(33
)
(34
)
(66
)
(67
)
Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments
2
3
11
13
Life and annuity premiums 1
$
211
$
210
$
409
$
452
1 Life and annuity contract charges in
the amount of est. $260 million and $244 million for the three
months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively, and est. $514
million and $485 million for the six months ended June 30, 2008
and 2007, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for
GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component
of the Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and
annuity premiums and contract charges.
New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is
an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of
financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution
channel. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies
includes sales of Allstate Financial products such as annual premiums on
new life insurance policies, annual premiums on Allstate Workplace
Division products, premiums and deposits on fixed annuities, net new
deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of Allstate Financial-issued
variable annuities, and sales of products by non-affiliated issuers such
as mutual funds and Prudential-issued variable annuities. New sales of
financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies exclude renewal
premiums on life insurance policies. New sales of financial products by
Allstate exclusive agencies for the three months and six months ended
June 30, 2008 and 2007 are presented in the following table.
Three Months Ended June 30,
Six Months Ended June 30, ($ in millions) Est. 2008
2007 Est. 2008
2007
Allstate Financial products (excluding variable annuities)
$
304
$
253
$
528
$
458
Allstate Financial variable annuities
6
9
11
20
Non-affiliated products
395
469
759
848
Total
$
705
$
731
$
1,298
$
1,326
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
This press release contains forward-looking statements about our outlook
for the combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior
year reserve reestimates for 2008; projected impacts of premium rate
reductions in the states of California and Texas on our premiums written
and underwriting income; our expectations for write-downs in our Prime,
Alt-A, CRE CDO, ABS RMBS, ABS CDO and other CDO securities portfolios;
the impact on the value of our portfolios of a rating downgrade by a
bond insurer; our expectation for anticipated or contractual cash flows
in our Prime, Alt-A, ABS RMBS, ABS CDO, other CDO and corporate
securities portfolios; the design, cost, and expected impact of risk
mitigation and return optimization programs and enterprise-wide asset
allocation actions that we are taking with respect to our investment
portfolio; and about the reversal of unrealized net capital losses on
fixed income securities. These statements are subject to the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s
estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ
materially from those projected based on the risk factors described
below.
Premiums written and premiums earned, the denominator of the combined
ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve
reestimates for 2008 and a component of underwriting income, may be
materially less than projected. Our ability to capture the costs of
our catastrophe reinsurance program through rate increases may not be
entirely successful due to regulatory restrictions or policyholder
attrition resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.
Auto and homeowners frequencies or severities may be higher than
anticipated levels due to unexpected trends or events such as severe
weather. Inflation in the medical sector of the economy, auto repair
costs, auto parts prices, used car prices, building materials and home
furnishings may drive increases in claims expenses.
Changes in mortgage delinquency or recovery rates, agency ratings,
bond insurer strength or rating, the quality of service provided by
service providers and the anticipated or contractual cash flows on
securities in our Prime, ABS RMBS, ABS CDO, Alt-A, CRE CDO, other CDO
and corporate securities portfolios, as well as the effects of bond
insurer strength on the value of our municipal bond portfolio, could
lead us to reconsider our payment outlook and determine that
write-downs are appropriate in the future.
The cost and impact of our investment portfolio risk mitigation and
return optimization programs and enterprise asset allocation actions,
as well as our unrealized net capital losses on fixed income
securities, may be adversely affected by unexpected developments in
the investment markets.
We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any
forward-looking statements. This press release contains unaudited
financial information.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is the nation’s
largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the "You’re
In Good Hands With Allstate®”
slogan, Allstate is reinventing protection and retirement to help
individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they
have today and better prepare for tomorrow. Customers can access
Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners
insurance through approximately 14,700 exclusive Allstate agencies and
financial representatives in the U.S. and Canada, or in select states at
allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate®.
Encompass® and
Deerbrook® Insurance
brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through
independent agents. The Allstate Financial Group provides life
insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking
and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and
worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies,
independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.
Customers can also access information about Allstate Financial Group
products and services at myallstatefinancial.com.
Der finanzen.at Ratgeber für Aktien!
Wenn Sie mehr über das Thema Aktien erfahren wollen, finden Sie in unserem Ratgeber viele interessante Artikel dazu!
Jetzt informieren!
Wenn Sie mehr über das Thema Aktien erfahren wollen, finden Sie in unserem Ratgeber viele interessante Artikel dazu!
Jetzt informieren!
JETZT DEVISEN-CFDS MIT BIS ZU HEBEL 30 HANDELN
Handeln Sie Devisen-CFDs mit kleinen Spreads. Mit nur 100 € können Sie mit der Wirkung von 3.000 Euro Kapital handeln.
82% der Kleinanlegerkonten verlieren Geld beim CFD-Handel mit diesem Anbieter. Sie sollten überlegen, ob Sie es sich leisten können, das hohe Risiko einzugehen, Ihr Geld zu verlieren.
Nachrichten zu Allstate Corp.mehr Nachrichten
Analysen zu Allstate Corp.mehr Analysen
Aktien in diesem Artikel
Allstate Corp. | 195,35 | -0,41% |
Indizes in diesem Artikel
S&P 500 | 6 047,15 | 0,24% | |
S&P 100 | 2 916,81 | 0,48% | |
NYSE US 100 | 17 412,16 | 0,21% |