New York, December 06, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned provisional ratings to fifteen classes of CMBS securities, issued by COMM 2012-CCRE5, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-CCRE5.
Cl. A-1, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-SB, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Assigned (P)Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A-M**, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Cl. B**, Assigned (P)Aa2 (sf)
Cl. PEZ**, Assigned (P)Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C**, Assigned (P)A2 (sf) Cl. D, Assigned (P)Baa1 (sf) Cl. E, Assigned (P)Baa3 (sf) Cl. F, Assigned (P)Ba2 (sf) Cl. G, Assigned (P)B2 (sf) * Reflects Interest Only Classes
** Reflects Exchangeable Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Certificates are collateralized by 63 fixed rate loans secured by 98 properties. The ratings are based on the collateral and the structure of the transaction.
Moody's CMBS ratings methodology combines both commercial real estate and structured finance analysis. Based on commercial real estate analysis, Moody's determines the credit quality of each mortgage loan and calculates an expected loss on a loan specific basis. Under structured finance, the credit enhancement for each certificate typically depends on the expected frequency, severity, and timing of future losses. Moody's also considers a range of qualitative issues as well as the transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1) Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely driven by each loan's DSCR; and 2) Moody's assessment of the severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each loan's LTV ratio.
The Moody's Actual DSCR of 1.68X is greater than the 2007 conduit/fusion transaction average of 1.31X. The Moody's Stressed DSCR of 1.08X is greater than the 2007 conduit/fusion transaction average of 0.92X.
Moody's Trust LTV ratio of 94.4% is lower than the 2007 conduit/fusion transaction average of 110.6%. Moody's Total LTV ratio (inclusive of subordinated debt and debt-like preferred equity) of 100.1% is also considered when analyzing various stress scenarios for the rated debt.
Moody's also considers both loan level diversity and property level diversity when selecting a ratings approach. With respect to loan level diversity, the pool's loan level (includes cross collateralized and cross defaulted loans) Herfindahl Index is 29.2. The transaction's loan level diversity is in line with Herfindahl scores found in most multi-borrower transactions issued since 2009. With respect to property level diversity, the pool's property level Herfindahl Index is 30.0. The transaction's property diversity profile is in line with the indices calculated in most multi-borrower transactions issued since 2009.
This deal has a super-senior Aaa class with 30% credit enhancement. Although the additional enhancement offered to the senior most certificate holders provides additional protection against pool loss, the super-senior structure is credit negative for the certificate that supports the super-senior class. If the support certificate were to take a loss, the loss would have the potential to be quite large on a percentage basis. Thin tranches need more subordination to reduce the probability of default in recognition that their loss-given default is higher. This adjustment helps keep expected loss in balance and consistent across deals. The transaction was structured with additional subordination at class A-M to mitigate the potential increased severity to class A-M.
Moody's also grades properties on a scale of 1 to 5 (best to worst) and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of construction, location, market, and tenancy. The pool's weighted average property quality grade is 2.10, which is higher than the indices calculated in most multi-borrower transactions since 2009.
In terms of waterfall structure, the transaction contains a unique group of exchangeable certificates. Classes A-M((P) Aaa (sf)), B ((P) Aa2 (sf)) and C ((P) A2 (sf)) may be exchanged for Class PEZ ((P) Aa3 (sf)) certificates and Class PEZ may be exchanged for the Classes A-M, B and C. The PEZ certificates will be entitled to receive the sum of interest distributable on the Classes A-M, B and C certificates that are exchanged for such PEZ certificates. The initial certificate balance of the Class PEZ certificates is equal to the aggregate of the initial certificate balances of the Class A-M, B and C and represent the maximum certificate balance of the PEZ certificates that may be issued in an exchange.
Moody's considers the probability of certificate default as well as the estimated severity of loss when assigning a rating. As a thick vertical tranche, Class PEZ has the default characteristics of the lowest rated component certificate ((P) A2 (sf)), but a very high estimated recovery rate if a default occurs given the certificate's thickness. The higher estimated recovery rate resulted in a provisional Aa3 (sf) rating, a rating higher than the lowest provisionally rated component certificate.
The methodologies used in this rating were "Moody's Approach to Rating Fusion U.S. CMBS Transactions" published in April 2005, and "Moody's Approach to Rating Structured Finance Interest-Only Securities" published in February 2012. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
Moody's analysis employs the excel-based CMBS Conduit Model v2.61 which derives credit enhancement levels based on an aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's loan level DSCR and LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds include loan structure, property type, sponsorship, and diversity. Moody's analysis also uses the CMBS IO calculator ver_1.1, which references the following inputs to calculate the proposed IO rating based on the published methodology: original and current bond ratings and credit estimates; original and current bond balances grossed up for losses for all bonds the IO(s) reference(s) within the transaction; and IO type corresponding to an IO type as defined in the published methodology.
The V Score for this transaction is assessed as Low/Medium, the same as the V score assigned to the U.S. Conduit and CMBS sector. This reflects typical volatility with respect to the critical assumptions used in the rating process as well as an average disclosure of securitization collateral and ongoing performance.
Moody's V Scores provide a relative assessment of the quality of available credit information and the potential variability around the various inputs to a rating determination. The V Score ranks transactions by the potential for significant rating changes owing to uncertainty around the assumptions due to data quality, historical performance, the level of disclosure, transaction complexity, the modeling, and the transaction governance that underlie the ratings. V Scores apply to the entire transaction (rather than individual tranches).
Moody's Parameter Sensitivities: If Moody's value of the collateral used in determining the initial rating were decreased by 5%, 14%, and 23%, the model-indicated rating for the currently rated Aaa Super Senior class would be Aaa, Aaa, and Aa1, respectively; for the most junior Aaa rated class A-M would be Aa1, Aa2, and A1, respectively. Parameter Sensitivities are not intended to measure how the rating of the security might migrate over time; rather they are designed to provide a quantitative calculation of how the initial rating might change if key input parameters used in the initial rating process differed. The analysis assumes that the deal has not aged. Parameter Sensitivities only reflect the ratings impact of each scenario from a quantitative/model-indicated standpoint. Qualitative factors are also taken into consideration in the ratings process, so the actual ratings that would be assigned in each case could vary from the information presented in the Parameter Sensitivity analysis.
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REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, parties not involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.
Moody's received and took into account one or more third-party assessments on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments in this transaction and the assessments had a neutral impact on the rating.
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Vaidas Nutautas Analyst Structured Finance Group Moody'sInvestors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653Nick Levidy MD - Structured Finance Structured Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653(C) 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.
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