26.06.2008 21:40:00
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Ambac Releases Selected Monthly Data for May 2008
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today released
selected pre-tax financial data for the month of May 2008. Ambac’s
impairment analysis is performed on a quarterly basis. As such, the
monthly data does not reflect the results of the quarterly credit
derivative impairment, insurance loss reserve and investment portfolio
impairment analysis.
Key Financial Highlights:
-
Normal premium amortization and refundings continue to support the
stated goal of building and maintaining a capital cushion;
-
The unrealized change in the fair value of credit derivatives
reflects the continued dislocation in the credit markets as credit
spreads in certain of our CDO of ABS exposures continue to widen; and
-
Overall, the financial guarantee investment portfolio, comprised of
highly liquid securities, has an unrealized gain of 161.4 million at
May 31, 2008.
($ millions)
Selected Data (Unaudited)
Month of
May 2008
Quarter-to-
date
Insured Portfolio
Normal Premiums Earned (1)
$ 56.2
$ 112.7
Accelerated Net Premiums Earned (2)
42.4
97.0
Net Change in Fair Value of Credit
Derivatives (3)
(96.2)
(272.2)
Investment Portfolio
Net Investment Income
42.5
84.6
Change in Fair Value of the Investment
Portfolio (4)
- Financial Guarantee Portfolio
(14.7)
(20.6)
- Financial Services Portfolio
12.7
(34.8)
Financial Guarantee Liquidity
Installment Premiums Written, net of
reinsurance
33.0
69.2
Investment Portfolio Cash Received (5)
85.3
134.3
Claims Paid, net of reinsurance
(23.1)
(39.3)
(1) Defined as net premiums earned, computed in conformity with U.S.
generally accepted accounting principles, less accelerated net premiums
earned as defined in footnote 2 below.
(2) Accelerated net premiums earned relate to transactions that had been
insured by Ambac Assurance, which have been called or refunded in the
periods presented. When an issue insured by Ambac Assurance has been
refunded or called, any remaining unearned premium is earned at that
time.
(3) Estimated changes in fair value of credit derivatives may not
include all adjustments that would be included in the quarterly results
presented in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles. Certain surveillance, valuation and reserving processes are
performed on a quarterly basis, including processes that are considered
important inputs to calculations of fair value (such as internal Ambac
ratings on the underlying reference obligations). Consequently, monthly
results may differ materially from amounts that would be determined in
connection with the quarterly close process.
(4) Includes both realized and unrealized gains and losses.
(5) Defined as principal received on maturing invested assets plus
coupon interest received during the period.
($ millions)
Selected Data (Unaudited)
End of Period
Balances
(at May 31, 2008)
Financial Guarantee Investment Portfolio
Long Term Investment Portfolio at Fair
Value
$10,998.6
Cash & Short Term Investment Balances
1,034.7
Total
12,033.3
Holding Company Cash & Short Term Investment Balances
Ambac Financial Group, Inc (parent only)
181.7
Forward-Looking Statements
This release contains statements that may constitute "forward-looking
statements" within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any or all of
management’s forward-looking statements here
or in other publications may turn out to be wrong and are based on Ambac’s
management current belief or opinions. Ambac’s
actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about
the performance of Ambac’s securities. Among
events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially are: (1) changes in the economic, credit, foreign
currency or interest rate environment in the United States and abroad;
(2) the level of activity within the national and worldwide credit
markets; (3) competitive conditions and pricing levels; (4) legislative
and regulatory developments; (5) changes in tax laws; (6) changes in our
business plan, our decision to discontinue writing new business in the
financial services area, to significantly reduce new underwriting of
structured finance business and to discontinue all new underwritings of
structured finance business for six months from March 6, 2008; (7) the
policies and actions of the United States and other governments;
(8) changes in capital requirements whether resulting from downgrades in
our insured portfolio or changes in rating agencies’
rating criteria or other reasons; (9) changes in Ambac’s
and/or Ambac Assurance’s credit or financial
strength ratings; (10) changes in accounting principles or practices
relating to the financial guarantee industry or that may impact Ambac’s
reported financial results; (11) inadequacy of reserves established for
losses and loss expenses; (12) default by one or more of Ambac Assurance’s portfolio
investments, insured issuers, counterparties or reinsurers; (13) credit
risk throughout our business, including large single exposures to
reinsurers; (14) market spreads and pricing on insured collateralized
debt obligations ("CDOs”)
and other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac; (15) credit
risk related to residential mortgage securities and CDOs; (16) the risk
that holders of debt securities or counterparties on credit default
swaps or other similar agreements seek to declare events of default or
seek judicial relief or bring claims alleging violation or breach of
covenants by Ambac or one of its subsidiaries; (17) the risk that our
underwriting and risk management policies and practices do not
anticipate certain risks and/or the magnitude of potential for loss as a
result of unforeseen risks; (18) the risk of volatility in income and
earnings, including volatility due to the application of fair value
accounting, or FAS 133, to the portion of our credit enhancement
business which is executed in credit derivative form; (19) operational
risks, including with respect to internal processes, risk models,
systems and employees; (20) the risk of decline in market position;
(21) the risk that market risks impact assets in our investment
portfolio; (22) the risk of credit and liquidity risk due to unscheduled
and unanticipated withdrawals on investment agreements; (23) changes in
prepayment speeds on insured asset-backed securities; (24) factors that
may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to Ambac; (25) the
risk that we may be required to raise additional capital, which could
have a dilutive effect on our outstanding equity capital and/or future
earnings; (26) our ability or inability to raise additional capital,
including the risks that regulatory or other approvals for any plan to
raise capital are not obtained, or that various conditions to such a
plan, either imposed by third parties or imposed by Ambac or its Board
of Directors, are not satisfied and thus potentially necessary capital
raising transactions do not occur, or the risk that for other reasons
the Company cannot accomplish any potentially necessary capital raising
transactions; (27) the risk that Ambac’s
holding company structure and certain regulatory and other constraints,
including adverse business performance, affect Ambac’s
ability to pay dividends and make other payments; (28) the risk of
litigation and regulatory inquiries or investigations, and the risk of
adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material
adverse effect on our business, operations, financial position,
profitability or cash flows; (29) changes in expectations regarding
future realization of gross deferred tax assets; (30) other factors
described in the Risk Factors section in Part I, 1A of our Annual Report
on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and in Part II,
Item 1A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March
31, 2008, and also disclosed from time to time by Ambac in its
subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, which are or will be
available on the Ambac website at www.ambac.com
and at the SEC’s website, www.sec.gov;
and (31) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at
this time. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements speak
only as of the date they are made and that Ambac does not undertake to
update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events
that arise after the date the statements are made. You are therefore
advised to consult any further disclosures we make on related subjects
in Ambac’s reports to the SEC.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in New York City, is a
holding company whose affiliates provide financial guarantees and
financial services to clients in both the public and private sectors
around the world. Ambac's principal operating subsidiary, Ambac
Assurance Corporation, a guarantor of public finance and structured
finance obligations, has earned a Aa3 rating from Moody's Investors
Service, Inc. and a AA rating from Standard & Poor's Ratings Services;
Moody’s rating is on negative outlook while
Standard & Poor's maintains a credit watch negative. Ambac Financial
Group, Inc. common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange
(ticker symbol ABK).
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