New York, December 06, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has downgraded the rating on CE Generation LLC's (CE Gen) senior secured bonds to Ba2 from Ba1 The rating outlook is stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade reflects CE Gen's inability to pay its debt service in 2012 from subsidiary project distributions alone, owing primarily to a cash trap that exists at subsidiary, Salton Sea Funding Corporation (Salton Sea; Baa3, stable)and will therefore utilize cash on hand, along with other internal sources, to cover debt service on its obligations. CE Gen had $28.4 million in consolidated unrestricted cash at the end of September 2012 (of which $2 million resided at Salton Sea) and $23 million of consolidated restricted cash in the revenue fund (of which $12 million resided at Salton Sea). We understand that CE Gen will not draw on its $19.5 million sponsor provided debt service reserve letters of credit. The rating action further recognizes the restricted payments test of 1.5x that exist at Salton Sea, which is a somewhat higher standard than other projects and argues for wider notching between the rating of CE Gen and Salton Sea. To that end, the rating action incorporates an expectation for CE Gen's debt service coverage ratio to remain under pressure over the next two years, especially if distributions from Salton Sea do not materialize as projected.
Moody's calculates that at least 75% of the expected dividends available for debt service at CE Gen is expected to come from subsidiary Salton Sea. While the CE Gen portfolio has a modest amount of asset and cash flow diversification from the Saranac, Yuma and Power Resources plants, all of which are debt free, the Salton Sea subsidiary is the primary cash flow generator and its distributions will drive CE Gen's financial performance. Going forward, we calculate that the Saranac, Yuma and Power Resources facilities are anticipated to distribute a combined $10-$12 million annually to CE Gen in each of the next several years. Aside from 2012, Salton Sea has historically contributed $30-$50 million to its parent, and we would expect similar performance from Salton Sea over the remaining term of the debt which matures in 2018. In 2012, the distribution will only amount to $7 million resulting in CE Gen having to use unrestricted cash on hand and other resources to fully cover its debt service obligations in 2012.
During 2012, Salton Sea's financial and operating performance has been impacted by a number of factors. As of May 2012, 72% of the project's generating capacity reverted back to Southern California Edison's (SCE A3 stable) short-run avoided cost (SRAC) energy price. The current natural gas price environment has pushed SRAC energy prices to a level substantially below the 6.16 cents per kWh energy rate that prevailed between May 2008 and May 2012 for the impacted plants. Recognizing the risk posed by lower energy prices tied to SRAC, the project sponsors implemented a hedging strategy to set a natural gas price floor for approximately 80% of anticipated generation from the SRAC-exposed plants in 2012, 65% of anticipated generation from the SRAC-exposed plants in 2013 and 40% of anticipated generation from the SRAC-exposed plants in 2014. The hedges will mitigate the full impact of lower energy rates tied to SRAC for the affected plants; however, operating revenue at Salton Sea through the first nine months of 2012 is still $37.1 million lower than the same period in the prior year. In addition to lower energy rates, Salton Sea has faced certain operating challenges this year that Moody's does not anticipate to be recurring, including SCE related line outages and certain unscheduled outages related to equipment issues. All of these factors have contributed to Salton Sea's underperformance in 2012, and resulted in the minimal distribution to CE Gen.
Over the next three years, Salton Sea anticipates investing over $30 million per year in capital expenditure programs that include additional well drilling, pipeline enhancements and production equipment improvements. The capital expenditure program is in addition to the project's standard major maintenance program. While Moody's anticipates that Salton Sea's operational and financial performance will rebound in 2013, any cost increase in the capital expenditure and major maintenance programs or further operating issues can impact distributions to CE Gen.
Finally, Salton Sea and CE Gen's rating and stable outlook further benefit from the strong stewardship provided by CE Gen's co-owners, MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company, and by TransAlta USA Inc. In addition to the co-owners providing liquidity support for the project through debt service letters of credit, both have demonstrated a willingness to support the projects in the past, and we believe they will likely do so as required over the term of the debt. As discussed above, we observe the substantial degree of capital being invested in Salton Sea, a renewable resource, as a further indication of the sponsor's long-term view around support for this investment.
The principal methodology used in this rating was Power Generation Projects published in December 2008. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
CE Generation LLC is jointly-owned by MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (50%) and by TransAlta USA Inc. (50%). CE Gen consists of ten California-based geothermal projects (Salton Sea) with a generating capacity of 327 megawatts of which eight have long-term contracts for electric output with SCE, and the remaining two plants are also fully contracted with other utilities. CE Generation also owns three gas-fired projects located in New York, Arizona, and Texas, which when combined with its geothermal capacity totals an aggregate net ownership interest of 829MW of electrical generating capacity.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following : parties involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation; however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Richard E. Donner VP - Senior Credit Officer Project Finance Group Moody'sInvestors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653Chee Mee Hu MD - Project Finance Corporate Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653(C) 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.
CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. ("MIS") AND ITS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ("MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS") MAY INCLUDE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY'S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.
ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED,DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.
All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY'S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process. Under no circumstances shall MOODY'S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error negligent or otherwise or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY'S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information. The ratings, financial reporting analysis, projections, and other observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. Each user of the information contained herein must make its own study and evaluation of each security it may consider purchasing, holding or selling.
NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.
MIS, a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Corporation ("MCO"), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MIS have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MIS for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS's ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading "Shareholder Relations -- Corporate Governance -- Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy."
Any publication into Australia of this document is by MOODY'S affiliate, Moody's Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657, which holds Australian Financial Services License no. 336969. This document is intended to be provided only to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY'S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a "wholesale client" and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to "retail clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001.
Notwithstanding the foregoing, credit ratings assigned on and after October 1, 2010 by Moody's Japan K.K. ("MJKK") are MJKK's current opinions of the relative future credit risk of entities, credit commitments, or debt or debt-like securities. In such a case, "MIS" in the foregoing statements shall be deemed to be replaced with "MJKK". MJKK is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly owned by Moody's Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO.
This credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness or a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be dangerous for retail investors to make any investment decision based on this credit rating. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.