01.03.2018 15:16:00
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Vermilion Energy Inc. Announces 2017 Year-End Summary Reserves and Resource Information
CALGARY, March 1, 2018 /CNW/ - Vermilion Energy Inc. ("Vermilion", the "Company", "We" or "Our") (TSX, NYSE: VET) is pleased to announce summary 2017 year-end reserves and resource information. The estimates of reserves and resources and other oil and gas information contained in this news release have been estimated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ") effective as at December 31, 2017 and prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 "Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities" of the Canadian Securities Administrators ("NI 51-101") and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH"). For additional information about Vermilion, including Vermilion's statement of reserves data and other information in Form 51-101F1, report on reserves data by independent qualified reserves evaluator or auditor in Form 51-101F2 and report of management and directors on oil and gas disclosure in Form 51-101F3, please review the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2017, to be filed on March 1, 2018 and available on SEDAR at www.sedar.comand on the SEC's EDGAR system at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml.
HIGHLIGHTS
- Total proved ("1P") reserves increased by 0.5% to 176.6 mmboe, while total proved plus probable ("2P") reserves increased 3% to 298.5 mmboe. We replaced 103% and 134% of production at the 1P and 2P levels respectively in 2017.
- Finding and Development ("F&D")(2) and Finding, Development and Acquisition ("FD&A")(2) costs, including Future Development Capital ("FDC") for 2017 on a 2P basis increased to $10.57/boe and $11.24/boe, compared to $5.57/boe and $6.62/boe in 2016, respectively. Our three-year F&D and FD&A costs, including FDC, on a 2P basis were $8.23/boe and $8.87/boe, respectively. The largest driver of the increase in F&D cost was the strengthening of the Euro relative to the Canadian dollar in GLJ's foreign exchange rate forecast as compared to the previous year, which increased FDC for our European properties. Operating Recycle Ratio(3) (including FDC) was 2.8x in 2017.
- Proved Developed Producing ("PDP") reserves increased by 1.3% to 123.8 mmboe at an average F&D cost (including FDC) of $12.41/boe resulting in a PDP Operating Recycle Ratio(3) (including FDC) of 2.4x. PDP reserves represent 70% of 1P reserves.
- At year-end 2017, 2P reserves were comprised of 29% Brent-based light crude, 15% North American-based light crude, 12% natural gas liquids, 19% European natural gas and 25% North American natural gas.
- We continued to build our strong resource base in our West Pembina area in Alberta. We added 29 (23.9 net) 2P locations in the condensate-rich portion of the Mannville gas play in West Pembina at an average reserves addition per well of approximately 520 mboe. The West Pembina-Mannville reserves are Vermilion's largest resource base, representing over 40% of total Canadian 2P reserves at December 31, 2017.
- In the Ferrier area of Alberta we added nine (7.1 net) 2P locations in the liquids-rich Mannville gas play at an average reserve addition per well of approximately 1,100 mboe.
- Our independent GLJ 2017 Resource Assessment(4) indicates risked low, best, and high estimates for contingent resources in the Development Pending category of 107.3(4) mmboe, 176.7(4) mmboe, and 253.6(4) mmboe, respectively. The GLJ 2017 Resource Assessment also indicates risked low, best, and high estimates for contingent resources in the Development Unclarified category of 7.5(4) mmboe, 32.8(4) mmboe, and 46.1(4) mmboe, respectively. Over 80% of our risked contingent resources reside in the Development Pending category. Prospective resources were assessed at risked low, best and high estimates of 51.5(4) mmboe, 153.4(4) mmboe, and 260.4(4) mmboe. Our contingent and prospective resource bases remain a source of reserve additions, with 20.5 mmboe of contingent resources and 1.7 mmboe of prospective resources converted to 2P reserves during 2017.
(1) | As evaluated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ") in a report dated February 1, 2018 with an effective date of December 31, 2017. |
(2) | F&D (finding and development) and FD&A (finding, development and acquisition) costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency and are calculated by dividing the applicable capital expenditures for the period, including the change in undiscounted future development capital ("FDC"), by the change in the reserves, incorporating revisions and production, for the same period. |
(3) | "Operating Recycle Ratio" is a measure of capital efficiency calculated by dividing the Operating Netback by the cost of adding reserves (F&D cost). "Operating Netback" is calculated as sales less royalties, operating expense, transportation costs, PRRT and realized hedging gains and losses presented on a per unit basis. |
(4) | Vermilion retained GLJ to conduct an independent resource evaluation dated February 1, 2018 to assess contingent and prospective resources across all of the Company's key operating regions with an effective date of December 31, 2017 (the "GLJ 2017 Resource Assessment"). The aggregate associated chance of development for each of the low, best and high estimate for contingent resources in the Development Pending category are 84%, 83% and 82%, respectively. The aggregate associated chance of development for each of the low, best and high estimate for contingent resources in the Development Unclarified category are 56%, 46% and 47%, respectively. The aggregate associated chance of commerciality for each of the low, best and high estimate for prospective resources in the Prospect category are 23%, 22% and 22%, respectively. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. For further information, see the "Contingent Resources" section of this news release. |
DISCLAIMER
Certain statements included or incorporated by reference in this news release may constitute forward looking statements or financial outlooks under applicable securities legislation. Such forward looking statements or information typically contain statements with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "intend", "estimate", "propose", or similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Forward looking statements or information in this news release may include, but are not limited to:
- capital expenditures;
- business strategies and objectives;
- estimated reserve quantities and the discounted present value of future net cash flows from such reserves;
- petroleum and natural gas sales;
- future production levels (including the timing thereof) and rates of average annual production growth, estimated contingent resources and prospective resources;
- exploration and development plans;
- acquisition and disposition plans and the timing thereof;
- operating and other expenses, including the payment of future dividends;
- royalty and income tax rates;
- the timing of regulatory proceedings and approvals; and
- the estimate of Vermilion's share of the expected natural gas production from the Corrib field.
Such forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of assumptions all or any of which may prove to be incorrect. In addition to any other assumptions identified in this document, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
- the ability of the Company to obtain equipment, services and supplies in a timely manner to carry out its activities in Canada and internationally;
- the ability of the Company to market crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas successfully to current and new customers;
- the timing and costs of pipeline and storage facility construction and expansion and the ability to secure adequate product transportation;
- the timely receipt of required regulatory approvals;
- the ability of the Company to obtain financing on acceptable terms;
- foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates;
- future crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices; and
- Management's expectations relating to the timing and results of development activities.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Financial outlooks are provided for the purpose of understanding the Company's financial strength and business objectives and the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward looking statements or information are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward looking statements or information. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to:
- the ability of management to execute its business plan;
- the risks of the oil and gas industry, both domestically and internationally, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas;
- risks and uncertainties involving geology of crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas deposits;
- risks inherent in the Company's marketing operations, including credit risk;
- the uncertainty of reserves estimates and reserves life and estimates of resources and associated expenditures;
- the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses;
- potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures;
- the Company's ability to enter into or renew leases on acceptable terms;
- fluctuations in crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates;
- health, safety and environmental risks;
- uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing;
- the ability of the Company to add production and reserves through exploration and development activities;
- general economic and business conditions;
- the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld;
- uncertainty in amounts and timing of royalty payments;
- risks associated with existing and potential future law suits and regulatory actions against the Company; and
- other risks and uncertainties described elsewhere in the annual information form of the Company for the year ended December 31, 2017 or in the Company's other filings with Canadian securities authorities.
The forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws.
RESERVES, FUTURE NET REVENUE AND OTHER OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
The following is a summary of the oil and natural gas reserves and the value of future net revenue of Vermilion as evaluated by GLJ, independent petroleum engineering consultants in Calgary in a report dated February 1, 2018 with an effective date of December 31, 2017 (the "GLJ 2017 Reserves Evaluation"). The GLJ 2017 Reserves Evaluation was prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 and COGEH.
Reserves and other oil and gas information in this news release is effective December 31, 2017 unless otherwise stated.
All evaluations of future net production revenue set forth in the tables below are stated after overriding and lessor royalties, Crown royalties, freehold royalties, mineral taxes, direct lifting costs, normal allocated overhead and future capital investments, including abandonment and reclamation obligations. Future net production revenues estimated by the GLJ 2017 Reserves Evaluation do not represent the fair market value of the reserves. Other assumptions relating to the costs, prices for future production and other matters are included in the GLJ 2017 Reserve Evaluation. There is no assurance that the future price and cost assumptions used in the GLJ 2017 Reserves Evaluation will prove accurate and variances could be material.
Reserves for Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, the Netherlands and the United States are established using deterministic methodology. Total proved reserves are established at the 90 percent probability (P90) level. There is a 90 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P90 reserves. Total proved plus probable reserves are established at the 50 percent probability (P50) level. There is a 50 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P50 reserves.
Estimates of reserves have been made assuming that development of each property, in respect of which estimates have been made, will occur without regard to the availability of funding required for that development.
With respect to finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year.
Pricing used in the forecast price estimates is set forth in the table below and referenced in the notes to subsequent tables.
Table 1: Forecast Prices used in Estimates (1)
Light Crude Oil and | Crude Oil | Conventional | Conventional | Natural Gas | Inflation | Exchange | Exchange | |||||||||||||||
Year | WTI | Edmonton | Cromer | Brent Blend | AECO | National Balancing | FOB | Percent | ($US/$Cdn) | ($Cdn/EUR) | ||||||||||||
2017 | 50.88 | 62.78 | 59.90 | 54.16 | 2.16 | 5.63 | 46.67 | 1.60 | 0.77 | 1.46 | ||||||||||||
Forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 59.00 | 70.25 | 65.34 | 65.50 | 2.20 | 6.25 | 56.85 | 2.00 | 0.79 | 1.49 | ||||||||||||
2019 | 59.00 | 70.25 | 65.34 | 63.50 | 2.54 | 6.50 | 53.46 | 2.00 | 0.79 | 1.46 | ||||||||||||
2020 | 60.00 | 70.31 | 65.39 | 63.00 | 2.88 | 6.75 | 53.18 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 1.44 | ||||||||||||
2021 | 66.00 | 72.84 | 67.74 | 66.00 | 3.24 | 7.00 | 54.74 | 2.00 | 0.81 | 1.42 | ||||||||||||
2022 | 69.00 | 75.61 | 70.32 | 69.00 | 3.47 | 7.15 | 56.37 | 2.00 | 0.82 | 1.40 | ||||||||||||
2023 | 72.00 | 78.31 | 72.83 | 72.00 | 3.58 | 7.30 | 58.31 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.39 | ||||||||||||
2024 | 75.00 | 81.93 | 76.19 | 75.00 | 3.66 | 7.45 | 60.94 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.39 | ||||||||||||
2025 | 78.00 | 85.54 | 79.55 | 78.00 | 3.73 | 7.60 | 63.57 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.39 | ||||||||||||
2026 | 80.33 | 88.35 | 82.16 | 80.33 | 3.80 | 7.75 | 65.61 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.39 | ||||||||||||
2027 | 81.88 | 90.22 | 83.90 | 81.88 | 3.88 | 7.90 | 66.96 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.39 | ||||||||||||
Thereafter | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | +2.0%/yr | 0.83 | 1.39 |
Note: | |
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above. The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
All forecast prices in the tables above are provided by GLJ. For 2017, the price of crude oil in the United States is based on WTI. The benchmark price for Canadian crude oil is Edmonton Par and Canadian natural gas is priced against AECO. The benchmark price for Australia, France and Germany crude oil is Dated Brent. The price of our natural gas in Ireland is based on the NBP index. The price of Vermilion's natural gas in the Netherlands and Germany is based on the TTF day/month-ahead index, as determined on the Title Transfer Facility Virtual Trading Point. For the year ended December 31, 2017, the average realized sales prices before hedging were $57.64 per bbl (United States) for WTI, $51.36 per bbl for Canadian-based crude oil, condensate and NGLs and $2.34 per Mcf for Canadian natural gas, $73.99 per bbl (Australia), $67.08 per bbl (France) for Brent-based crude oil, $7.19 per Mcf (Ireland), $7.18 per Mcf (Netherlands), and $6.38 per Mcf (Germany).
The following table summarizes the capital expenditures made by Vermilion on oil and gas properties for the year ended December 31, 2017:
Table 2: Capital Costs Incurred
Acquisition Costs | |||||||||
(M$) | Proved | Unproved | Exploration | Development | Total | ||||
Australia | — | — | — | 29,896 | 29,896 | ||||
Canada | 22,011 | — | — | 148,211 | 170,222 | ||||
Croatia | — | — | 2,764 | — | 2,764 | ||||
France | — | — | 2,294 | 69,026 | 71,320 | ||||
Germany | — | — | 3,366 | 5,710 | 9,076 | ||||
Hungary | — | — | 2,596 | — | 2,596 | ||||
Ireland | — | — | — | 544 | 544 | ||||
Netherlands | — | — | 16,468 | 14,956 | 31,424 | ||||
United States | 3,403 | — | — | 19,058 | 22,461 | ||||
Total | 25,414 | — | 32,103 | 287,401 | 344,918 |
The following table sets forth the reserve life index based on total proved and proved plus probable reserve and fourth quarter 2017 production of 72,821 boe/d.
Table 3: Reserve Life Index
Commodity | Production | Reserve Life Index (years) | ||||
Fourth Quarter 2017 | Total Proved | Proved Plus Probable | ||||
Crude oil, condensate and natural gas liquids (bbl/d) | 33,109 | 8.5 | 13.8 | |||
Natural gas (mmcf/d) | 238.27 | 5.1 | 9.1 | |||
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) | 72,821 | 6.6 | 11.2 |
The following tables provide reserves data and a breakdown of future net revenue by component and production group using forecast prices and costs. For Canada, the tables following include Alberta gas cost allowance.
The following tables may not total due to rounding.
Table 4: Oil and Gas Reserves - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Developed Producing (3) (5) (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 9,065 | 9,065 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 11,148 | 10,219 | — | — | — | — | 139,772 | 128,023 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 35,944 | 33,265 | — | — | — | — | 8,619 | 7,939 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 5,008 | 4,880 | — | — | — | — | 29,791 | 26,881 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81,803 | 81,803 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37,296 | 24,721 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | 982 | 782 | — | — | — | — | 1,071 | 854 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Producing | 62,147 | 58,211 | — | — | — | — | 298,352 | 270,221 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Developed Producing (3) (5) (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9,065 | 9,065 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 60 | 56 | 2,330 | 2,153 | 11,215 | 9,102 | 46,057 | 41,026 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37,381 | 34,588 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9,973 | 9,360 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13,634 | 13,634 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | 137 | 90 | 6,353 | 4,210 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | 147 | 117 | 1,308 | 1,041 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Producing | 60 | 56 | 2,330 | 2,153 | 11,499 | 9,309 | 123,771 | 112,924 | ||||||||||||||||
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Developed Non-Producing (3) (5) (7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 350 | 350 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 878 | 768 | — | — | — | — | 9,420 | 8,489 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 562 | 492 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 539 | 521 | — | — | — | — | 8,959 | 8,156 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21,010 | 20,482 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 2,329 | 2,131 | — | — | — | — | 39,389 | 37,127 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Developed Non-Producing (3) (5) (7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 350 | 350 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 1,079 | 1,025 | 2,360 | 2,200 | 410 | 309 | 3,431 | 3,029 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 562 | 492 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2,032 | 1,880 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | 56 | 54 | 3,558 | 3,468 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 1,079 | 1,025 | 2,360 | 2,200 | 466 | 363 | 9,933 | 9,219 | ||||||||||||||||
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Undeveloped (3) (8) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 1,500 | 1,500 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 7,634 | 6,929 | — | — | — | — | 91,104 | 83,603 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 4,140 | 3,767 | — | — | — | — | 64 | 64 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 241 | 235 | — | — | — | — | 2,361 | 1,939 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2,620 | 2,620 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | 3,300 | 2,693 | — | — | — | — | 3,309 | 2,700 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Undeveloped | 16,815 | 15,124 | — | — | — | — | 99,458 | 90,926 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Undeveloped (3) (8) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,500 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | — | — | 2,023 | 1,849 | 8,679 | 7,689 | 31,834 | 28,860 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4,151 | 3,778 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 635 | 558 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 437 | 437 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | 454 | 370 | 4,306 | 3,513 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Undeveloped | — | — | 2,023 | 1,849 | 9,133 | 8,059 | 42,863 | 38,646 | ||||||||||||||||
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 10,915 | 10,915 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 19,660 | 17,916 | — | — | — | — | 240,296 | 220,115 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 40,646 | 37,524 | — | — | — | — | 8,683 | 8,003 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 5,788 | 5,636 | — | — | — | — | 41,111 | 36,976 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81,803 | 81,803 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60,926 | 47,823 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | 4,282 | 3,475 | — | — | — | — | 4,380 | 3,554 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved | 81,291 | 75,466 | — | — | — | — | 437,199 | 398,274 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10,915 | 10,915 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 1,139 | 1,081 | 6,713 | 6,202 | 20,304 | 17,100 | 81,322 | 72,916 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42,093 | 38,858 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12,640 | 11,799 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13,634 | 13,634 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | 193 | 144 | 10,347 | 8,115 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | 601 | 487 | 5,613 | 4,554 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved | 1,139 | 1,081 | 6,713 | 6,202 | 21,098 | 17,731 | 176,564 | 160,791 | ||||||||||||||||
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Probable (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 4,650 | 4,650 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 12,885 | 11,417 | — | — | — | — | 181,055 | 164,336 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 21,786 | 20,115 | — | — | — | — | 1,854 | 1,769 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 3,000 | 2,931 | — | — | — | — | 53,134 | 47,092 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51,389 | 51,389 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44,380 | 35,383 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | 7,073 | 5,827 | — | — | — | — | 7,520 | 6,194 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Probable | 49,394 | 44,940 | — | — | — | — | 339,332 | 306,163 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Probable (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4,650 | 4,650 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 214 | 203 | 3,053 | 2,846 | 14,282 | 12,186 | 57,887 | 51,501 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22,095 | 20,410 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11,856 | 10,780 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8,565 | 8,565 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | 119 | 90 | 7,516 | 5,987 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | 1,031 | 849 | 9,357 | 7,708 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Probable | 214 | 203 | 3,053 | 2,846 | 15,432 | 13,125 | 121,926 | 109,601 | ||||||||||||||||
Light Crude Oil & Medium | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable (3) (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 15,565 | 15,565 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 32,545 | 29,333 | — | — | — | — | 421,351 | 384,451 | ||||||||||||||||
France | 62,432 | 57,639 | — | — | — | — | 10,537 | 9,772 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | 8,788 | 8,567 | — | — | — | — | 94,245 | 84,068 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 133,192 | 133,192 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | — | — | 105,306 | 83,206 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | 11,355 | 9,302 | — | — | — | — | 11,900 | 9,748 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Plus Probable | 130,685 | 120,406 | — | — | — | — | 776,531 | 704,437 | ||||||||||||||||
Shale Gas | Coal Bed Methane | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | Gross (2) | Net (2) | |||||||||||||||||
(MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable (3) (4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15,565 | 15,565 | ||||||||||||||||
Canada | 1,353 | 1,284 | 9,766 | 9,048 | 34,586 | 29,286 | 139,209 | 124,416 | ||||||||||||||||
France | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64,188 | 59,268 | ||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24,496 | 22,578 | ||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22,199 | 22,199 | ||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | — | — | 312 | 234 | 17,863 | 14,102 | ||||||||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | 1,632 | 1,336 | 14,970 | 12,263 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Proved Plus Probable | 1,353 | 1,284 | 9,766 | 9,048 | 36,530 | 30,856 | 298,490 | 270,391 |
Notes: | |
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
(2) | "Gross Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion. "Net Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in reserves. |
(3) | "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. |
(4) | "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. |
(5) | "Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. |
(6) | "Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. |
(7) | "Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. |
(8) | "Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. |
Table 5: Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)
Before Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted At | After Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted At | |||||||||||||||||||
(M$) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | ||||||||||
Proved Developed Producing (2) (4) (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | (17,017) | 90,880 | 132,474 | 146,048 | 147,713 | 77,180 | 124,390 | 136,979 | 136,121 | 130,383 | ||||||||||
Canada | 929,867 | 770,860 | 647,843 | 559,708 | 494,964 | 929,867 | 770,860 | 647,843 | 559,708 | 494,964 | ||||||||||
France | 1,791,774 | 1,315,070 | 1,030,403 | 849,032 | 725,407 | 1,473,144 | 1,091,894 | 858,839 | 708,168 | 604,390 | ||||||||||
Germany | 276,577 | 249,619 | 206,965 | 174,876 | 151,703 | 276,578 | 249,619 | 206,965 | 174,876 | 151,703 | ||||||||||
Ireland | 389,204 | 376,115 | 346,327 | 316,408 | 290,143 | 389,204 | 376,115 | 346,327 | 316,408 | 290,143 | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 48,794 | 60,781 | 66,245 | 68,260 | 68,404 | 48,793 | 60,781 | 66,245 | 68,260 | 68,404 | ||||||||||
United States | 44,617 | 34,550 | 28,272 | 24,106 | 21,170 | 44,619 | 34,550 | 28,272 | 24,106 | 21,170 | ||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Producing | 3,463,816 | 2,897,875 | 2,458,529 | 2,138,438 | 1,899,504 | 3,239,385 | 2,708,209 | 2,291,470 | 1,987,647 | 1,761,157 | ||||||||||
Proved Developed Non-Producing (2) (4) (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 28,079 | 24,122 | 20,869 | 18,180 | 15,942 | 28,079 | 24,122 | 20,869 | 18,180 | 15,942 | ||||||||||
Canada | 60,804 | 42,405 | 32,416 | 26,238 | 22,048 | 60,804 | 42,405 | 32,417 | 26,238 | 22,048 | ||||||||||
France | 10,082 | 8,113 | 6,095 | 4,559 | 3,438 | 6,848 | 5,499 | 3,953 | 2,763 | 1,896 | ||||||||||
Germany | 49,825 | 37,600 | 27,510 | 20,411 | 15,501 | 32,059 | 29,369 | 23,502 | 18,374 | 14,426 | ||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 70,140 | 70,244 | 67,599 | 63,916 | 59,989 | 53,099 | 54,167 | 52,375 | 49,452 | 46,205 | ||||||||||
United States | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 218,930 | 182,484 | 154,489 | 133,304 | 116,918 | 180,889 | 155,562 | 133,116 | 115,007 | 100,517 | ||||||||||
Proved Undeveloped (2) (7) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 54,981 | 43,263 | 34,175 | 27,105 | 21,564 | 25,101 | 18,532 | 13,890 | 10,524 | 8,032 | ||||||||||
Canada | 524,830 | 354,396 | 246,584 | 175,252 | 126,009 | 397,236 | 281,016 | 202,741 | 148,193 | 108,836 | ||||||||||
France | 177,851 | 128,923 | 96,156 | 73,638 | 57,592 | 127,650 | 88,876 | 63,091 | 45,660 | 33,460 | ||||||||||
Germany | 17,161 | 11,696 | 8,012 | 5,495 | 3,737 | 12,154 | 8,910 | 6,412 | 4,551 | 3,166 | ||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 10,559 | 8,825 | 7,405 | 6,255 | 5,323 | 7,921 | 6,405 | 5,174 | 4,189 | 3,401 | ||||||||||
United States | 110,911 | 64,500 | 39,231 | 24,394 | 15,111 | 105,425 | 62,306 | 38,295 | 23,973 | 14,912 | ||||||||||
Total Proved Undeveloped | 896,293 | 611,603 | 431,563 | 312,139 | 229,336 | 675,487 | 466,045 | 329,603 | 237,090 | 171,807 | ||||||||||
Proved (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 66,043 | 158,265 | 187,518 | 191,333 | 185,219 | 130,360 | 167,044 | 171,738 | 164,825 | 154,357 | ||||||||||
Canada | 1,515,501 | 1,167,661 | 926,843 | 761,198 | 643,021 | 1,387,907 | 1,094,281 | 883,001 | 734,139 | 625,848 | ||||||||||
France | 1,979,707 | 1,452,106 | 1,132,654 | 927,229 | 786,437 | 1,607,642 | 1,186,269 | 925,883 | 756,591 | 639,746 | ||||||||||
Germany | 343,563 | 298,915 | 242,487 | 200,782 | 170,941 | 320,791 | 287,898 | 236,879 | 197,801 | 169,295 | ||||||||||
Ireland | 389,204 | 376,115 | 346,327 | 316,408 | 290,143 | 389,204 | 376,115 | 346,327 | 316,408 | 290,143 | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 129,493 | 139,850 | 141,249 | 138,431 | 133,716 | 109,813 | 121,353 | 123,794 | 121,901 | 118,010 | ||||||||||
United States | 155,528 | 99,050 | 67,503 | 48,500 | 36,281 | 150,044 | 96,856 | 66,567 | 48,079 | 36,082 | ||||||||||
Total Proved | 4,579,039 | 3,691,962 | 3,044,581 | 2,583,881 | 2,245,758 | 4,095,761 | 3,329,816 | 2,754,189 | 2,339,744 | 2,033,481 | ||||||||||
Probable (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 154,459 | 149,732 | 125,619 | 102,719 | 84,652 | 93,591 | 88,478 | 72,912 | 58,670 | 47,633 | ||||||||||
Canada | 1,363,584 | 814,347 | 539,091 | 384,014 | 288,722 | 1,003,602 | 592,655 | 390,429 | 278,355 | 210,521 | ||||||||||
France | 1,200,008 | 673,205 | 431,159 | 299,927 | 219,972 | 879,913 | 477,377 | 292,831 | 193,985 | 134,663 | ||||||||||
Germany | 414,585 | 244,149 | 151,416 | 100,767 | 70,641 | 293,314 | 172,157 | 104,603 | 68,306 | 47,063 | ||||||||||
Ireland | 350,695 | 246,321 | 182,785 | 141,844 | 114,117 | 350,695 | 246,321 | 182,785 | 141,844 | 114,117 | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 197,136 | 167,242 | 141,871 | 121,179 | 104,496 | 130,277 | 108,388 | 89,527 | 74,196 | 61,980 | ||||||||||
United States | 353,649 | 198,078 | 124,603 | 84,897 | 61,103 | 278,493 | 157,846 | 100,547 | 69,404 | 50,591 | ||||||||||
Total Probable | 4,034,116 | 2,493,074 | 1,696,544 | 1,235,347 | 943,703 | 3,029,885 | 1,843,222 | 1,233,634 | 884,760 | 666,568 | ||||||||||
Proved Plus Probable (2) (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 220,502 | 307,997 | 313,137 | 294,052 | 269,871 | 223,951 | 255,522 | 244,650 | 223,495 | 201,990 | ||||||||||
Canada | 2,879,085 | 1,982,008 | 1,465,934 | 1,145,212 | 931,743 | 2,391,509 | 1,686,936 | 1,273,430 | 1,012,494 | 836,369 | ||||||||||
France | 3,179,715 | 2,125,311 | 1,563,813 | 1,227,156 | 1,006,409 | 2,487,555 | 1,663,646 | 1,218,714 | 950,576 | 774,409 | ||||||||||
Germany | 758,148 | 543,064 | 393,903 | 301,549 | 241,582 | 614,105 | 460,055 | 341,482 | 266,107 | 216,358 | ||||||||||
Ireland | 739,899 | 622,436 | 529,112 | 458,252 | 404,260 | 739,899 | 622,436 | 529,112 | 458,252 | 404,260 | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 326,629 | 307,092 | 283,120 | 259,610 | 238,212 | 240,090 | 229,741 | 213,321 | 196,097 | 179,990 | ||||||||||
United States | 509,177 | 297,128 | 192,106 | 133,397 | 97,384 | 428,537 | 254,702 | 167,114 | 117,483 | 86,673 | ||||||||||
Total Proved Plus Probable | 8,613,155 | 6,185,036 | 4,741,125 | 3,819,228 | 3,189,461 | 7,125,646 | 5,173,038 | 3,987,823 | 3,224,504 | 2,700,049 |
Notes:
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
(2) | "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. |
(3) | "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. |
(4) | "Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. |
(5) | "Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. |
(6) | "Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. |
(7) | "Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. |
Table 6: Total Future Net Revenue (Undiscounted) Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)
(M$) | Revenue | Royalties | Operating | Capital | Abandonment | Future Net | Future | Future Net | |||||||
Proved (2) | |||||||||||||||
Australia | 978,200 | — | 564,074 | 100,883 | 247,200 | 66,043 | (64,317) | 130,360 | |||||||
Canada | 3,488,501 | 344,924 | 1,118,811 | 412,323 | 96,942 | 1,515,501 | 127,594 | 1,387,907 | |||||||
France | 3,591,175 | 272,788 | 997,961 | 125,874 | 214,845 | 1,979,707 | 372,065 | 1,607,642 | |||||||
Germany | 853,470 | 44,503 | 298,194 | 20,409 | 146,801 | 343,563 | 22,772 | 320,791 | |||||||
Ireland | 643,435 | — | 170,325 | 18,907 | 64,999 | 389,204 | — | 389,204 | |||||||
Netherlands | 546,125 | 104,158 | 203,425 | 28,166 | 80,883 | 129,493 | 19,680 | 109,813 | |||||||
United States | 404,551 | 112,559 | 65,468 | 66,993 | 4,003 | 155,528 | 5,484 | 150,044 | |||||||
Total Proved | 10,505,457 | 878,932 | 3,418,258 | 773,555 | 855,673 | 4,579,039 | 483,278 | 4,095,761 | |||||||
Proved Plus Probable (2) (3) | |||||||||||||||
Australia | 1,432,958 | — | 775,932 | 166,801 | 269,723 | 220,502 | (3,449) | 223,951 | |||||||
Canada | 6,224,592 | 647,349 | 1,828,575 | 744,672 | 124,911 | 2,879,085 | 487,576 | 2,391,509 | |||||||
France | 5,718,238 | 433,546 | 1,481,349 | 346,196 | 277,432 | 3,179,715 | 692,160 | 2,487,555 | |||||||
Germany | 1,672,382 | 105,662 | 507,204 | 104,899 | 196,469 | 758,148 | 144,043 | 614,105 | |||||||
Ireland | 1,113,630 | — | 270,554 | 38,178 | 64,999 | 739,899 | — | 739,899 | |||||||
Netherlands | 950,074 | 180,041 | 296,854 | 53,369 | 93,181 | 326,629 | 86,539 | 240,090 | |||||||
United States | 1,137,518 | 308,001 | 166,074 | 145,966 | 8,300 | 509,177 | 80,640 | 428,537 | |||||||
Total Proved Plus Probable | 18,249,392 | 1,674,599 | 5,326,542 | 1,600,081 | 1,035,015 | 8,613,155 | 1,487,509 | 7,125,646 |
Notes:
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
(2) | "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. |
(3) | "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. |
Table 7: Future Net Revenue by Production Group Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)
Future Net Revenue | Unit Value | ||
Proved Developed Producing | (M$) | ($/boe) | |
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 1,764,235 | 27.51 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 693,722 | 14.33 | |
Shale Gas | 122 | 8.56 | |
Coal Bed Methane | 450 | 1.25 | |
Total Proved Developed Producing | 2,458,529 | 21.77 | |
Proved Developed Non-Producing | |||
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 43,821 | 18.44 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 108,904 | 17.4 | |
Shale Gas | 984 | 4.54 | |
Coal Bed Methane | 780 | 2.13 | |
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 154,489 | 16.76 | |
Proved Undeveloped | |||
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 273,008 | 14.16 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 158,318 | 8.31 | |
Shale Gas | — | — | |
Coal Bed Methane | 237 | 0.77 | |
Total Proved Undeveloped | 431,563 | 12.04 | |
Proved | |||
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 2,081,064 | 24.35 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 960,944 | 12.92 | |
Shale Gas | 1,106 | 4.58 | |
Coal Bed Methane | 1,467 | 1.36 | |
Total Proved | 3,044,581 | 18.94 | |
Probable | |||
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 1,031,625 | 19.21 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 663,113 | 11.98 | |
Shale Gas | 238 | 5.49 | |
Coal Bed Methane | 1,568 | 3.31 | |
Total Probable | 1,696,544 | 15.48 | |
Proved Plus Probable | |||
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude Oil (3) | 3,112,689 | 22.47 | |
Heavy Oil (3) | — | — | |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) | 1,624,057 | 12.42 | |
Shale Gas | 1,344 | 4.85 | |
Coal Bed Methane | 3,035 | 1.92 | |
Total Proved Plus Probable | 4,741,125 | 17.53 |
Notes:
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
(2) | Other Company revenue and costs not related to a specific product type have been allocated proportionately to the specified product types. Unit values are based on Company net reserves. Net present value of reserves categories are an approximation based on major products. |
(3) | Including solution gas and other by-products. |
(4) | Including by-products but excluding solution gas. |
Reconciliations of Changes in Reserves
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of the changes in Vermilion's gross light and medium crude oil, heavy oil and associated and non-associated gas (combined) reserves as at December 31, 2017 compared to such reserves as at December 31, 2016.
Table 8: Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves by Principal Product Type - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (3)
AUSTRALIA Total Oil (4) Light Crude Oil & Heavy Oil Tight Oil Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Factors (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) At December 31, 2016 12,418 4,650 17,068 12,418 4,650 17,068 — — — — — — Discoveries — — — — — — — — — — — — Extensions & Improved Recovery — — — — — — — — — — — — Technical Revisions 603 — 603 603 — 603 — — — — — — Acquisitions — — — — — — — — — — — — Dispositions — — — — — — — — — — — — Economic Factors — — — — — — — — — — — — Production (2,106) — (2,106) (2,106) — (2,106) — — — — — — At December 31, 2017 10,915 4,650 15,565 10,915 4,650 15,565 — — — — — — Total Gas (4) Conventional Natural Gas Coal Bed Methane (5) Shale Gas (5) Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Factors (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) (MMcf) At December 31, 2016 — — — — — — — — — — — — Discoveries — — — — — — — — — — — — Extensions & Improved Recovery — — — — — — — — — — — — Technical Revisions — — — — — — — — — — — — Acquisitions — — — — — — — — — — — — Dispositions — — — — — — — — — — — — Economic Factors — — — — — — — — — — — — Production — — — — — — — — — — — — At December 31, 2017 — — — — — — — — — — — — Natural Gas Liquids BOE Proved Probable Proved + Proved Probable Proved + Factors (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mboe) (Mboe) (Mboe) At December 31, 2016 — — — 12,418 4,650 17,068 Discoveries — — — — — — Extensions & Improved Recovery — — — — — — Technical Revisions — — — 603 — 603 Acquisitions — — — — — — Dispositions — — — — — — Economic Factors — — — — — — Production — — — (2,106) — (2,106) At December 31, 2017 — — — 10,915 4,650 15,565
Medium Crude Oil
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
Probable
CANADA | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 21,974 | 14,105 | 36,079 | 21,962 | 14,103 | 36,065 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 594 | 302 | 896 | 594 | 302 | 896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | (681) | (1,542) | (2,223) | (670) | (1,540) | (2,210) | — | — | — | (11) | (2) | (13) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 16 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (48) | 16 | (32) | (48) | 16 | (32) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (2,195) | — | (2,195) | (2,194) | — | (2,194) | — | — | — | (1) | — | (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 19,660 | 12,885 | 32,545 | 19,660 | 12,885 | 32,545 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 226,530 | 156,668 | 383,198 | 217,098 | 151,707 | 368,805 | 8,061 | 4,677 | 12,738 | 1,371 | 284 | 1,655 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 58,040 | 29,520 | 87,560 | 57,075 | 28,977 | 86,052 | 965 | 543 | 1,508 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 1,696 | 372 | 2,068 | 1,057 | 378 | 1,435 | 799 | 64 | 863 | (160) | (70) | (230) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 3,452 | 1,113 | 4,565 | 2,686 | 872 | 3,558 | 766 | 241 | 1,007 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | (2,182) | (2,150) | (4,332) | (576) | (231) | (807) | (1,606) | (1,919) | (3,525) | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (3,658) | (1,201) | (4,859) | (2,497) | (648) | (3,145) | (1,161) | (553) | (1,714) | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (35,730) | — | (35,730) | (34,547) | — | (34,547) | (1,111) | — | (1,111) | (72) | — | (72) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 248,148 | 184,322 | 432,470 | 240,296 | 181,055 | 421,351 | 6,713 | 3,053 | 9,766 | 1,139 | 214 | 1,353 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 17,363 | 12,907 | 30,270 | 77,092 | 53,123 | 130,215 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 5,669 | 1,235 | 6,904 | 15,936 | 6,457 | 22,393 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | (271) | 95 | (176) | (668) | (1,386) | (2,054) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 351 | 113 | 464 | 942 | 303 | 1,245 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | (3) | (1) | (4) | (367) | (359) | (726) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (184) | (67) | (251) | (842) | (251) | (1,093) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (2,621) | — | (2,621) | (10,771) | — | (10,771) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 20,304 | 14,282 | 34,586 | 81,322 | 57,887 | 139,209 |
FRANCE | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 42,044 | 21,933 | 63,977 | 42,044 | 21,933 | 63,977 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 1,688 | 1,879 | 3,567 | 1,688 | 1,879 | 3,567 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 1,086 | (1,912) | (826) | 1,086 | (1,912) | (826) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (126) | (114) | (240) | (126) | (114) | (240) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (4,046) | — | (4,046) | (4,046) | — | (4,046) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 40,646 | 21,786 | 62,432 | 40,646 | 21,786 | 62,432 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 5,482 | 892 | 6,374 | 5,482 | 892 | 6,374 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 3,239 | 968 | 4,207 | 3,239 | 968 | 4,207 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (37) | (6) | (43) | (37) | (6) | (43) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (1) | — | (1) | (1) | — | (1) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 8,683 | 1,854 | 10,537 | 8,683 | 1,854 | 10,537 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | — | — | — | 42,958 | 22,082 | 65,040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | 1,688 | 1,879 | 3,567 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | — | — | — | 1,625 | (1,751) | (126) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | (132) | (115) | (247) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | — | — | — | (4,046) | — | (4,046) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | — | — | — | 42,093 | 22,095 | 64,188 |
GERMANY | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 5,288 | 2,279 | 7,567 | 5,288 | 2,279 | 7,567 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 300 | 275 | 575 | 300 | 275 | 575 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 699 | 480 | 1,179 | 699 | 480 | 1,179 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (112) | (34) | (146) | (112) | (34) | (146) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (387) | — | (387) | (387) | — | (387) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 5,788 | 3,000 | 8,788 | 5,788 | 3,000 | 8,788 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 41,481 | 54,284 | 95,765 | 41,481 | 54,284 | 95,765 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 117 | 108 | 225 | 117 | 108 | 225 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 6,590 | (1,027) | 5,563 | 6,590 | (1,027) | 5,563 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | (231) | (231) | — | (231) | (231) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (7,077) | — | (7,077) | (7,077) | — | (7,077) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 41,111 | 53,134 | 94,245 | 41,111 | 53,134 | 94,245 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | — | — | — | 12,202 | 11,326 | 23,528 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | 320 | 293 | 613 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | — | — | — | 1,797 | 310 | 2,107 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | (112) | (73) | (185) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | — | — | — | (1,567) | — | (1,567) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | — | — | — | 12,640 | 11,856 | 24,496 |
IRELAND | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 99,575 | 50,787 | 150,362 | 99,575 | 50,787 | 150,362 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 3,553 | 602 | 4,155 | 3,553 | 602 | 4,155 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (21,325) | — | (21,325) | (21,325) | — | (21,325) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 81,803 | 51,389 | 133,192 | 81,803 | 51,389 | 133,192 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | — | — | — | 16,596 | 8,465 | 25,061 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | — | — | — | 592 | 100 | 692 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | — | — | — | (3,554) | — | (3,554) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | — | — | — | 13,634 | 8,565 | 22,199 |
NETHERLANDS | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 62,350 | 43,184 | 105,534 | 62,350 | 43,184 | 105,534 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 8,163 | 7,807 | 15,970 | 8,163 | 7,807 | 15,970 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 5,232 | (6,579) | (1,347) | 5,232 | (6,579) | (1,347) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (22) | (32) | (54) | (22) | (32) | (54) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (14,797) | — | (14,797) | (14,797) | — | (14,797) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 60,926 | 44,380 | 105,306 | 60,926 | 44,380 | 105,306 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 81 | 63 | 144 | 10,473 | 7,260 | 17,733 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 30 | 21 | 51 | 1,391 | 1,322 | 2,713 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 115 | 35 | 150 | 986 | (1,061) | (75) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | — | — | — | (4) | (5) | (9) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (33) | — | (33) | (2,499) | — | (2,499) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 193 | 119 | 312 | 10,347 | 7,516 | 17,863 |
UNITED STATES | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 3,169 | 5,727 | 8,896 | 3,169 | 5,727 | 8,896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 1,413 | 1,483 | 2,896 | 1,413 | 1,483 | 2,896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | (49) | (133) | (182) | (49) | (133) | (182) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (9) | (4) | (13) | (9) | (4) | (13) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (242) | — | (242) | (242) | — | (242) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 4,282 | 7,073 | 11,355 | 4,282 | 7,073 | 11,355 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 2,969 | 5,481 | 8,450 | 2,969 | 5,481 | 8,450 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 1,328 | 1,554 | 2,882 | 1,328 | 1,554 | 2,882 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 231 | 489 | 720 | 231 | 489 | 720 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (5) | (4) | (9) | (5) | (4) | (9) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (143) | — | (143) | (143) | — | (143) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 4,380 | 7,520 | 11,900 | 4,380 | 7,520 | 11,900 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 412 | 760 | 1,172 | 4,076 | 7,401 | 11,477 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 182 | 213 | 395 | 1,816 | 1,955 | 3,771 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 28 | 59 | 87 | 18 | 7 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (1) | (1) | (2) | (11) | (6) | (17) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (20) | — | (20) | (286) | — | (286) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 601 | 1,031 | 1,632 | 5,613 | 9,357 | 14,970 |
TOTAL COMPANY | Total Oil (4) | Light Crude Oil & | Heavy Oil | Tight Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2) | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 84,893 | 48,694 | 133,587 | 84,881 | 48,692 | 133,573 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 3,995 | 3,939 | 7,934 | 3,995 | 3,939 | 7,934 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 1,658 | (3,107) | (1,449) | 1,669 | (3,105) | (1,436) | — | — | — | (11) | (2) | (13) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 16 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (295) | (136) | (431) | (295) | (136) | (431) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (8,976) | — | (8,976) | (8,975) | — | (8,975) | — | — | — | (1) | — | (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 81,291 | 49,394 | 130,685 | 81,291 | 49,394 | 130,685 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Gas (4) | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane (5) | Shale Gas (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 438,387 | 311,296 | 749,683 | 428,955 | 306,335 | 735,290 | 8,061 | 4,677 | 12,738 | 1,371 | 284 | 1,655 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 67,648 | 38,989 | 106,637 | 66,683 | 38,446 | 105,129 | 965 | 543 | 1,508 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | 20,541 | (5,175) | 15,366 | 19,902 | (5,169) | 14,733 | 799 | 64 | 863 | (160) | (70) | (230) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 3,452 | 1,113 | 4,565 | 2,686 | 872 | 3,558 | 766 | 241 | 1,007 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | (2,182) | (2,150) | (4,332) | (576) | (231) | (807) | (1,606) | (1,919) | (3,525) | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (3,722) | (1,474) | (5,196) | (2,561) | (921) | (3,482) | (1,161) | (553) | (1,714) | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (79,073) | — | (79,073) | (77,890) | — | (77,890) | (1,111) | — | (1,111) | (72) | — | (72) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 445,051 | 342,599 | 787,650 | 437,199 | 339,332 | 776,531 | 6,713 | 3,053 | 9,766 | 1,139 | 214 | 1,353 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Proved | Probable | Proved + | Proved | Probable | Proved + | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factors | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2016 | 17,856 | 13,730 | 31,586 | 175,815 | 114,307 | 290,122 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discoveries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Extensions & Improved Recovery | 5,881 | 1,469 | 7,350 | 21,151 | 11,906 | 33,057 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Technical Revisions | (128) | 189 | 61.49 | 4,953 | (3,781) | 1,172 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisitions | 351 | 113 | 464 | 942 | 303 | 1,245 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dispositions | (3) | (1) | (4) | (367) | (359) | (726) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Economic Factors | (185) | (68) | (253) | (1,101) | (450) | (1,551) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | (2,674) | — | (2,674) | (24,829) | — | (24,829) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At December 31, 2017 | 21,098 | 15,432 | 36,530.49 | 176,564 | 121,926 | 298,490 |
Notes: | |
(1) | "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. |
(2) | "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. |
(3) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
(4) | For reporting purposes, "Total Oil" is the sum of Light Crude oil and Medium Crude Oil, Heavy Oil and Tight Oil. For reporting purposes, "Total Gas" is the sum of Conventional Natural Gas, Coal Bed Methane and Shale Gas. |
(5) | "Coal Bed Methane" and "Shale Gas" were considered "Unconventional Natural Gas" in previous years. NI 51-101 no longer differentiates between conventional and unconventional activities. |
The table below sets out the future development costs deducted in the estimation of future net revenue attributable to total proved reserves and total proved plus probable reserves (using forecast prices and costs).
Table 9: Future Development Costs(1)
(M$) | Total Proved | Total Proved Plus Probable | |
Australia | |||
2018 | 11,565 | 11,565 | |
2019 | 70,052 | 70,052 | |
2020 | 3,026 | 3,026 | |
2021 | 3,140 | 58,821 | |
2022 | 3,164 | 3,164 | |
Remainder | 9,936 | 20,173 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 100,883 | 166,801 | |
Canada | |||
2018 | 136,499 | 150,107 | |
2019 | 142,540 | 155,186 | |
2020 | 110,461 | 139,784 | |
2021 | 20,828 | 119,929 | |
2022 | 622 | 114,329 | |
Remainder | 1,373 | 65,337 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 412,323 | 744,672 | |
France | |||
2018 | 30,969 | 52,162 | |
2019 | 34,118 | 84,258 | |
2020 | 19,848 | 100,335 | |
2021 | 26,017 | 59,875 | |
2022 | 4,289 | 24,707 | |
Remainder | 10,633 | 24,859 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 125,874 | 346,196 | |
Germany | |||
2018 | 2,116 | 5,381 | |
2019 | 11,172 | 17,742 | |
2020 | 3,162 | 10,590 | |
2021 | 3,185 | 29,808 | |
2022 | 124 | 38,918 | |
Remainder | 650 | 2,460 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 20,409 | 104,899 | |
Ireland | |||
2018 | — | — | |
2019 | 1,855 | 1,855 | |
2020 | — | 19,271 | |
2021 | — | — | |
2022 | — | — | |
Remainder | 17,052 | 17,052 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 18,907 | 38,178 | |
Netherlands | |||
2018 | 3,205 | 9,569 | |
2019 | 12,253 | 13,923 | |
2020 | 6,181 | 14,170 | |
2021 | 324 | 4,909 | |
2022 | 326 | 4,921 | |
Remainder | 5,877 | 5,877 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 28,166 | 53,369 | |
United States | |||
2018 | 3,797 | 11,392 | |
2019 | 28,082 | 39,224 | |
2020 | 35,114 | 46,818 | |
2021 | — | 48,532 | |
2022 | — | — | |
Remainder | — | — | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 66,993 | 145,966 | |
Total Company | |||
2018 | 188,151 | 240,176 | |
2019 | 300,072 | 382,240 | |
2020 | 177,792 | 333,994 | |
2021 | 53,494 | 321,874 | |
2022 | 8,525 | 186,039 | |
Remainder | 45,521 | 135,758 | |
Total for all years undiscounted | 773,555 | 1,600,081 |
Note:
(1) | The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above. See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
Vermilion expects to source its capital expenditure requirements from internally generated cash flow and, as appropriate, from Vermilion's existing credit facility or equity or debt financing. It is anticipated that costs of funding the future development costs will not impact development of its properties or Vermilion's reserves or future net revenue.
APPENDIX A
CONTINGENT RESOURCES
Summary information regarding contingent resources and net present value of future net revenues from contingent resources are set forth below and are derived, in each case, from the GLJ Resources Assessment. The GLJ Resources Assessment was prepared in accordance with COGEH and NI-51-101 by GLJ, an independent qualified reserve evaluator. All contingent resources evaluated in the GLJ Resources Assessment were deemed economic at the effective date of December 31, 2017. Contingent resources are in addition to reserves estimated in the GLJ Report.
A range of contingent resources estimates (low, best and high) were prepared by GLJ. See notes 6 to 8 of the tables below for a description of low estimate, best estimate and high estimate.
The GLJ Resources Assessment estimated gross risked contingent resources with a project maturity subclass of "Development Pending" of 107.3 million boe (low estimate) to 253.6 million boe (high estimate), with a best estimate of 176.7 million boe. Contingent resources are in addition to reserves estimated in the GLJ Report.
The GLJ Resources Assessment estimated gross risked contingent resources with a project maturity subclass of "Development Unclarified" of 7.5 million boe (low estimate) to 46.1 million boe (high estimate), with a best estimate of 32.8 million boe.
An estimate of risked net present value of future net revenue of contingent resources is preliminary in nature and is provided to assist the reader in reaching an opinion on the merit and likelihood of the company proceeding with the required investment. It includes contingent resources that are considered too uncertain with respect to the chance of development to be classified as reserves. There is uncertainty that the risked net present value of future net revenue will be realized.
Table 10: Summary of Risked Oil and Gas Contingent Resources as at December 31, 2017(1) (2) - Forecast Prices and Costs (3) (4)
Resources | Light Crude Oil & | Conventional | Coal Bed | Natural Gas | BOE | Unrisked | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Project | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maturity | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Chance | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sub-Class | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | % (9) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (1C) - Low Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 11,918 | 10,818 | 217,576 | 200,317 | 2,081 | 1,977 | 17,879 | 15,803 | 66,407 | 60,337 | 82 | % | 80,740 | 73,403 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 13,677 | 12,798 | 940 | 940 | — | — | — | — | 13,834 | 12,955 | 87 | % | 15,923 | 14,908 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 19,342 | 16,795 | — | — | — | — | 3,224 | 2,799 | 77 | % | 4,187 | 3,635 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 61 | 61 | 4,647 | 4,647 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 837 | 837 | 81 | % | 1,038 | 1,038 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | 17,651 | 14,699 | 17,643 | 14,693 | — | — | 2,416 | 2,104 | 23,008 | 19,252 | 90 | % | 25,567 | 21,391 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 43,307 | 38,376 | 260,148 | 237,392 | 2,081 | 1,977 | 20,296 | 17,908 | 107,310 | 96,180 | 84 | % | 127,453 | 114,375 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (2C) - Best Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia (11) | 2,440 | 2,440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2,440 | 2,440 | 80 | % | 3,050 | 3,050 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada (12) | 19,312 | 17,209 | 352,291 | 322,162 | 2,520 | 2,394 | 27,354 | 23,739 | 105,801 | 95,041 | 81 | % | 131,380 | 118,063 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France (13) | 27,054 | 25,229 | 1,245 | 1,245 | — | — | — | — | 27,262 | 25,437 | 85 | % | 32,027 | 29,891 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany (14) | — | — | 33,721 | 29,267 | — | — | — | — | 5,620 | 4,878 | 77 | % | 7,299 | 6,335 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (15) | 121 | 121 | 13,995 | 13,995 | — | — | 8 | 8 | 2,462 | 2,462 | 78 | % | 3,170 | 3,169 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA (16) | 25,289 | 21,060 | 25,924 | 21,589 | — | — | 3,554 | 2,960 | 33,164 | 27,618 | 90 | % | 36,849 | 30,687 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 74,216 | 66,059 | 427,176 | 388,258 | 2,520 | 2,394 | 30,916 | 26,707 | 176,749 | 157,876 | 83 | % | 213,775 | 191,195 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (3C) - High Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 3,280 | 3,280 | 3,280 | 3,280 | 80 | % | 4,100 | 4,100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 24,079 | 21,133 | 488,328 | 443,399 | 2,943 | 2,796 | 37,617 | 31,953 | 143,575 | 127,452 | 80 | % | 179,355 | 159,116 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 43,275 | 40,278 | 1,618 | 1,618 | — | — | — | — | 43,545 | 40,548 | 84 | % | 51,613 | 48,043 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 62,480 | 54,212 | — | — | — | — | 10,413 | 9,035 | 77 | % | 13,523 | 11,734 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 242 | 242 | 27,237 | 27,237 | — | — | 16 | 16 | 4,798 | 4,798 | 79 | % | 6,100 | 6,097 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | 36,411 | 30,320 | 38,218 | 31,826 | — | — | 5,240 | 4,363 | 48,021 | 39,987 | 90 | % | 53,356 | 44,430 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 107,287 | 95,253 | 617,881 | 558,292 | 2,943 | 2,796 | 42,873 | 36,332 | 253,632 | 225,100 | 82 | % | 308,047 | 273,520 |
Resources | Light Crude Oil & | Conventional | Coal Bed | Natural Gas | BOE | Unrisked | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Project | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maturity | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Chance | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sub-Class | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | % (9) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (1C) - Low Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | — | — | 30,844 | 27,821 | — | — | 531 | 439 | 5,672 | 5,076 | 60 | % | 9,463 | 8,474 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 1,302 | 1,235 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,302 | 1,235 | 41 | % | 3,212 | 3,049 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | 3,120 | 3,120 | — | — | — | — | 520 | 520 | 70 | % | 743 | 743 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 1,302 | 1,235 | 33,964 | 30,941 | — | — | 531 | 439 | 7,494 | 6,831 | 56 | % | 13,418 | 12,266 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (2C) - Best Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada (18) | — | — | 60,273 | 53,873 | 60,886 | 57,652 | 6,641 | 5,995 | 26,834 | 24,583 | 46 | % | 58,404 | 53,558 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France (19) | 2,539 | 2,410 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2,539 | 2,410 | 45 | % | 5,690 | 5,404 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 1,496 | 1,190 | — | — | — | — | 249 | 198 | 35 | % | 711 | 566 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (20) | — | — | 18,678 | 18,104 | — | — | 32 | 16 | 3,145 | 3,033 | 51 | % | 6,134 | 5,912 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 2,539 | 2,410 | 80,447 | 73,167 | 60,886 | 57,652 | 6,673 | 6,011 | 32,767 | 30,224 | 46 | % | 70,939 | 65,440 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (3C) - High Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | — | — | 78,561 | 69,281 | 77,410 | 72,283 | 10,104 | 8,744 | 36,099 | 32,338 | 46 | % | 78,918 | 70,761 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 3,825 | 3,632 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3,825 | 3,632 | 46 | % | 8,250 | 7,828 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 2,327 | 1,850 | — | — | — | — | 388 | 308 | 35 | % | 1,109 | 880 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | 34,682 | 33,807 | — | — | 48 | 24 | 5,828 | 5,659 | 54 | % | 10,743 | 10,441 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 3,825 | 3,632 | 115,570 | 104,938 | 77,410 | 72,283 | 10,152 | 8,768 | 46,140 | 41,937 | 47 | % | 99,020 | 89,910 |
Table 11: Summary of Risked Net Present Value of Future Net Revenues as at December 31, 2017 - Forecast Prices and Costs (3)
Resources Project | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maturity Sub-Class | Before Income Taxes, Discounted at (5) | After Income Taxes, Discounted at (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(M$) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (1C) - Low Estimate (6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 1,324,088 | 692,454 | 384,479 | 223,327 | 133,827 | 968,246 | 491,682 | 261,417 | 143,098 | 78,999 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 646,356 | 356,990 | 207,518 | 125,059 | 77,334 | 475,460 | 249,755 | 136,639 | 76,160 | 42,380 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 25,368 | 15,606 | 8,171 | 2,911 | (697) | 15,012 | 7,957 | 2,377 | (1,574) | (4,234) | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 30,463 | 22,364 | 16,718 | 12,743 | 9,886 | 18,249 | 13,309 | 9,784 | 7,297 | 5,522 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | 705,352 | 353,098 | 190,899 | 109,417 | 65,316 | 553,775 | 277,974 | 149,964 | 85,463 | 50,507 | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 2,731,627 | 1,440,512 | 807,785 | 473,457 | 285,666 | 2,030,742 | 1,040,677 | 560,181 | 310,444 | 173,174 | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (2C) - Best Estimate (7) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia (11) | 81,610 | 50,240 | 31,044 | 19,219 | 11,873 | 17,295 | 7,186 | 1,687 | (1,167) | (2,534) | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada (12) | 2,286,705 | 1,179,969 | 662,147 | 394,654 | 245,475 | 1,674,927 | 844,557 | 458,109 | 261,348 | 153,799 | |||||||||||||||||||
France (13) | 1,414,420 | 759,973 | 439,654 | 268,026 | 170,036 | 1,048,109 | 540,491 | 298,625 | 172,711 | 103,017 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany (14) | 116,948 | 83,758 | 60,390 | 44,003 | 32,395 | 80,292 | 56,601 | 39,643 | 27,741 | 19,370 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (15) | 81,618 | 57,215 | 41,025 | 29,997 | 22,252 | 43,748 | 28,728 | 18,805 | 12,189 | 7,679 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA (16) | 1,275,912 | 623,677 | 342,983 | 205,348 | 130,725 | 1,004,012 | 492,135 | 270,653 | 161,886 | 102,881 | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 5,257,213 | 2,754,832 | 1,577,243 | 961,247 | 612,756 | 3,868,383 | 1,969,698 | 1,087,522 | 634,708 | 384,212 | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (3C) - High Estimate (8) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Pending (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 162,700 | 104,204 | 67,988 | 45,184 | 30,555 | 54,329 | 31,507 | 18,140 | 10,277 | 5,629 | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 3,312,383 | 1,649,632 | 923,352 | 557,850 | 354,901 | 2,402,861 | 1,167,883 | 630,702 | 364,282 | 219,347 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 2,463,627 | 1,310,231 | 760,541 | 468,396 | 301,212 | 1,827,017 | 934,100 | 520,513 | 306,268 | 186,763 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 302,880 | 217,383 | 159,970 | 120,614 | 92,931 | 212,387 | 151,748 | 110,557 | 82,278 | 62,446 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 205,065 | 142,394 | 103,727 | 78,262 | 60,611 | 110,555 | 74,368 | 52,017 | 37,485 | 27,588 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | 2,174,766 | 1,004,149 | 546,550 | 330,707 | 215,009 | 1,713,929 | 792,856 | 431,644 | 261,128 | 169,703 | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 8,621,421 | 4,427,993 | 2,562,128 | 1,601,013 | 1,055,219 | 6,321,078 | 3,152,462 | 1,763,573 | 1,061,718 | 671,476 | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (1C) - Low Estimate (6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 53,655 | 21,601 | 9,005 | 3,855 | 1,673 | 41,934 | 16,497 | 6,597 | 2,643 | 1,029 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 97,733 | 53,885 | 31,470 | 19,270 | 12,266 | 73,554 | 40,473 | 23,562 | 14,377 | 9,118 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 13,366 | 8,426 | 5,351 | 3,406 | 2,156 | 6,990 | 3,867 | 1,988 | 855 | 175 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 164,754 | 83,912 | 45,826 | 26,531 | 16,095 | 122,478 | 60,837 | 32,147 | 17,875 | 10,322 | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (2C) - Best Estimate (7) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada (18) | 371,151 | 160,012 | 67,074 | 23,472 | 2,109 | 267,364 | 108,714 | 38,845 | 6,527 | (8,792) | |||||||||||||||||||
France (19) | 180,756 | 91,957 | 50,625 | 29,643 | 18,218 | 134,726 | 67,893 | 36,941 | 21,367 | 12,973 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 472 | 736 | 724 | 616 | 487 | (353) | 41 | 132 | 107 | 45 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (20) | 101,333 | 60,727 | 37,612 | 23,937 | 15,510 | 58,291 | 33,549 | 19,395 | 11,127 | 6,149 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 653,712 | 313,432 | 156,035 | 77,668 | 36,324 | 460,028 | 210,197 | 95,313 | 39,128 | 10,375 | |||||||||||||||||||
Contingent (3C) - High Estimate (8) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development Unclarified (17) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 685,972 | 314,515 | 159,130 | 85,452 | 47,007 | 547,002 | 261,869 | 138,799 | 78,569 | 46,086 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 292,883 | 138,555 | 73,474 | 42,171 | 25,626 | 217,128 | 101,766 | 53,321 | 30,222 | 18,141 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 4,579 | 4,019 | 3,344 | 2,727 | 2,210 | 2,638 | 2,450 | 2,054 | 1,651 | 1,300 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 244,742 | 135,716 | 82,312 | 53,187 | 35,980 | 141,378 | 76,237 | 44,453 | 27,335 | 17,400 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 1,228,176 | 592,805 | 318,260 | 183,537 | 110,823 | 908,146 | 442,322 | 238,627 | 137,777 | 82,927 |
Notes:
(1) | Contingent resources are defined in the COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the contingent resources or that Vermilion will produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as contingent resources. The estimates of contingent resources involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources described exists in the quantities predicted or estimated, as at a given date, and that the resources can be profitably produced in the future. The risked net present value of the future net revenue from the contingent resources does not represent the fair market value of the contingent resources. Actual contingent resources (and any volumes that may be reclassified as reserves) and future production therefrom may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. | |||
(2) | GLJ prepared the estimates of contingent resources shown for each property using deterministic principles and methods. Probabilistic aggregation of the low and high property estimates shown in the table might produce different total volumes than the arithmetic sums shown in the table. | |||
(3) | The forecast price and cost assumptions utilized in the year-end 2017 reserves report were also utilized by GLJ in preparing the GLJ Resource Assessment. See "Forecast Prices Used in Estimates" in this AIF. | |||
(4) | "Gross" contingent resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion. "Net" contingent resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in contingent resources. | |||
(5) | The risked net present value of future net revenue attributable to the contingent resources does not represent the fair market value of the contingent resources. Estimated abandonment and reclamation costs have been included in the evaluation. | |||
(6) | This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate. | |||
(7) | This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate. | |||
(8) | This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate. | |||
(9) | The Chance of Development (CoDev) is the estimated probability that, once discovered, a known accumulation will be commercially developed. Five factors have been considered in determining the CoDev as follows: | |||
• | CoDev = Ps (Economic Factor) × Ps (Technology Factor) × Ps (Development Plan Factor) ×Ps (Development Timeframe Factor) × Ps (Other Contingency Factor) wherein | |||
• | Ps is the probability of success | |||
• | Economic Factor – For reserves to be assessed, a project must be economic. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures uncertainty in the assessment of economic status principally due to uncertainty in cost estimates and marketing options. Economic viability uncertainty due to technology is more aptly captured with the Technology Factor. The Economic Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending projects and for projects with a development study or pre-development study with a robust rate of return. A robust rate of return means that the project retains economic status with variation in costs and/or marketing plans over the expected range of outcomes for these variables. | |||
• | Technology Factor - For reserves to be assessed, a project must utilize established technology. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the viability of the proposed technology for the subject reservoir, namely, the uncertainty associated with technology under development. By definition, technology under development is a recovery process or process improvement that has been determined to be technically viable via field test and is being field tested further to determine its economic viability in the subject reservoir. The Technology Factor will be 1 for reserves and for established technology. For technology under development, this factor will consider different risks associated with technologies being developed at the scale of the well versus the scale of a project and technologies which are being modified or extended for the subject reservoir versus new emerging technologies which have not previously been applied in any commercial application. The risk assessment will also consider the quality and sufficiency of the test data available, the ability to reliably scale such data and the ability to extrapolate results in time. | |||
• | Development Plan Factor – For reserves to be assessed, a project must have a detailed development plan. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the project evaluation scenario. The Development Plan Factor will be 1 for reserves and high, approaching 1, for development pending projects. This factor will consider development plan detail variations including the degree of delineation, reservoir specific development and operating strategy detail (technology decision, well layouts (spacing and pad locations), completion strategy, start-up strategy, water source and disposal, other infrastructure, facility design, marketing plans) and the quality of the cost estimates as provided by the developer. | |||
• | Development Timeframe Factor – In the case of major projects, for reserves to be assessed, first major capital spending must be initiated within 5 years of the effective date. The Development Timeframe Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending projects provided the project is planned on-stream based on the same criteria used in the assessment of reserves. With respect to contingent resources, the factor will approach 1 for projects planned on-stream with a timeframe slightly longer than the limiting reserves criteria. | |||
• | Other Contingency Factor – For reserves to be assessed, all contingencies must be eliminated. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures major contingencies, usually beyond the control of the operator, other than those captured by economic status, technology status, project evaluation scenario status and the development timeframe. The Other Contingency Factor will be 1 for reserves and for development pending projects and less than 1 for on hold. Provided all contingencies have been identified and their resolution is reasonably certain, this factor would also be 1 for development unclarified projects. | |||
• | These factors may be inter-related (dependent) and care has been taken to ensure that risks are appropriately accounted. | |||
(10) | Project maturity subclass development pending is defined as contingent resources where resolution of the final conditions for development is being actively pursued (high chance of development). | |||
(11) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for Australia have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core asset (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $143 MM and the expected timeline is between 6 and 8 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(12) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for Canada have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $1,066 MM and the expected timeline is between 3 and 12 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(13) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for France have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $571 MM and the expected timeline is between 3 and 12 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(14) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for Germany have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $75 MM and the expected timeline is between 2 and 4 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(15) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for Netherlands have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $45 MM and the expected timeline is between 2 and 4 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(16) | Risked development pending best estimate contingent resources for USA have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core asset (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies. The risked risked estimated cost to bring these contingent resources on commercial production is $380 MM and the expected timeline is between 1 and 11 years. The specific contingencies for these resources are corporate commitment and development timing. | |||
(17) | Project maturity subclass development unclarified is defined as contingent resources when the evaluation is incomplete and there is ongoing activity to resolve any risks or uncertainties. | |||
(18) | In Canada, GLJ has estimated an aggregate of risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources of 26.8 mmboe for the projects outlined below. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of $323 MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 12 years. | |||
Edson Duvernay | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing, economic risks associated with lower liquid yields, and capital and operating cost uncertainty, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 15.5 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $242.8 MM. The expected timeline is 3 to 7 years. | |||
Ferrier Notikewin | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing that is greater than 10 years, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 4.7 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $31 MM. The expected timeline is 11 to 15 years. | |||
Ferrier Falher | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing that is greater than 10 years, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 3.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $23 MM. The expected timeline is 11 to 15 years. | |||
West Pembina Glauconite | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing as well as economic risk related to capital and operating cost uncertainty due to limited horizontal development in proximity to interest lands, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 3.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $26 MM. The expected timeline is 4 to 6 years. | |||
(19) | In France, GLJ has estimated an aggregate of risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources of 2.5 mmboe for the projects outlined below. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of $37 MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 8 years. | |||
Charmottes | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing, along with the project still being in the pre-development study/sourcing stage related to waterflood development, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 1.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $29 MM. The expected timeline is 7 to 9 years. | |||
Chaunoy | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing, along with a CO2 pilot project still being in the conceptual study stage, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 1.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $8 MM. The expected timeline is 8 to 10 years. | |||
(20) | In the Netherlands, GLJ has estimated an aggregate of risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources of 3.1 mmboe for the projects outlined below. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of $51 MM with an expected timeline of 8 to 10 years. | |||
Netherlands East | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing along with proof-of-concept utilizing directional drilling and unknown deliverability from Zechstein carbonates, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 1.5 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $25 MM. The expected timeline is 3 to 7 years. | |||
Netherlands West | Based on contingencies related to corporate commitment and development timing along with further study required regarding the deliverability of the Bunter sands, GLJ has estimated risked unclarified best estimate contingent resources at 1.6 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $26 MM. The expected timeline is 3 to 5 years. |
PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES
Summary information regarding prospective resources and net present value of future net revenues from prospective resources are set forth below and are derived, in each case, from the GLJ Resources Assessment. The GLJ Resources Assessment was prepared in accordance with COGEH and NI-51-101 by GLJ, an independent qualified reserve evaluator. All prospective resources evaluated in the GLJ Resources Assessment were deemed economic at the effective date of December 31, 2017. Prospective resources are in addition to reserves estimated in the GLJ Report.
A range of prospective resources estimates (low, best and high) were prepared by GLJ. See notes 6 to 8 of the tables below for a description of low estimate, best estimate and high estimate.
The GLJ Resources Assessment estimated gross risked prospective resources of 51.5 million boe (low estimate) to 260.4 million boe (high estimate), with a best estimate of 153.4 million boe.
An estimate of risked net present value of future net revenue of prospective resources is preliminary in nature and is provided to assist the reader in reaching an opinion on the merit and likelihood of the company proceeding with the required investment. It includes prospective resources that are considered too uncertain with respect to the chance of development and chance of discovery to be classified as reserves. There is uncertainty that the risked net present value of future net revenue will be realized.
Summary of Risked Oil and Gas Prospective Resources as at December 31, 2017(1)(2) - Forecast Prices and Costs(3)(4)
Resources | Light Crude Oil & | Conventional | Coal Bed | Natural Gas | BOE | Unrisked | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Project | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maturity | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Chance of | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sub-Class | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | % (9) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospective - Low Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 185 | 168 | 66,480 | 61,570 | — | — | 4,522 | 3,982 | 15,787 | 14,412 | 34.0 | % | 46,435 | 42,388 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 5,528 | 4,977 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5,528 | 4,977 | 21.3 | % | 25,904 | 23,366 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 136,066 | 116,769 | — | — | — | — | 22,678 | 19,462 | 29.0 | % | 78,200 | 67,110 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | 44,603 | 41,372 | — | — | 50 | 46 | 7,484 | 6,941 | 10.1 | % | 73,823 | 68,723 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 5,713 | 5,145 | 247,149 | 219,711 | — | — | 4,572 | 4,028 | 51,477 | 45,792 | 22.9 | % | 224,362 | 201,587 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospective - Best Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia (11) | 579 | 579 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 579 | 579 | 48.0 | % | 1,206 | 1,206 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada (12) | 2,090 | 1,871 | 162,093 | 147,542 | 112,623 | 106,205 | 24,876 | 22,098 | 72,752 | 66,260 | 23.5 | % | 309,610 | 281,957 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France (13) | 16,335 | 14,636 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16,335 | 14,636 | 21.4 | % | 76,358 | 68,393 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany (14) | — | — | 292,725 | 251,987 | — | — | — | — | 48,788 | 41,998 | 29.0 | % | 168,235 | 144,821 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (15) | — | — | 89,366 | 82,029 | — | — | 96 | 89 | 14,990 | 13,761 | 10.2 | % | 147,256 | 134,912 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 19,004 | 17,086 | 544,184 | 481,558 | 112,623 | 106,205 | 24,972 | 22,187 | 153,444 | 137,234 | 21.8 | % | 702,665 | 631,289 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospective - High Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 1,462 | 1,462 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,462 | 1,462 | 48.0 | % | 3,046 | 3,046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 2,684 | 2,383 | 231,682 | 209,203 | 147,282 | 136,241 | 38,134 | 32,553 | 103,979 | 92,510 | 23.8 | % | 436,843 | 388,697 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
France | 35,640 | 32,301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35,640 | 32,301 | 22.8 | % | 156,320 | 141,671 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Germany | — | — | 554,429 | 479,424 | — | — | — | — | 92,405 | 79,904 | 29.0 | % | 318,638 | 275,531 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | — | — | 160,271 | 148,815 | — | — | 171 | 159 | 26,883 | 24,962 | 10.6 | % | 252,881 | 235,491 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 39,786 | 36,146 | 946,382 | 837,442 | 147,282 | 136,241 | 38,305 | 32,712 | 260,369 | 231,139 | 22.3 | % | 1,167,728 | 1,044,436 |
Summary of Risked Net Present Value of Future Net Revenues as at December 31, 2017 - Forecast Prices and Costs(3)
Resources Project | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maturity Sub-Class | Before Income Taxes, Discounted at (5) | After Income Taxes, Discounted at (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(M$) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | |||||||||||||||||||
Prospective (Pr1) -Low Estimate (6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 207,770 | 95,938 | 44,659 | 19,798 | 7,252 | 169,908 | 75,170 | 32,207 | 11,777 | 1,780 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 238,004 | 131,320 | 76,140 | 46,216 | 29,224 | 187,762 | 102,964 | 59,117 | 35,418 | 22,032 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 368,323 | 169,166 | 74,634 | 29,008 | 6,565 | 252,131 | 112,397 | 44,221 | 11,701 | (3,782) | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 274,447 | 125,347 | 68,782 | 42,725 | 28,862 | 145,575 | 61,601 | 29,728 | 15,701 | 8,716 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 1,088,544 | 521,771 | 264,215 | 137,747 | 71,903 | 755,376 | 352,132 | 165,273 | 74,597 | 28,746 | |||||||||||||||||||
Prospective (Pr2) -Best Estimate (7) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia (11) | 41,338 | 23,669 | 14,015 | 8,555 | 5,365 | 16,344 | 8,905 | 4,999 | 2,884 | 1,705 | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada (12) | 1,491,712 | 623,324 | 281,364 | 133,988 | 65,665 | 1,065,129 | 430,068 | 182,436 | 78,310 | 31,913 | |||||||||||||||||||
France (13) | 722,008 | 401,287 | 237,931 | 149,181 | 98,046 | 533,938 | 289,739 | 167,209 | 101,849 | 64,935 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany (14) | 1,259,830 | 556,044 | 260,954 | 126,408 | 60,705 | 883,031 | 385,237 | 174,225 | 78,544 | 32,534 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands (15) | 664,124 | 319,700 | 187,996 | 124,429 | 88,794 | 358,130 | 165,622 | 92,188 | 57,620 | 38,865 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 4,179,012 | 1,924,024 | 982,260 | 542,561 | 318,575 | 2,856,572 | 1,279,571 | 621,057 | 319,207 | 169,952 | |||||||||||||||||||
Prospect (10) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Australia | 136,670 | 74,308 | 43,028 | 26,126 | 16,460 | 57,049 | 30,416 | 17,274 | 10,298 | 6,378 | |||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 2,681,315 | 1,109,012 | 521,064 | 267,963 | 146,940 | 1,909,850 | 772,257 | 349,756 | 171,101 | 87,888 | |||||||||||||||||||
France | 1,937,405 | 1,011,329 | 573,475 | 347,956 | 223,097 | 1,458,826 | 749,093 | 417,797 | 249,512 | 157,614 | |||||||||||||||||||
Germany | 2,751,890 | 1,219,651 | 585,356 | 295,653 | 153,056 | 1,969,884 | 858,139 | 400,902 | 194,089 | 93,693 | |||||||||||||||||||
Ireland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Netherlands | 1,355,100 | 675,317 | 411,776 | 281,254 | 206,125 | 738,129 | 360,566 | 214,793 | 143,533 | 103,140 | |||||||||||||||||||
USA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total | 8,862,380 | 4,089,617 | 2,134,699 | 1,218,952 | 745,678 | 6,133,738 | 2,770,471 | 1,400,522 | 768,533 | 448,713 |
Notes:
(1) | Prospective resources are defined in the COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from unknown accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery (CoDis) and a chance of development (CoDev). There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources or that Vermilion will produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as prospective resources. The estimates of prospective resources involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources described exists in the quantities predicted or estimated, as at a given date, and that the resources can be profitably produced in the future. The risked net present value of the future net revenue from the prospective resources does not represent the fair market value of the prospective resources. Actual prospective resources (and any volumes that may be reclassified as reserves) and future production therefrom may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. | |
(2) | GLJ prepared the estimates of prospective resources shown for each property using deterministic principles and methods. Probabilistic aggregation of the low and high property estimates shown in the table might produce different total volumes than the arithmetic sums shown in the table. | |
(3) | The forecast price and cost assumptions utilized in the year-end 2017 reserves report were also utilized by GLJ in preparing the GLJ Resource Assessment. See "GLJ December 31, 2017 Forecast Prices" in this AIF. | |
(4) | "Gross" prospective resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion. "Net" prospective resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in prospective resources. | |
(5) | The risked net present value of future net revenue attributable to the prospective resources does not represent the fair market value of the prospective resources. Estimated abandonment and reclamation costs have been included in the evaluation. | |
(6) | This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate. | |
(7) | This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate. | |
(8) | This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate. | |
(9) | The chance of commerciality is defined as the product of the CoDis and the CoDev. CoDis is defined in COGEH as the estimated probability that exploration activities will confirm the existence of a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum. CoDev is defined as the estimated probability that, once discovered, a known accumulation will be commercially developed. | |
CoDev is the estimated probability that, once discovered, a known accumulation will be commercially developed. Five factors have been considered in determining the CoDev as follows: | ||
• | Ps is the probability of success | |
• | Economic Factor – For reserves to be assessed, a project must be economic. With respect to prospective resources, this factor captures uncertainty in the assessment of economic status principally due to uncertainty in cost estimates and marketing options. Economic viability uncertainty due to technology is more aptly captured with the Technology Factor. The Economic Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending and for projects with a development study or pre-development study with a robust rate of return. A robust rate of return means that the project retains economic status with variation in costs and/or marketing plans over the expected range of outcomes for these variables. | |
• | Technology Factor - For reserves to be assessed, a project must utilize established technology. With respect to prospective resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the viability of the proposed technology for the subject reservoir, namely, the uncertainty associated with technology under development. By definition, technology under development is a recovery process or process improvement that has been determined to be technically viable via field test and is being field tested further to determine its economic viability in the subject reservoir. The Technology Factor will be 1 for reserves and for established technology. For technology under development, this factor will consider different risks associated with technologies being developed at the scale of the well versus the scale of a project and technologies which are being modified or extended for the subject reservoir versus new emerging technologies which have not previously been applied in any commercial application. The risk assessment will also consider the quality and sufficiency of the test data available, the ability to reliably scale such data and the ability to extrapolate results in time. | |
• | Development Plan Factor – For reserves to be assessed, a project must have a detailed development plan. With respect to prospective resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the project evaluation scenario. The Development Plan Factor will be 1 for reserves and high, approaching 1, for development pending projects. This factor will consider development plan detail variations including the degree of delineation, reservoir specific development and operating strategy detail (technology decision, well layouts (spacing and pad locations), completion strategy, start-up strategy, water source and disposal, other infrastructure, facility design, marketing plans etc.) and the quality of the cost estimates as provided by the developer. | |
• | Development Timeframe Factor – In the case of major projects, for reserves to be assessed, first major capital spending must be initiated within 5 years of the effective date. The Development Timeframe Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending provided the project is planned on-stream based on the same criteria used in the assessment of reserves. With respect to prospective resources, the factor will approach 1 for projects planned on-stream with a timeframe slightly longer than the limiting reserves criteria. | |
• | Other Contingency Factor – For reserves to be assessed, all contingencies must be eliminated. With respect to prospective resources, this factor captures major contingencies, usually beyond the control of the operator, other than those captured by economic status, technology status, project evaluation scenario status and the development timeframe. The Other Contingency Factor will be 1 for reserves and for development pending and less than 1 for on hold. Provided all contingencies have been identified and their resolution is reasonably certain, this factor would also be 1 for development unclarified. | |
• | These factors may be inter-related (dependent) and care has been taken to ensure that risks are appropriately accounted. | |
CoDis is defined in COGEH as the estimated probability that exploration activities will confirm the existence of a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum. Five factors have been considered in determining the CoDis as follows: | ||
• | CoDis = Ps (Source) × Ps (Timing and Migration) × Ps (Trap) ×Ps (Seal) × Ps (Reservoir) wherein | |
• | Ps is the probability of success | |
• | Source – For a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum, a viable source rock capable of generating hydrocarbons must exist. The probability of a source rock investigates stratigraphic presence and location, volumetric adequacy and organic richness of the proposed source rock. In proven hydrocarbon systems, this factor will be a 1. This factor becomes critical when looking at frontier basins. | |
• | Timing and Migration - For a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum, the source rock must reach thermal maturity to generate the hydrocarbons and have a conduit with which to fill the closures that existed at the time of migration. The probability of timing and migration investigates the movement of hydrocarbons from the source rock to the trap. This factor evaluates the pathways and/or carrier beds, including fault systems, which can transport buoyant hydrocarbons from the source kitchen to the prospect area at a time that the trap existed. This factor is often 1 in producing trends, but there is a possibility of migration shadows where the conduits do not fill a viable trap, which would decrease this factor. | |
• | Trap - For a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum, a reservoir must be present in a structural or stratigraphic closure. The trap factor looks at the definition of the geometry of the accumulation, which is determined using seismic, gravity and/or magnetic techniques and surrounding well logs to determine the probability of a significant accumulation. The risking of this includes examining data quality (e.g. 2D vs 3D seismic coverage) and potential depth conversion possibilities which give confidence in the mapped trap. Stratigraphic trap definition is used for volumetric calculations, but it is given a 1 for this chance factor as the stratigraphic risk will be captured in seal. | |
• | Seal - For a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum, a reservoir must be sealed both on the top and laterally by a lithology that contains the hydrocarbon accumulation within the reservoir. It is also necessary that these accumulated hydrocarbons have been preserved from flushing or leakage. Factors that affect top, seat and lateral seals are fluid viscosity, bed thickness, natural continuity of sealing facies, differential permeability, fault history and reservoir pressures needed to maintain a hydrocarbon column. The probability that the accumulation is not able to be contained by the surrounding rocks is captured in this chance factor. | |
• | Reservoir - For a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum, a reservoir rock must be present and have sufficient porosity and permeability and be of a sufficient thickness to produce quantities of mobile hydrocarbon. Under this approach, encountering wet, commercial quality and quantity sandstones would not be a failure in the reservoir category, but rather in one of the other factors. It is the reservoir along with the trap which determine the volumetrics of the accumulation. | |
• | Serial multiplication of these five decimal fractions representing the five geologic chance factors can be done as they are considered independent of each other. | |
(10) | GLJ has sub-classified the best estimate prospective resources by maturity status, consistent with the requirements of the COGE Handbook. These prospective resources have been sub-classified as "Prospect" which the COGE Handbook defines as a potential accumulation within a play that is sufficiently well defined to present a viable drilling target. | |
(11) | Prospective resources for Australia have been estimated based on development timing and reservoir risk, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 80% and the CoDis at 60%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 48%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at .06 mmboe. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $17 MM. The expected development timeline is 8 years. | |
(12) | Prospective resources for Canada have been estimated based on the individual prospects outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 27% and the aggregate CoDis at 88%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 23%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 72.8 mmboe. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of $1061 MM. The expected development timeline is 2 to 20 years. | |
Edson Duvernay | Based on reservoir risk, development timing and economic risk related to capital and operating cost uncertainty, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 19% and the CoDis at 90%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 17%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 33.6 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $638 MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 14 years. | |
Wilrich Prospect: | Based on reservoir risk, development timing and limited Wilrich development on the land base, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 35% and the CoDis at 85%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 30%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 22.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $218 MM with an expected timeline of 2 to 9 years. | |
West Pembina Glauconite Prospect: | Based on chance of discovery risk due to uncertainty regarding threshold for reservoir quality to support commercial development of resources with horizontal drilling, along with economic risk related to capital and operating cost uncertainty due to limited horizontal development in proximity to interest lands and chance of development risk related to corporate commitment and development timing. GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 34% and the CoDis at 90%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 31%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 6.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $53 MM with an expected timeline of 6 to 12 years. | |
Drayton Valley Notikewin Prospect: | Based on reservoir risk and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 70% and the CoDis at 85%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 60%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 4.6 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $66 MM. The expected development timeline is 9 to 11 years. | |
Saskatchewan Prospects | Based on reservoir risk and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90% and the CoDis at 80%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 72%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 3.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $60 MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 11 years. | |
Ferrier Falher Prospect | Based on reservoir risk and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 60% and the CoDis at 90%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 54%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 2.7 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $23 MM with an expected timeline of 15 to 20 years. | |
Utikuma Gilwood Prospect | Based on reservoir risk, development timing and limited Gilwood development in the area, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 60% and the CoDis at 50%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 30%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $3 MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 9 years. | |
(13) | Prospective resources for France have been estimated based on the individual prospects outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 74% and the aggregate CoDis at 28%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 21%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 16.3. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of $380 MM. The expected development timeline is 1 to 13 years. | |
Seebach Prospect | Based on risks associated with seal, trap, reservoir and charge along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 75% and the CoDis at 18%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 14%. | |
Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 7.8 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $40 MM with an expected timeline of 5 to 7 years. | ||
Rachee Prospect | Based on risk of closure and data quality along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 80% and the CoDis at 80%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 64%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 3.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $233 MM with an expected timeline of 9 to 13 years. | |
Malnoue Prospect | Based on reservoir, structure and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 70% and the CoDis at 38%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 27%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 1.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $35 MM with an expected timeline of 8 to 12 years. | |
West Lavergne Prospect | Based on structure risk and development timing GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 80% and the CoDis at 70%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 56%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 1.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $7 MM with an expected timeline of 4 years. | |
Champotran Prospect | Based on reservoir risk and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 80% and the CoDis at 67%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 54%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.9 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $21 MM with an expected timeline of 1 to 11 years. | |
Vulaines Prospect | Based on reservoir and structure risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 80% and the CoDis at 40%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 32%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.6 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $14 MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 9 years. | |
Charmottes Prospect | Based on reservoir risk and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 60% and the CoDis at 50%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 30%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.5 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $19 MM with an expected timeline of 10 to 12 years. | |
Bernet Prospect | Based on risks associated with reservoir, seal and trap along with economic factors, and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 50% and the CoDis at 65%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 33%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $7 MM with an expected timeline of 4 to 5 years. | |
Vert Le Grand Prospect | Based on reservoir and structure risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 70% and the CoDis at 28%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 20%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $4 MM with an expected timeline of 4 to 5 years. | |
Les Genets Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and closure risk, along with economic factors and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 60% and the CoDis at 16%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 10%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.1 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $1 MM with an expected timeline of 8 years. | |
North Acacias Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk, along with economic factors and development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 70% and the CoDis at 39%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 27%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at 0.07 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $1 MM with an expected timeline of 4 to 5 years. | |
(14) | Prospective resources for Germany have been estimated based on the individual prospects outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 70% and the aggregate CoDis at 42%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 29%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 48.8 mmboe. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of 313.4 MM. The expected development timeline is 1 to 13 years. | |
Wisselshorst A Prospect | Based on seal and trap risk along with development timing , GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90%, and the CoDisc at 58%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 52%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 13.5 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $85.5MM with an expected timeline of 2 to 9 years. | |
Ihlow Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 71%, and the CoDisc at 51%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 36%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 6.6 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $46.6MM with an expected timeline of 5 to 7 years. | |
Wisselshorst B Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90%, and the CoDisc at 50%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 45%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 5.5 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $42.7MM with an expected timeline of 5 to 12 years. | |
Weissenmoor South | Based on reservoir and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90%, and the CoDisc at 36%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 32%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 4.2 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $15.9MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 8 years. | |
Simonswolde South Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing , GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 71%, and the CoDisc at 48%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 34%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 4.1 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $16MM with an expected timeline of 8 to 9 years. | |
Fallingbostel | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90%, and the CoDisc at 29%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 26%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 3.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $29.5MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 9 years. | |
Hellwege | Based on reservoir and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 90%, and the CoDisc at 40%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 36%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 2.9 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $16.1MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 8 years. | |
Jeddeloh Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 38%, and the CoDisc at 32%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 12%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 2.9 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $23.1MM with an expected timeline of 3 to 12 years. | |
Ohlendorf Prospect | Based on source and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 58%, and the CoDisc at 30%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 17%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 2.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $11.1MM with an expected timeline of 9 to 13 years. | |
Uphuser Meer Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 47%, and the CoDisc at 51%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 24%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 1.7 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $8.3MM with an expected timeline of 6 to 7 years. | |
Simonswolde North Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing , GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 62%, and the CoDisc at 45%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 28%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 1.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $6.1MM with an expected timeline of 6 to 7 years. | |
Burgmoor Z5 Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 63%, and the CoDisc at 52%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 33%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 0.7mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $1.1MM with an expected timeline of 1 year. | |
Widdernhausen East Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 32%, and the CoDisc at 44%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 14%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 0.4 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $2.7MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 12 years. | |
Wellie Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and source risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 32%, and the CoDisc at 20%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 6%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 0.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $3.3MM with an expected timeline of 10 years. | |
Otterstedt Prospect | Based on reservoir, seal and trap risk along with development timing , GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 46%, and the CoDisc at 34%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 16%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 0.3 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $3.5MM with an expected timeline of 8 to 13 years. | |
Ostervesede Prospect | Based on reservoir and seal risk along with development timing, GLJ has estimated the CoDev at 23%, and the CoDisc at 25%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 6%. Risked Best Estimate Prospective resources have been estimated at 0.1 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is $0.7MM with an expected timeline of 7 to 10 years. |
(15) | Prospective resources for Netherlands have been estimated based on the factors outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 28% and the aggregate CoDis at 39%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 11%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 15.0 mmboe. Utilizing established recovery technology, the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of 127 MM with an expected timeline of 2 to 15 years. | |
Prospective resources for Netherlands East have been estimated based on the individual areas outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 25% and the aggregate CoDis at 41%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 10%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 12.1 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of 83 MM with an expected timeline of 2 to 15 years. | ||
• | Chance of discovery provided for 109 prospective reservoir targets across 91 prospective locations. Risk primarily associated with presence of reservoir and seal as region proven to have adequate source, migration and timing to charge target reservoirs. | |
• | Chance of development risked to account for company commitment and development timing, anticipated timing for permitting in respective licenses and distance to export (i.e. pipeline/facility requirements to transport gas to sales point). Chance of development is also a function of prospect size. | |
• | 65 prospects summed probabilistically across 13 development groups to appropriately allocate required infrastructure capital across multiple prospective targets within reasonable proximity. As probabilistic summation of the groups resulted in strong economic indicators, no further minimum economic field size calculations were applied as they were considered to have nominal impact. | |
Prospective resources for Netherlands West have been estimated based on the factors outlined below. GLJ has estimated the aggregate CoDev at 41% and the aggregate CoDis at 28%. The corresponding chance of commerciality is 12%. Risked best estimate prospective resources have been estimated at an aggregate of 2.9 mmboe and the risked estimated cost to bring these resources on commercial production is an aggregate of$ 43 MM with an expected timeline of 2 to 12 years. | ||
• | Chance of discovery provided for 25 prospective reservoir targets across 21 prospective locations. Risk primarily associated with presence of reservoir and seal as region proven to have adequate source, migration and timing to charge target reservoirs. | |
• | Chance of development risked to account for company commitment and development timing, anticipated timing for permitting in respective licenses and distance to export (i.e. pipeline/facility requirements to transport gas to sales point). Chance of development is also a function of prospect size. | |
• | 17 prospects summed probabilistically across 5 development groups to appropriately allocate required infrastructure capital across multiple prospective targets within reasonable proximity. As probabilistic summation of the groups resulted in strong economic indicators no further minimum economic field size calculations were applied as they were considered to have nominal impact. |
ABOUT VERMILION
Vermilion is an international energy producer that seeks to create value through the acquisition, exploration, development and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe and Australia. Our business model emphasizes organic production growth augmented with value-adding acquisitions, along with providing reliable and increasing dividends to investors. Vermilion is targeting growth in production primarily through the exploitation of light oil and liquids-rich natural gas conventional resource plays in Canada and the United States, the exploration and development of high impact natural gas opportunities in the Netherlands and Germany, and through oil drilling and workover programs in France and Australia. Vermilion currently holds an 18.5% working interest in the Corrib gas field in Ireland. Vermilion currently pays a monthly dividend of Canadian $0.215 per share, which provides a current yield of approximately 6.0%.
Vermilion's priorities are health and safety, the environment, and profitability, in that order. Nothing is more important to us than the safety of the public and those who work with us, and the protection of our natural surroundings. We have been recognized as a top decile performer amongst Canadian publicly listed companies in governance practices, as a Climate Leadership level (A-) performer by the CDP, and a Best Workplace in the Great Place to Work® Institute's annual rankings in Canada, France and the Netherlands. In addition, Vermilion emphasizes strategic community investment in each of our operating areas.
Employees and directors hold approximately 6.5% of our fully diluted shares, are committed to consistently delivering superior rewards for all stakeholders, and have delivered over 20 years of market outperformance. Vermilion trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol VET.
Natural gas volumes have been converted on the basis of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel equivalent of oil. Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Netbacks and Operating Recycle Ratio are measures that do not have standardized meanings prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other entities. "Operating Recycle Ratio" is a measure of capital efficiency calculated by dividing the Operating Netback by the cost of adding reserves (F&D cost). "Netbacks" are per boe and per Mcf measures used in operational and capital allocation decisions. "Operating Netback" is calculated as sales less royalties, operating expense, transportation costs, PRRT and realized hedging gains and losses presented on a per unit basis. Management assesses Operating Netback as a measure of the profitability and efficiency of our field operations. F&D (finding and development) costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency and are calculated by dividing the applicable capital expenditures for the period, including the change in undiscounted future development capital, by the change in the reserves, incorporating revisions and production, for the same period.
SOURCE Vermilion Energy Inc.
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